GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250781 times)
Lachi
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« Reply #1675 on: April 19, 2017, 01:27:38 AM »

He is at 48.3%, with 88% of the polls reporting.
He wont get to 50%, but he can, and might get to somewhere between 49-50%
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Lachi
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« Reply #1676 on: April 19, 2017, 01:28:28 AM »

As much as I would like to see Ossoff win over Handel, she will smash him with a margin of victory in the lower double digits.

One thing I have to give to people on the right is that, when the outcome of a primary or GE doesn't go perfectly for them, they usually suck it up and live to fight another day.  They don't whine, threaten to stay home, and/or wet their beds.  Just look at Breitbart comments if you don't believe me; hardly anyone is complaining about the fact that Handel won, even though she was the "establishment" candidate in the field.  If you want to give up without even putting up a fight, that's your prerogative, but it only makes the Republicans' goal of cementing their rule that much easier.  Quitters never win.

You gotta wisely pick which battles are worth fighting, and this is no longer one of them.
Well stop posting in this thread if you don't want to worry about it.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #1677 on: April 19, 2017, 01:28:42 AM »

Progressives need to focus on preventing Northam from winning in VA, these house races are unwinnable.
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Matty
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« Reply #1678 on: April 19, 2017, 01:29:48 AM »

He is at 48.3%, with 88% of the polls reporting.
He wont get to 50%, but he can, and might get to somewhere between 49-50%

He is right at 48% with 100% reporting.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1679 on: April 19, 2017, 01:30:04 AM »

Progressives need to focus on preventing Northam from winning in VA, these house races are unwinnable.

They can walk and chew gum at the same time.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1680 on: April 19, 2017, 01:31:16 AM »
« Edited: April 19, 2017, 02:16:47 AM by Klartext89 »

Very bad News for Democrats. If they can't win with a highly pushed guy with $ 10m spending in a Trump+1 district, then there's no way for them to win back the House.

Also it clearly shows that the Rasmussen poll with an appr. even job approval is way more realistic than the D+15 Fantasy polls. If Trump would be at 40% approval, the GOP candidates wouldn't get 51-52% of the vote in such a district.

I'm very optimistic for the Runoff, reading that Dem donors hesitate to burn more Money, well ;-)
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1681 on: April 19, 2017, 01:32:11 AM »

final votes are in with 210/210 precincts in and a total turnout of 43.47% of all registered voters in the district:

Ossoff - 48.10% / 92,390
Handel - 19.78% / 37,993
Gray - 10.81% / 20,755
Moody - 8.85% / 16,994
Hill - 8.77% / 16,848
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1682 on: April 19, 2017, 01:33:21 AM »

Hey, he ended up with >48%.  Not bad!
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Lachi
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« Reply #1683 on: April 19, 2017, 01:36:12 AM »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1684 on: April 19, 2017, 01:38:52 AM »

Progressives need to focus on preventing Northam from winning in VA, these house races are unwinnable.

They can walk and chew gum at the same time.

If this were true, 2016 would've ended with The Midwest margins for Clinton mirroring Trump's in The Sun Belt and The Sun Belt margins for Clinton would've looked like Trump's Midwest numbers.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1685 on: April 19, 2017, 01:42:52 AM »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.

SPIN SPIN SPIN
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Barnes
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« Reply #1686 on: April 19, 2017, 01:44:30 AM »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.

SPIN SPIN SPIN

Please go visit a Republican soccer mom rally in Cobb County before you give your "analysis" of, well, any election in Georgia.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #1687 on: April 19, 2017, 01:45:04 AM »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.

There's 2 months left and plenty of time for Handel to coalition-build. 48% in a mere run-off won't matter so much if it all becomes a blowout come the big one.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1688 on: April 19, 2017, 01:45:20 AM »

Progressives need to focus on preventing Northam from winning in VA, these house races are unwinnable.

They can walk and chew gum at the same time.

If this were true, 2016 would've ended with The Midwest margins for Clinton mirroring Trump's in The Sun Belt and The Sun Belt margins for Clinton would've looked like Trump's Midwest numbers.

Well, circumstances are different now, aren't they?  Dems weren't completely out of power in 2016, and didn't feel terrorized by Trump's presidency.
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Holmes
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« Reply #1689 on: April 19, 2017, 01:49:31 AM »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.

