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The Other Castro
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« Reply #950 on: April 18, 2017, 07:12:29 PM »
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
BREAKING: Ashford Park Elementary in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 53.0% of 827 votes cast. Hillary got 45.6% here.
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Matty
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« Reply #951 on: April 18, 2017, 07:12:39 PM »
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on April 18, 2017, 07:12:01 PM
This guy on Twitter is literally posting pictures of voter machine receipts before results are posted in the vote count:

https://twitter.com/conorsen

is that legal?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #952 on: April 18, 2017, 07:12:39 PM »
Ashford Dunwoody Prec Ossoff 537 of 1121 votes >50 went 45.69 Trump to 45.91 Clinton in November. Prepare for a long night #gapol
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #953 on: April 18, 2017, 07:12:51 PM »
sorry for silly questions but....is this county especially important like the big one in kansas or just the first one?
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #954 on: April 18, 2017, 07:13:35 PM »

If true and repeated across the district, this is over and Ossoff wins without a run-off easily. 50% of election day-only votes in a Trump precinct means at least 55% of votes overall.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #955 on: April 18, 2017, 07:13:47 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 18, 2017, 07:12:29 PM
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
BREAKING: Ashford Park Elementary in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 53.0% of 827 votes cast. Hillary got 45.6% here.

But there's also this:

Conor Sen‏ @conorsen  
 BREAKING: Ashford Dunwoody Rd in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 47.9% of 1121 votes cast. Downtick from Hillary’s 51.8%

And this:
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
More
 BREAKING: Silver Lake in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 50.5% of 1284 ballots cast. Hillary at 51.5%.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #956 on: April 18, 2017, 07:14:26 PM »
BREAKING: Silver Lake in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 50.5% of 1284 ballots cast. Hillary at 51.5%.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #957 on: April 18, 2017, 07:14:57 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 18, 2017, 07:13:47 PM
Quote from: Castro on April 18, 2017, 07:12:29 PM
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
BREAKING: Ashford Park Elementary in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 53.0% of 827 votes cast. Hillary got 45.6% here.

But there's also this:

Conor Sen‏ @conorsen  
 BREAKING: Ashford Dunwoody Rd in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 47.9% of 1121 votes cast. Downtick from Hillary’s 51.8%

And this:
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
More
 BREAKING: Silver Lake in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 50.5% of 1284 ballots cast. Hillary at 51.5%.

Doesn't include early vote.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #958 on: April 18, 2017, 07:15:04 PM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on April 18, 2017, 07:12:51 PM
sorry for silly questions but....is this county especially important like the big one in kansas or just the first one?

There are only three counties in this district (or, rather, partially in this district). Fulton is ~50% of the district, while DeKalb (the one partially reporting) and Cobb are around 25% each. DeKalb is the most Democratic-friendly while Cobb is the most Republican-friendly and Fulton is pretty evenly split. Going in more detail than that is not that helpful.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #959 on: April 18, 2017, 07:15:17 PM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on April 18, 2017, 07:12:51 PM
sorry for silly questions but....is this county especially important like the big one in kansas or just the first one?
All three county's are important for different reasons.  This is the one which gives a Dem the margins they need to win.  Fulton has the most votes, while Cobb being kept under a certain margin for Republicans can really help them.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #960 on: April 18, 2017, 07:15:34 PM »
Is Hillary's total % a combined of election & early voting, or just election day?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #961 on: April 18, 2017, 07:15:57 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 18, 2017, 07:13:47 PM
Quote from: Castro on April 18, 2017, 07:12:29 PM
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
BREAKING: Ashford Park Elementary in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 53.0% of 827 votes cast. Hillary got 45.6% here.

But there's also this:

Conor Sen‏ @conorsen  
 BREAKING: Ashford Dunwoody Rd in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 47.9% of 1121 votes cast. Downtick from Hillary’s 51.8%

And this:
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
More
 BREAKING: Silver Lake in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 50.5% of 1284 ballots cast. Hillary at 51.5%.

