GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250800 times)
LimoLiberal
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« Reply #975 on: April 18, 2017, 07:21:12 PM »

57% in Cobb Early vote!!!!!!!!
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #976 on: April 18, 2017, 07:21:39 PM »

That Cobb EV is ABOVE Ossoff's approximate EV benchmark of 53%.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #977 on: April 18, 2017, 07:21:48 PM »

Still early vote guys, don't overreact.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #978 on: April 18, 2017, 07:21:51 PM »

What was the early vote target for Cobb?
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Jeppe
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« Reply #979 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:09 PM »

I don't think the GOP can recover from that, that 57% figure is brutal, even for just early vote.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #980 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:18 PM »

Does anyone have a rough estimate of how many votes are expected to be cast in total?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #981 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:24 PM »

Still early vote guys, don't overreact.

Always sound advice.  But you've got to think Ossoff is happier about these numbers than the GOP is.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #982 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:38 PM »

Ossoff currently at 63.4% with EV from Dekalb and Cobb.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #983 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:44 PM »

Still early vote guys, don't overreact.

My big concern is whether or not Ossoff got shredded in Cobb and Fulton ED vote
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Xing
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« Reply #984 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:56 PM »

This is early vote. We'll know more when election day votes start coming in.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #985 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:00 PM »

What was the early vote target for Cobb?

Total vote target was about 43%, so 53% for EV.

Also:

Nate Cohn‏ @Nate_Cohn
Ossoff at 57% in the Cobb County early vote. That's more impressive than the DeKalb tally. Ossoff on track for 2/3 of the EV
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reidmill
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« Reply #986 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:07 PM »

Does anyone have a rough estimate of how many votes are expected to be cast in total?

Nobody knows
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #987 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:21 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2017, 07:27:57 PM by Tintrlvr »

Handel seems to be reasonably solid for second if there is a runoff at this point. She's about even with Hill in Cobb with Moody and Gray way behind, while she is also about even with Moody in DeKalb with Hill and Gray way behind. And she's from Fulton, so should do best there (as will Gray; Hill is from Cobb but is still in third without Fulton in so is definitely out of the runoff). She might get third everywhere but second overall.
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jfern
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« Reply #988 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:28 PM »

Ossoff is ahead in every precinct in Cobb in the early vote except for one where he's in a 3 way tie with 2, LOL.
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« Reply #989 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:34 PM »

What were the benchmarks of what Ossoff needs to win?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #990 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:40 PM »

Regardless of how this jungle primary ends up, my feeling from the results so far is that Democrats are angry AF, and that portends well for the midterms next year.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #991 on: April 18, 2017, 07:23:54 PM »

Still early vote guys, don't overreact.

yes, but a higher number of EV than expected.

well, could just mean the EV is now a bigger number of boters than in the past but still...
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #992 on: April 18, 2017, 07:24:10 PM »

The Dems prepared very well for the EV drive in all three counties.  I am impressed with the turnout.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #993 on: April 18, 2017, 07:24:20 PM »

What were the benchmarks of what Ossoff needs to win?

You can find them all here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1T9gbq8BANoatjNTf68wPw9s_JXZYh2xRy9naqC5tWh8/htmlview?usp=sharing&sle=true#
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #994 on: April 18, 2017, 07:24:41 PM »

What was the early vote target for Cobb?
Nate Cohen had him at 49.4%, so this is better for him than expected.
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #995 on: April 18, 2017, 07:25:10 PM »

Nate Cohn says this is going to be a long night
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #996 on: April 18, 2017, 07:25:46 PM »

Election day or Early vote Ossoff should not be ahead in every precinct in East Cobb in EV.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #997 on: April 18, 2017, 07:26:16 PM »

Do we know the party breakdown for early votes for Cobb? Was R > D?
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #998 on: April 18, 2017, 07:27:00 PM »

Fulton just dumped, Ossoff ahead in almost every precinct.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #999 on: April 18, 2017, 07:27:19 PM »

I'll admit, this EV is way better than I thought it would be for Ossoff.
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