There's 2 months left and plenty of time for Handel to coalition-build. 48% in a mere run-off won't matter so much if it all becomes a blowout come the big one.

There's already a Republican coalition in this district. She shouldn't have to build one.

lol @ Klartext whining about spin when his previous post was pulling numbers out of his ass based on Rasmussen polls and the results here tonight.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #1690 on: April 19, 2017, 01:51:22 AM »

"Making Metro Atlantaa the Silicon Valley of the South"

ewww he's lost my vote.

Silicon valley- you mean the place where companies rake in 10%+ profit margins and underpay tech workers?

Shouldn't berniebots NOT like some of the left's glorification of the tech sector?

The liberals that I see praising Silicon Valley the most are DLC types.

And what's bad with that? Every liberal is obliged to be anti-DLC "bold progressive"? Why? "Liberal" doesn't mean being communist or even socialist..
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1691 on: April 19, 2017, 01:54:54 AM »

48% is really good for Ossoff, but a runoff-win for him is not a sure thing.

It also seems Landmark had the best poll, when you take into account the undecideds.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1692 on: April 19, 2017, 02:06:01 AM »

"Making Metro Atlantaa the Silicon Valley of the South"

ewww he's lost my vote.

Silicon valley- you mean the place where companies rake in 10%+ profit margins and underpay tech workers?

Shouldn't berniebots NOT like some of the left's glorification of the tech sector?

The liberals that I see praising Silicon Valley the most are DLC types.

And what's bad with that? Every liberal is obliged to be anti-DLC "bold progressive"? Why? "Liberal" doesn't mean being communist or even socialist..

Because stuff like this tends to be the outcome every time a city wants to become more industrialized.  It's bad for the environment and it's bad for society.  That's a different topic for another thread, though.
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jfern
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« Reply #1693 on: April 19, 2017, 02:07:05 AM »

"Making Metro Atlantaa the Silicon Valley of the South"

ewww he's lost my vote.

Silicon valley- you mean the place where companies rake in 10%+ profit margins and underpay tech workers?

Shouldn't berniebots NOT like some of the left's glorification of the tech sector?

The liberals that I see praising Silicon Valley the most are DLC types.

And what's bad with that? Every liberal is obliged to be anti-DLC "bold progressive"? Why? "Liberal" doesn't mean being communist or even socialist..

There's plenty of room to the right of communist or socialist for liberal without including DLC.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1694 on: April 19, 2017, 02:07:13 AM »

What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?
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jfern
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« Reply #1695 on: April 19, 2017, 02:09:04 AM »

What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?

Trump won by a point. So Ossoff didn't exactly run better than Hillary.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1696 on: April 19, 2017, 02:13:35 AM »

What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?

Trump won by a point. So Ossoff didn't exactly run better than Hillary.

Interesting. I thought Hillary slightly won it.

If we combine all Republicans and Democrats, then the GOP won 51-49 yesterday (R+2).

Which is about the Trump vs. Hillary margin.

Still, I'd say that Ossoff has a shot at winning the runoff ...
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1697 on: April 19, 2017, 02:14:01 AM »
« Edited: April 19, 2017, 02:16:16 AM by Klartext89 »

Getting 48% in the primary is a very encouriging sign.

To concern trolls: remember that the republicans won this district 61-38 last year. The fact that the Democrats got 48% in an R+8 district is a good sign.

There's 2 months left and plenty of time for Handel to coalition-build. 48% in a mere run-off won't matter so much if it all becomes a blowout come the big one.

There's already a Republican coalition in this district. She shouldn't have to build one.

lol @ Klartext whining about spin when his previous post was pulling numbers out of his ass based on Rasmussen polls and the results here tonight.

Truth hurts?
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1698 on: April 19, 2017, 02:15:58 AM »

What were the 2016 Presidential results in that district again ?

Did Hillary win it, considering she won virtually all of Atlanta ?

Trump won by a point. So Ossoff didn't exactly run better than Hillary.

And that's the deciding point which simply proves me right (whether Holmes likes it or not): The GOP did better in a special election (in which the opposition always overperformes) than Trump did. There's nothing like an anti-Trump wave. Only in your dreams.
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vote for pedro
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« Reply #1699 on: April 19, 2017, 02:18:23 AM »

What about the turnout difference from November?  43% turnout is pretty big for a primary but I bet it was higher in November.  It all depends on how many Republican voters show up in June.   I bet all the Democrats turn out again.

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