Someone should do a 2020 Google Consumer Survey poll

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wisconsin: Warren vs. Trump vs. Petersen

https://surveys.google.com/reporting/survey?survey=ueznojcqrwqg2oei62tpnuy63q

409 respondents; Conducted Jan. 31 - Feb. 3

Undecided 42.3%
Warren 27.9%
Trump 22.0%
Petersen 2.7%

"I am not registered to vote in Wisconsin" 5.1%

Factoring out the "not registered" column (388 responses remain)

Undecided 44.6%
Warren 29.4%
Trump 23.1%
Petersen 2.8%

Factoring out "not registered" and "undecided" (215 responses remain)

Warren 53%
Trump 41.9%
Petersen 5.1%

Warren and Trump only (204 responses remain):

Warren 55.9%
Trump 44.1%

--------------------------
Who leads among:

Women: Warren
Men: Warren
Age 18-24: Warren
Age 25-34: Warren
Age 35-44: Warren
Age 45-54: Trump
Age 55-64: Warren
Age 65+: Warren

------------------------

Google emailed me seperate results that were reweighted by age and gender:

Undecided 44.1%
Warren 31.2%
Trump 18.4%
Petersen 1.7%

Not registered 4.5%

-------------------------

This just shows how unpopular Trump's refugee dictatoring is. A candidate who he would likely ultimately defeat in a landslide is at this point leading him among both genders and almost every age group.

[The Other Castro]

Wow, this looks really good, Castro. Would be nice if someone could do Montana and poll the special election, the Senate race and maybe the 2020 gubernatorial race.

Thanks, I'm addicted now. Multi-part questions in individual states would be pretty expensive, though a single 500 response poll for the senate race minus the coupon would be about $25.

[cinyc]

Google emailed me seperate results that were reweighted by age and gender:

Undecided 44.1%
Warren 31.2%
Trump 18.4%
Petersen 1.7%

Not registered 4.5%

Note that Google's reweight is to the Internet population, not registered voters, so it skews younger than what you'd get if you weighted for RVs or LVs.  The 2016 CPS RV/LV weights aren't available yet.  But your actual sample was too male-heavy, so the Warren percentage should go up a bit in either case.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wow, this looks really good, Castro. Would be nice if someone could do Montana and poll the special election, the Senate race and maybe the 2020 gubernatorial race.

For 500 responses, this would cost $700 with the coupon. Beyond what I imagine Atlasian users want to spend on this.

[cinyc]

Wow, this looks really good, Castro. Would be nice if someone could do Montana and poll the special election, the Senate race and maybe the 2020 gubernatorial race.

For 500 responses, this would cost $700 with the coupon. Beyond what I imagine Atlasian users want to spend on this.

SurveyMonkey does multi-question polls cheaper ($1 per respondent for a national poll, I think, so $500 for up to 10 or 15 questions), but polls for states cost more and may not even be available for a small state like Montana.  SurveyMonkey will also allow you to only poll RVs as an option, usually for free, which is a slight improvement over Google Surveys.  Survey Monkey one-question polls are way more expensive than Google Surveys' - the same $1 per respondent, IIRC.

Three one-question Google Survey Montana 500-respondent polls would cost $225 sans coupon, which is cheaper than doing a multi-question poll.  BTW, Google Surveys at least used to give a small coupon with the final results e-mail if you polled again within 2 weeks - something I unfortunately missed when conducting my primary polls until it was too late.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Considering some of the prospective Democratic candidates for 2020, who would you be inclined to support if asked to choose today amongst the following candidates?

Kamala Harris 18.4% (she was at zero the entire first day XD)
Tulsi Gabbard 16.2%
Tim Kaine 14.0%
John Bel Edwards 13.6%
Sherrod Brown 11.1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 10.5%
Joaquin Castro 6.1%
Cory Booker 3.0%

JUNK POLL!

Trump 33.8%
Democrat 41.4%

The second day of the survey was nearly 100% Democrat after Trump held about a 5 point lead on Day 1.

