GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[The Other Castro]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

U.S. House, Georgia District 6 General Election, 2016
Tom Price (R): 61.7%, 201,088
Rodney Stooksbury (D): 38.3%, 124,917

[krazen1211]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

The vote is swinging D from 2016--not sure how you see this as a "left of center" district.

2016 Presidential margins have this district as roughly district 214, ordered from left to right. Trump won the median district by 3.4 points.

[Matty]

I am going to bed.

Fulton county, damn you for this!

Where are we? India?

[BundouYMB]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

I realize thinking is not your strong point but...

1). this is a heavily Republican district

2). gerrymandering takes place AFTER 2020... not before 2018 ()

3). if Democrats do well in 2018 the lines are going to be gerrymandered in DEMOCRATS favour, so good luck in the midterms with your President at <40% approval!

[MaxQue]

GA in 2020 should be interesting.

Booker would probably be a great candidate for GA (not that he should be the nominee).

I feel Kamala Harris could do well also...but not as good as Booker so i agree with you there.

I think the slowness of fulton county is another reason all elections should be 100% VBM

I think this is an indicator that younger Dem candidates create the most excitement with base & grassroots (even though there are obvious exceptions like Bernie).

As I've posted before... Every Dem in recent history elected president was younger than 53.5 .... every republican elected president was older than 53.5.

Booker, Castro's, etc (paired with someone like Sherrod Brown as VP)

I guess you could add Gillibrand to that list?

Will be (just) over 53.5 in 2020.

Not with GA 6 and 7 in single digits

We are talking of their ages.

[Xing]

I think we finally found something that can unite us across party lines: Our hatred of having to wait indefinitely for results.

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

[krazen1211]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

I realize thinking is not your strong point but...

1). this is a heavily Republican district

2). gerrymandering takes place AFTER 2020... not before 2018 ()

3). if Democrats do well in 2018 the lines are going to be gerrymandered in DEMOCRATS favour, so good luck in the midterms with your President at <40% approval!

Who gave you the idea that the bolded was true?

[Maxwell]

I was told that Trump doing poorly here was an anomaly and normal Republicans would DOMINATE, though.

again, more moving of the goal posts.

[Hammy]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

The vote is swinging D from 2016--not sure how you see this as a "left of center" district.

2016 Presidential margins have this district as roughly district 214, ordered from left to right. Trump won the median district by 3.4 points.

There's always a difference in House vs President, you can't compare them. The office that is being voted on is ten points to the left of 2016 and no amount of fact manipulation can change that.

[America Needs R'hllor]

I've been asleep since timezones. What's the current count?

[uti2]

Significant to note that among the GOP tonight in GA06, the more closely aligned a candidate was with Trump, the worse said candidate did.
https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/854516664209215489

This shouldn't be surprising. Didn't trump get crushed here by rubio?

This district is collectively telling trump to "stop changing our party!"

The rubio endorsed candidate also lost.

[Hammy]

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

Is that why the CNN headline count hasn't updated in over an hour?

[Roronoa D. Law]

I was told that Trump doing poorly here was an anomaly and normal Republicans would DOMINATE, though.

again, more moving of the goal posts.

Like PA, MI, WI, ME-2 are safe D with another Democrat.

[BuckeyeNut]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

How do you not get this isn't a left of center district?

[Virginiá]

2). gerrymandering takes place AFTER 2020... not before 2018 ()

Technically a state can redraw its districts any time it wishes. He is suggesting that Republicans would redraw it sometime after this special election to keep Democrats out. I'd actually be more surprised if Republicans didn't try and redraw this district before 2020.

[BuckeyeNut]

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

So much for this district being "tech savvy."

[Holmes]

Well Presidential races are only one it out of many. House, Senate, state legislature, local county offices... if you compared the 2016 Presidential vote to the 2016 votes down ballot in this district, you won't get a left of center district.

[BundouYMB]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

I realize thinking is not your strong point but...

1). this is a heavily Republican district

2). gerrymandering takes place AFTER 2020... not before 2018 ()

3). if Democrats do well in 2018 the lines are going to be gerrymandered in DEMOCRATS favour, so good luck in the midterms with your President at <40% approval!

Who gave you the idea that the bolded was true?

2016 election results and the US constitution?

Edit: Tom Price won 62-38 in 2016! This was when the national House PV was even.

[krazen1211]

2016 election results and the US constitution?

You do realize that the Supreme Court allowed states to redistrict as they see fit in LULAC v Perry?

[BundouYMB]

2016 election results and the US constitution?

You do realize that the Supreme Court allowed states to redistrict as they see fit in LULAC v Perry?

You do realize that redistricting will be done after 2020 regardless, right?

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

[krazen1211]

2016 election results and the US constitution?

You do realize that the Supreme Court allowed states to redistrict as they see fit in LULAC v Perry?

You do realize that redistricting will be done after 2020 regardless, right?

Yes. I concur with your position that Democrats, if they win some elections in Georgia, will gerrymander the districts. They did so before in a ruthless fashion. For instance, the Democrats gerrymandered legislative districts in Georgia after the 2000 census such that some Republican held districts had 9.9% more persons than the Democrat held districts.

But that theory requires the Democrats to win an election.

[MaxQue]

Well, GA is already very gerrymandered. I don't see how you can gerrymander it even more. Probably would be safer to concede a 4th Atlanta area district to Democrats and made a Safe Republican district out of current GA-6 and GA-7, because there is a risk of losing both with current demographic trends.

Overreach can happen, see the Republican gerrymanderer of 2000 in New York State.

[ajc0918]

The card with the error has been found. Results will presumable begin again?