GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Miss Enormous Tentacles is not going to win. It's important to remember that Ossoff over performed polling in the first round.

It's also important to remember that this is a tossup, and anybody who claims to know a definite and airtight result has had one line too many. This is Tilt D at best, and Tilt R at the worst. That is why I think this will be a close 52-48 for Handel, BUT I am not exclusively and definately calling it for her. This is very much in play, and either side could win.

This is spot on, although I think it's Ossoff who will win 52-48.  But I wouldn't be surprised with a win by either.

[DrScholl]

Miss Enormous Tentacles is not going to win. It's important to remember that Ossoff over performed polling in the first round.

It's also important to remember that this is a tossup, and anybody who claims to know a definite and airtight result has had one line too many. This is Tilt D at best, and Tilt R at the worst. That is why I think this will be a close 52-48 for Handel, BUT I am not exclusively and definately calling it for her. This is very much in play, and either side could win.

Thanks for the concern. It is duly noted.

[Person Man]

Miss Enormous Tentacles is not going to win. It's important to remember that Ossoff over performed polling in the first round.

It's also important to remember that this is a tossup, and anybody who claims to know a definite and airtight result has had one line too many. This is Tilt D at best, and Tilt R at the worst. That is why I think this will be a close 52-48 for Handel, BUT I am not exclusively and definately calling it for her. This is very much in play, and either side could win.

Thanks for the concern. It is duly noted.

Anything more than more than Handel over 51.0% would mean that the Democratic Party is done as a major political power in the short term and anything above 51.0% Ossoff would mean congress is done baring the unforeseen.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Miss Enormous Tentacles is not going to win. It's important to remember that Ossoff over performed polling in the first round.

It's also important to remember that this is a tossup, and anybody who claims to know a definite and airtight result has had one line too many. This is Tilt D at best, and Tilt R at the worst. That is why I think this will be a close 52-48 for Handel, BUT I am not exclusively and definately calling it for her. This is very much in play, and either side could win.

Thanks for the concern. It is duly noted.

Anything more than more than Handel over 51.0% would mean that the Democratic Party is done as a major political power in the short term and anything above 51.0% Ossoff would mean congress is done baring the unforeseen.

That's a bit extreme in both ways, but to each his own.

[This account no longer in use.]

Miss Enormous Tentacles is not going to win. It's important to remember that Ossoff over performed polling in the first round.

It's also important to remember that this is a tossup, and anybody who claims to know a definite and airtight result has had one line too many. This is Tilt D at best, and Tilt R at the worst. That is why I think this will be a close 52-48 for Handel, BUT I am not exclusively and definately calling it for her. This is very much in play, and either side could win.

Thanks for the concern. It is duly noted.

Anything more than more than Handel over 51.0% would mean that the Democratic Party is done as a major political power in the short term and anything above 51.0% Ossoff would mean congress is done baring the unforeseen.

Glad to see we've started up the Atlas Hivemind Overreaction Machine again.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

If Ossoff somehow manages to win, do you think that the chances are good that he will join the Blue Dog Coalition? I think he would at least consider it. Based on his platform and personality, he would fit in very well.

He strikes me more as a New Democrat rather than a Blue Dog.

He is a technocratic cosmopolitan, like Obama and Hillary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Early vote through today:

Cobb 20088 (18.1%)
DeKalb 26394 (23.7%)
Fulton 64748 (58.2%)
Total 111230

[The Other Castro]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

[Holmes]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

DCCC memo vs. leaked GOP poll. Who wins?

[windjammer]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

Is it again their strategy of lowering expectations?

[Holmes]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

Is it again their strategy of lowering expectations?

If it is then they're not doing a good job spreading it around so everyone sees it.

[The Other Castro]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

Is it again their strategy of lowering expectations?

If this is meant to lower expectations, it's to prepare for a small Handel loss.

[Tender Branson]

Will there be early voting on the weekend and Monday, or does it end on Friday ?

[Rookie Yinzer]

Will there be early voting on the weekend and Monday, or does it end on Friday ?

It ends Friday.

[OneJ]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

Is it again their strategy of lowering expectations?

If it is then they're not doing a good job spreading it around so everyone sees it.

[Gass3268]

Obvious mound of salt, but:

Ryan Grim @ryangrim
Outside House GOP group tells me their internal poll over the weekend has Handel down 9 to Ossoff. That'd be the biggest gap so far. #GA06

https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/874777448025600000

I remember enough of 2016 to know that these kind of "oh no, we're doomed" GOP internals seem to never pan out that way.  Expectations managing.

I believe Osoff will win.  Probably his max is 53%, but likely will win with like 51%.

Those internals were before the Comey letter.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This morning I heard an anti-AHCA radio ad from AARP.  At the end of the ad, it mentioned the GA-6 election and encouraged listeners to check out the candidates' positions on AHCA at aarp.org/gavote,  which redirects to http://action.aarp.org/site/PageNavigator/Georgia6Vote2017.html. 

[This account no longer in use.]

This morning I heard an anti-AHCA radio ad from AARP.  At the end of the ad, it mentioned the GA-6 election and encouraged listeners to check out the candidates' positions on AHCA at aarp.org/gavote,  which redirects to http://action.aarp.org/site/PageNavigator/Georgia6Vote2017.html. 

Yeah, looks like they're all but endorsing Ossoff.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Tempers flaring among early voters: http://www.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/voters-6th-district-losing-manners-election-becomes-aggressive/qzRKcKC1RaMy2iJQdD5aOM/

This kind of behavior is just sad.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tempers flaring among early voters: http://www.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/voters-6th-district-losing-manners-election-becomes-aggressive/qzRKcKC1RaMy2iJQdD5aOM/

This kind of behavior is just sad.

Such unnecessary drama. Get in, vote, leave. My family voted for Clinton several days before the election day, and the whole process took about 3 minutes. No lines, no drama, nada. Cobb needs at least 3 more EV locations, lines and waits are unacceptable. Voting for every American should be as easy, very quick, and drama free in a calm and secure environment as it was for my family.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Tempers flaring among early voters: http://www.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/voters-6th-district-losing-manners-election-becomes-aggressive/qzRKcKC1RaMy2iJQdD5aOM/

This kind of behavior is just sad.

Such unnecessary drama. Get in, vote, leave. My family voted for Clinton several days before the election day, and the whole process took about 3 minutes. No lines, no drama, nada. Cobb needs at least 3 more EV locations, lines and waits are unacceptable. Voting for every American should be as easy, very quick, and drama free in a calm and secure environment as it was for my family.

Exactly. Why doesn't Cobb have more EV locations anyway?

I don't know, but they better have a better excuse than "saving money" like officials in Arizona and Maricopa county had for reducing EV places from 200 to 60. Let's just say one of the ringleaders of this stupid plot was ousted in the next election. I hope the same happens in Cobb too.

[Gass3268]

GOP pollsters Trafalgar Group have it: Ossoff 50 Handel 47

There polls were super Republican in 2016, but most ended up being pretty accurate.

[Cactus Jack]

I know better than to rely too heavily on polling after Trump's election and Labour's recent gains in the UK, but I'm pretty sure we can stick a fork in Handel.

[Kamala]

I know better than to rely too heavily on polling after Trump's election and Labour's recent gains in the UK, but I'm pretty sure we can stick a fork in Handel.

Welcome to the forum! But also don't jinx it please.

[Young Conservative]

GOP pollsters Trafalgar Group have it: Ossoff 50 Handel 47

There polls were super Republican in 2016, but most ended up being pretty accurate.

Can we spot calling them super Republican when they were the most accurate state level polls?

Also, *their