If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin? (user search)

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin?

#1 Wider (D)		11 (20%)
#2 Narrower (D)		14 (25.5%)
#3 Wider (R)		16 (29.1%)
#4 Narrower (R)		1 (1.8%)
#5 Wider (I/L/O)		8 (14.5%)
#6 Narrower (I/L/O)		5 (9.1%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author

Topic: If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin? (Read 1248 times)

Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 33,207

Re: If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin?

« on: February 02, 2017, 08:20:24 PM »

Narrower, probably 2004 numbers. Probably loses Arizona and NC (or Georgia) but gains New Hampshire and Maine, possibly Minnesota too.

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Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 33,207

Re: If Trump is re-elected, is it by a wider or narrower (EV) margin?

« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2017, 02:07:37 PM »

Quote from: PMHub on February 03, 2017, 11:11:48 AM

It's worth noting that the only Presidents to win re-election with a smaller EV share than what they got 4 years prior are Woodrow Wilson and Barack Obama. So Trump will probably either lose or get more than the 304 EVs he got last year

FDR's other terms also.

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