Pro-life 39.1%
Pro-choice 29.1%

Republican 23.7%
Democrat 40.7%



General Election Cross-tabs:
18-24: Trump 51-20 (LOL)
25-34: Dem 43-14
35-44: Trump 35-28
45-54: Dem 57-27
55-64: Trump 49-40
65+: Dem 64-36  (LOL)

Male: Dem 35-32
Female: Dem 49-36

Midwest: Dem 20-18 (!!!!!!!!!)
Northeast: Dem 58-10
South: Trump 47-39
West: Dem 51-49

Obviously this is the junkiest junk not from Rasmussen ever posted on this forum, but have at it

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Though yeah, 500 responses instead for 50/27 would be much more useful if I can figure out how to do that

[cinyc]

Though yeah, 500 responses instead for 50/27 would be much more useful if I can figure out how to do that

Was this a multiple question survey or multiple 50-perso surveys?

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Though yeah, 500 responses instead for 50/27 would be much more useful if I can figure out how to do that

Was this a multiple question survey or multiple 50-perso surveys?

lol, no, it was multiple questions! Which makes the primary poll beyond the stage of useless. I just had a brief window at work and wanted to use it before it expired haha

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Though yeah, 500 responses instead for 50/27 would be much more useful if I can figure out how to do that

Was this a multiple question survey or multiple 50-perso surveys?

lol, no, it was multiple questions! Which makes the primary poll beyond the stage of useless. I just had a brief window at work and wanted to use it before it expired haha

You paid for a multiple question survey? WOW!

[cinyc]

You paid for a multiple question survey? WOW!

A 50-respondent multiple-question Google Surveys national poll costs $50.  It's $1.00 per response, instead of 10 cents per response.  (State multiple-question polls are $1.50 per response.)  A 50-respondent poll is likely nowhere near statistically significant, of course.  

We'd probably have to pool our resources to conduct a statistically significant multiple question poll.  It's too expensive.

[The Other Castro]

Halfway through my Booker/Trump match up, Booker is slightly ahead (especially among ladies ).

[The Other Castro]

I decided to bring back the Undecided option for Booker vs. Trump:

If the 2020 Presidential Election were held today, who would you vote for given the following candidates? (Factoring out those who selected the Would Not / Can Not Vote option)

Cory Booker - 30%
Donald Trump - 29%
Undecided - 41%

Demographic filters (with non-voters removed):

Males - Trump leads 35%-25%
Females - Booker leads 34%-24%

Midwest - exact tie (literally same number of responses) at 25% each.
Northeast - Booker leads 39%-22%
South - Trump leads 38%-27%
West - Booker leads  31%-24%

[The Other Castro]

Btw, you can also apply the coupon to individual Senate matchups with 333 responses. I started one for Missouri (McCaskill vs. Wagner). If only we had a 2018 polling board...

[Pragmatic Conservative]

I am doing a 333 Florida Democratic primary poll, I included Cuomo, Castro, Gillibrand, Harris, Edwards, Booker, Gabbard and Warren.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Unweighted survey results (if someone could help me weigh these that would be much appreciated) 340 responses

Florida Democratic Primary Poll (Feb 22-24)
Elizabeth Warren 35.9%
Cory Booker 17.1%
Andrew Cuomo 13.7%
Martin O 'Malley 11.9%
Julian Castro 10.7%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.7%
Kirsten Gillibrand 10.2%
Kamala Harris 9.4%
John Bel Edwards 8.3%

Cross Tabs
Gender
Male: Elizabeth Warren +14.6 over Cory Booker
Female: Elizabeth Warren +26.2 over Tulsi Gabbard

Age
18-24 Elizabeth Warren +35.9 over John Bel Edwards
25-34 Elizabeth Warren  +20.3 over Cory Booker
35-44 Elizabeth Warren  +7.2 over  Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo
45-54 Elizabeth Warren  +17.1 over Cory Booker
55-64  Elizabeth Warren  +26.7  over Julian Castro
65+ Elizabeth Warren  +13.5 over Cory Booker

I will put up a county map later from the counties that are represented in this poll.