What are Hogan's chances to be re-elected? (user search)
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  What are Hogan's chances to be re-elected? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What are Hogan's chances to be re-elected?  (Read 8342 times)
The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,272
« on: February 19, 2017, 01:03:36 AM »
Hogan needs to keep Montgomery, PG, and Baltimore from turning out for the Democratic nominee. Without Trump I would've forecasted the race being more Maryland centric but anger from these three areas can more than offset Republican leaning areas in the state.

In other words Hogan is potentially among the first victims of Trump's takeover of the party. That is to say blue state Republicans who are forced to pick between the president and his base and the state's extremely blue lean.
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The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,272
« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2017, 03:57:11 PM »
The formula for Maryland is simple. If the Big Three Counties go heavily Democratic the Dems win. If they go Dem but at a reduced rate and Baltimore County goes Republican the Republican wins. It's as simple as that.

Now, why wouldn't liberals turn out en masse here? There's also a US Senate race ongoing too.
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