College educated voters swung left in 2016. They vote at higher levels in midterms than non-college educated voters. This would normally spell disaster for Republicans. However, the districts are pretty well gerrymandered so I'd guess the damage will be minor. Overall, GOP probably loses 10 house seats mostly in suburban districts outside of big cities, e.g., Comstock in NOVA.
Pretty sure college voters went for Hillary overall.
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls
Hillary won college grads 49-44, postgrads 58-37. Therefore her win among all voters with a college degree or higher is almost a 10% margin (if you believe this exit poll - but frankly this seems accurate just by looking at the counties she won overwhelmingly).
I have to think these people will turn out at higher rates in 2018 than the general population, particularly given how pissed off they already are about alternative facts, etc. If this crap show continues for 2 years they will be energized.
Correct but presumably the people who voted for GOP house candidates but not Trump were college educated republicans/ conservative leaning independents.
