The Mideast Record-Courier: LIVE Coverage of the February '17 Election

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

JustinTimeCuber independent election research association (JIERA) projection for final runoff round:

[FED] dfwlibertylover 53-59%
[LAB] NeverAgain 41-47%

Out of curiosity, who do you have marked as invalid?

[Maxwell]

The House is beginning to settle in as 5 Federalists vs. 4 Labor, atm.

[JustinTimeCuber]

Peebs June '17! (Or Peebs March '17, if we can get enough people out of the way )

it's been announced.

[JustinTimeCuber]

JustinTimeCuber independent election research association (JIERA) projection for final runoff round:

[FED] dfwlibertylover 53-59%
[LAB] NeverAgain 41-47%

Out of curiosity, who do you have marked as invalid?

It wasn't necessary to make the projection. Looking through valid ballots and using a combination of reports on invalid ones, it's clear DFW will win by at least around 5 votes. More specific projections will come later as all ballots are individually checked.

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

Here's a (hopefully accurate) state-by-state map.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Ties are broken for whoever polls highest in the region.

[JustinTimeCuber]

Mississippi?

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

Ties are broken for whoever polls highest in the region.

So would RI go to Winfield (who has more votes than Maxwell in the region) or dfw (who has more votes than both of them in the region)?

(not that it matters much anyway)

[LLR]

Ties are broken for whoever polls highest in the region.

So would RI go to Winfield (who has more votes than Maxwell in the region) or dfw (who has more votes than both of them in the region)?

(not that it matters much anyway)

Probably Winfield

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Winfield, I assume. dfw would be the case, but I don't think it makes sense that he'd win a state he got no votes in.

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

With a little over 4 hours to go, California has flipped to the Federalists:

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Fantastic maps, y'all! I'll have an official update posted in a bit.

[Maxwell]

Winfield certainly has that home field advantage in the North!

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

FEBRUARY 2017
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Maxwell (9%)     DFW (47%)     Never Again (37%)     Winfield (7%)

Mere hours before the polls close, Speaker NeverAgain has regained a slim lead in the North but continues to trail nationally, while Governor DFW Libertylover holds a strong lead in the final round. With close to three fifths of the vote in and fewer than four hours left to vote, the race stands as follows.

FOR PRESIDENT (57% Turnout)
DFW [FED] 49, 47.1%
Never Again [LAB] 39, 37.5%
Maxwell [COM] 9, 8.7%
Winfield [IND] 7, 6.7%

FOR PRESIDENT (Final Round)
DFW [FED] 56, 54.3%
Never Again [LAB] 47, 42.5%

In the House, the Federalists appear certain to gain the majority given the current spread of first and second preferences, with the possibility of a UA victory for the ninth seat potentially reducing the Labor majority to three. Current projections, however, continue to show Labor holding all but one of their five seats, for a 5-4 split in the lower house.

FOR HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES (57% Turnout)
FED   52, 52.5% [5 seats]
LAB   44, 44.4% [4 seats]
UA     03, 03.0% [0 seats]

[JustinTimeCuber]

What about the possibility of a 4-4-1 House? It seems like there's a good chance, given the STV system.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

I have the count 59-46 with the invalids being: Talleyand ( posts), Ebsy ( posts), Maineiac4434 (registered too late) Monolith (posts), ReaganClinton20xx (edited too late), tomhguy (registered too late)

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

It's possible my count is off by a few votes. I've been swamped with work IRL this weekend, so I haven't been able to watch the results come in as closely; rest assured I'll do a re-count before certifying the actual results.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

FOR HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES (57% Turnout)
FED   52, 52.5% [5 seats]
LAB   44, 44.4% [4 seats]


How many wish the RL House was that representative of its own popular vote?

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

FOR HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES (57% Turnout)
FED   52, 52.5% [5 seats]
LAB   44, 44.4% [4 seats]


How many wish the RL House was that representative of its own popular vote?

>raises hand<

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Yankee, this is the RL House. However, I agree that the Americ Forum's House should be more representative of their popular vote.

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

It's possible my count is off by a few votes. I've been swamped with work IRL this weekend, so I haven't been able to watch the results come in as closely; rest assured I'll do a re-count before certifying the actual results.

I just ran through all of the votes again (discarding the invalids that dfw mentioned) and I have the first-round totals at 51-37-9-7.

For regional totals I have:
SOUTH
dfw - 18
NeverAgain - 12
Maxwell - 3

NORTH
dfw - 16
NeverAgain - 13
Winfield - 5
Maxwell - 2

FREMONT
dfw - 17
NeverAgain - 12
Maxwell - 4
Winfield - 2

[Terry the Fat Shark]

It's possible my count is off by a few votes. I've been swamped with work IRL this weekend, so I haven't been able to watch the results come in as closely; rest assured I'll do a re-count before certifying the actual results.

I just ran through all of the votes again (discarding the invalids that dfw mentioned) and I have the first-round totals at 51-37-9-7.

For regional totals I have:
SOUTH
dfw - 18
NeverAgain - 12
Maxwell - 3

NORTH
dfw - 16
NeverAgain - 13
Winfield - 5
Maxwell - 2

FREMONT
dfw - 17
NeverAgain - 12
Maxwell - 4
Winfield - 2

what about reallocating all of maxwell and winfield's votes?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The last President to win all regions was I think Duke.


The most recent to come close was Adam in Oct 2015, where he lost the South by 1 vote. The previous winter, he also lost the South by like 1 vote in a Senate Special election.

[rpryor03]

A Very Special Fremont Commons Update
Last Voter: 1184AZ
Dr_Novella: 6
Rfayette: 4
Rpryor03: 4
Tirnam: 6
tomhguy: 3

[Fmr. Representative Encke]

what about reallocating all of maxwell and winfield's votes?

After reallocation, 59-46.

SOUTH
dfw - 19
NeverAgain - 14

NORTH
dfw - 18
NeverAgain - 18

FREMONT
dfw - 22
NeverAgain - 14