GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[heatcharger]

New poll of possible match ups have Ossoff beating Handel 42-41 an Gray 44-42 http://m.dailykos.com/stories/2017/3/24/1646914/-As-a-new-poll-gives-Jon-Ossoff-a-runoff-lead-the-GOP-drops-another-1-1-million-on-ads

It'd be smart to be weary that undecideds will break towards the Republicans, but this race is looking a lot closer that it was thought to be only a few months ago.

[publicunofficial]

New poll of possible match ups have Ossoff beating Handel 42-41 an Gray 44-42 http://m.dailykos.com/stories/2017/3/24/1646914/-As-a-new-poll-gives-Jon-Ossoff-a-runoff-lead-the-GOP-drops-another-1-1-million-on-ads

Me after November: "I should really learn to not freak out after every poll, look at the basic fundamentals of the race, and remember everything within the margin of error is basically a toss-up"

Me at this poll:

[LabourJersey]

New poll of possible match ups have Ossoff beating Handel 42-41 an Gray 44-42 http://m.dailykos.com/stories/2017/3/24/1646914/-As-a-new-poll-gives-Jon-Ossoff-a-runoff-lead-the-GOP-drops-another-1-1-million-on-ads

So it's a toss-up then. I still think undecideds are going to break for the Republican (unless there is some awful gaffe or they become too tied to Trump), but Ossoff has enough cash to keep himself very competitive against any Republican

[Nyvin]

As long as San Francisco pumps out all the cash it does, Pelosi will remain in the leadership.

[Ronnie]

I wonder why Republicans have such a passionate hatred for Pelosi.  Is it because she was an extraordinarily competent Speaker representing the party they detest, that she is an empowered liberal woman, or both?

[moderatevoter]

I wonder why Republicans have such a passionate hatred for Pelosi.  Is it because she was an extraordinarily competent Speaker representing the party they detest, that she is an empowered liberal woman, or both?

It's more the "San Francisco Liberal" stereotype, IMO. She's easy to caricature.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I wonder why Republicans have such a passionate hatred for Pelosi.  Is it because she was an extraordinarily competent Speaker representing the party they detest, that she is an empowered liberal woman, or both?

It's more the "San Francisco Liberal" stereotype, IMO. She's easy to caricature.

^this also with the dash of sexism

[Brittain33]

Early voting starts tomorrow!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Amusing TV ad juxtaposition yesterday on Atlanta's CBS-46 during the NCAA tournament.  On two occasions there was a Moody ad followed almost immediately by an Ossoff ad.  These were the first GOP ads I've seen; Ossoff ads have been on a while.

[OneJ]

Vox's take on the GA-06 race

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[The Other Castro]

Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject  54s55 seconds ago
FWIW, 447 people have already voted absentee ballots in #GA06. Today is first day of in-person early voting

[publicunofficial]

Someone refresh me on Georgia law: If a candidate gets over 50% in the special primary, the election is over correct?

[CapoteMonster]

Someone refresh me on Georgia law: If a candidate gets over 50% in the special primary, the election is over correct?

Yes, that's correct.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The jungle primary is on April 18, right?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The jungle primary is on April 18, right?

Yes, and the runoff will be June 20 if necessary (which will almost certainly be the case).

[Jeppe]

I feel like Ossoff might just surprise everybody and get over 50% of the vote in the jungle primary. Perfect storm would have to happen though.

[Rjjr77]

I feel like Ossoff might just surprise everybody and get over 50% of the vote in the jungle primary. Perfect storm would have to happen though.

This will not happen.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I feel like Ossoff might just surprise everybody and get over 50% of the vote in the jungle primary. Perfect storm would have to happen though.

This will not happen.

Agreed.  I think he'll be first in the jungle primary by a good margin, but don't have a good feel for who will finish second.  I'd guess Handel simply on the basis of name recognition, but who knows.  The runoff is anyone's guess; the result probably depends on how many outrageous things Trump does in the days leading up to it.

[Hindsight was 2020]

First day early voting: 60 Dem vs 28 Rep https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/846531645272403968

[Holmes]

That's a really big discrepancy.

[ajc0918]

Any idea how independent voters will split? I don't think I have  seen any polling results by affiliation

[Hindsight was 2020]

Nate is also reporting that absentee are lopsided Dem as well

[Babeuf]

Does anyone have a link to the early voting stats / the absentee ballot requests? I looked on the Georgia SoS website and couldn't find anything.

[ajc0918]

Some demographic date on the first day EV: https://twitter.com/electproject/status/846551093081493505

[Rjjr77]

First day early voting almost always trends hard democrat, everywhere. Take those numbers with a grain of salt, and look at early vote numbers as a whole at the end.