Nate Cohn‏ @Nate_Cohn
Nate Cohn Retweeted Conor Sen
Including ev, it's Ossoff at 52.6--just ahead of Clinton, maybe a tick lower than hopes. But turnout is huge.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #962 on: April 18, 2017, 07:16:45 PM »
Quote from: Tintrlvr on April 18, 2017, 07:15:04 PM
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on April 18, 2017, 07:12:51 PM
sorry for silly questions but....is this county especially important like the big one in kansas or just the first one?

There are only three counties in this district (or, rather, partially in this district). Fulton is ~50% of the district, while DeKalb (the one partially reporting) and Cobb are around 25% each. DeKalb is the most Democratic-friendly while Cobb is the most Republican-friendly and Fulton is pretty evenly split. Going in more detail than that is not that helpful.

thanks so much, easy to understand like that.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #963 on: April 18, 2017, 07:17:07 PM »
Those Ossoff numbers are ED vote, while Hillary is total vote I believe, so he is still doing better.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #964 on: April 18, 2017, 07:17:43 PM »
The turnout is pretty huge in all these Dekalb precints and thats not even including early vote... he could pull this thing off.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #965 on: April 18, 2017, 07:18:12 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 18, 2017, 07:17:43 PM
The turnout is pretty huge in all these Dekalb precints and thats not even including early vote... he could pull this thing off.

Relax...
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Libertarian in Name Only
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« Reply #966 on: April 18, 2017, 07:18:31 PM »
Comparing to 538 spreadsheet, about 1/2 precincts are over, 1/2 under benchmarks
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Barnes
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« Reply #967 on: April 18, 2017, 07:18:34 PM »
This ConnorSen dude:

BREAKING: Briarwood precinct in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 66.0% of 673 ballots cast. Hillary was 58.9%.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #968 on: April 18, 2017, 07:18:50 PM »
Quote from: marty on April 18, 2017, 07:12:39 PM
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on April 18, 2017, 07:12:01 PM
This guy on Twitter is literally posting pictures of voter machine receipts before results are posted in the vote count:

https://twitter.com/conorsen

is that legal?
Probably not but idc.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #969 on: April 18, 2017, 07:19:19 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 18, 2017, 07:15:57 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on April 18, 2017, 07:13:47 PM
Quote from: Castro on April 18, 2017, 07:12:29 PM
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
BREAKING: Ashford Park Elementary in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 53.0% of 827 votes cast. Hillary got 45.6% here.

But there's also this:

Conor Sen‏ @conorsen  
 BREAKING: Ashford Dunwoody Rd in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 47.9% of 1121 votes cast. Downtick from Hillary’s 51.8%

And this:
Conor Sen‏ @conorsen
More
 BREAKING: Silver Lake in DeKalb reports. Ossoff with 50.5% of 1284 ballots cast. Hillary at 51.5%.

Nate Cohn‏ @Nate_Cohn
Nate Cohn Retweeted Conor Sen
Including ev, it's Ossoff at 52.6--just ahead of Clinton, maybe a tick lower than hopes. But turnout is huge.

So far, it looks like Ossoff is easily going to pass the 42-43% they were talking about over the last few days--don't know if he will get to 50%, though.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #970 on: April 18, 2017, 07:19:41 PM »
Remember, be careful comparing Ossoff's Election Day vote to Clinton's Total vote.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #971 on: April 18, 2017, 07:19:45 PM »
@Nate_Cohn:

Turnout is near midterm levels in these DeKalb precincts, which is going to raise the burden even higher on the GOP in Cobb
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #972 on: April 18, 2017, 07:20:33 PM »
Quote from: MAINEiac4434 on April 18, 2017, 07:18:50 PM
Quote from: marty on April 18, 2017, 07:12:39 PM
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on April 18, 2017, 07:12:01 PM
This guy on Twitter is literally posting pictures of voter machine receipts before results are posted in the vote count:

https://twitter.com/conorsen

is that legal?

Probably not but idc.

Kemp isn't the most competent SOS
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #973 on: April 18, 2017, 07:20:48 PM »
Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
Numbers inbound for EARLY votes for Cobb, Ossoff 57% in early there
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #974 on: April 18, 2017, 07:20:54 PM »
From DDHQ:

Numbers inbound for EARLY votes for Cobb, Ossoff 57% in early there
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