GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[DrScholl]

When the "Godless" type ads come out, you know who is in trouble. From what I've heard about the latest ad, it's really desperate.

[Bacon King]

AKA why the GOP tries to undermine early voting:

I was going to say, "what the hell Dekalb County" but it looks like they got their act together and as of today now have an early voting location open within the district

Also for the last week of early voting, Cobb County will have a second location open - in the southernmost Cobb portion of the district, which actually has a significant minority population.

[Classic Conservative]

Moody Internal Poll: https://mobile.twitter.com/undefined/status/849703709768658946

Ossoff: 43%
Handel: 12%
Moody: 12%
Hill: 10%
Gray: 8%

[Barnes]

Moody Internal Poll: https://mobile.twitter.com/undefined/status/849703709768658946

Ossoff: 43%
Handel: 12%
Moody: 12%
Hill: 10%
Gray: 8%

Moody's ads are the only Republican candidate on tv. He's been using David Perdue's endorsement as a greater focus than himself, so I expect that's having at least a surface impact among uninterested Republican voters.

[henster]

GOP mailer against Ossoff as scummy as the TV ads.

https://twitter.com/peytoned/status/849713214405443585

[Hindsight was 2020]

GOP mailer against Ossoff as scummy as the TV ads.

https://twitter.com/peytoned/status/849713214405443585

But remember the dems are the ones who play identity politics

[henster]

Lee Atwater is running this campaign from his grave.

[Hindsight was 2020]

An now we know why Moody's internal poll has generic rep up only 1% with 4% unsure vs generic dem (aka Ossoff) https://mobile.twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/849724220535910402

[Ebsy]

Even if there is a runoff, this is hardly looking like a slam dunk for the GOP.

[Jeppe]

Still holding onto my prediction that Ossoff surprisingly hits 50% in the first ballot. Perfect storm happening.

[Ebsy]

Still holding onto my prediction that Ossoff surprisingly hits 50% in the first ballot. Perfect storm happening.

Ossoff is showing his amateurishness by not responding to any of these attacks. They can't go unanswered, or voters tend to think they have some sort of truth to them.

lol

[henster]

Apparently there is a debate with all 18 candidates, its basically 17 vs. 1. Don't know who thought this format was a good idea.

[Ebsy]

Still holding onto my prediction that Ossoff surprisingly hits 50% in the first ballot. Perfect storm happening.

Ossoff is showing his amateurishness by not responding to any of these attacks. They can't go unanswered, or voters tend to think they have some sort of truth to them.

lol

I would've thought 2016 would've taught observers to not overestimate the reasoning ability of the electorate

Worked real well for Nixon. Ossoff gets up on stage, says that he isn't an Al Qaeda sympathizer, and whatever he says goes into a new attack ad the next day. Thankfully Ossoff is a disciplined candidate and not so simpleminded.

[Tintrlvr]

Apparently there is a debate with all 18 candidates, its basically 17 vs. 1. Don't know who thought this format was a good idea.

There are two or three other Democrats also, just all very obscure. And I think it's more likely the Republicans attack each other; they're fighting for a spot in the run-off right now, while Ossoff's first round score only matters if he gets to 50%.

[Ebsy]

Still holding onto my prediction that Ossoff surprisingly hits 50% in the first ballot. Perfect storm happening.

Ossoff is showing his amateurishness by not responding to any of these attacks. They can't go unanswered, or voters tend to think they have some sort of truth to them.

lol

I would've thought 2016 would've taught observers to not overestimate the reasoning ability of the electorate

Worked real well for Nixon. Ossoff gets up on stage, says that he isn't an Al Qaeda sympathizer, and whatever he says goes into a new attack ad the next day. Thankfully Ossoff is a disciplined candidate and not so simpleminded.

Or, you know, his campaign could do what Kay Hagan's did in 2008 and have the ads called out all over the country for the trash they are.

That's a lot easier to do when you are running against a single candidate like Dole instead of a field of smaller candidates and most of the spending on the GOP side is being done by outside groups. And, these ads have been criticized by the media inside and outside of the district, but honestly, how much media attention do you expect for a single special election to get?

[Maxwell]

These attacks are all limp and expected. Ossoff is responding to them appropriately.

[Tartarus Sauce]

The current trends are actually making it seem possible that Ossof might be more likely to win a run-off than the first round. The narrative so far has been that if he doesn't pull off an upset win in the primary, he'll lose 6-8% in the run-off. That could obviously still happen, but the confidence people have been assigning to that scenario is looking increasingly suspect. A run-off might be a lot closer than people are expecting.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ossoff has raised $8.3M so far, which appears to be a record for Georgia elections to the U.S. House (all such elections, not just specials).  He has $2.1M on hand.  The average contribution size is $42.52.

http://www.myajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ossoff-pulls-record-donations-for-georgia-special-election/MqGzLMjrzVRR8jE5YGs3rL/

[Ebsy]

That is more than every House candidate last year other than Speaker Paul Ryan. Kevin McCarthy is closest with 7.7 million.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Looks like Team Trump is sweating...sending out poorly written fundraising emails:

Sweating like a dog!

[Ebsy]

It should be noted that this iteration of GA-06 is entirely different than the version Gingrich represented in the 1990s. Not even any overlap whatsoever.

[Barnes]

These attacks are all limp and expected. Ossoff is responding to them appropriately.

Yeah, as someone who has to suffer through this stuff on a daily basis, they are pretty weak.

[henster]

Hopefully Baldwin, Brown & Casey can raise this kind of $$ and whoever our runs in NV/AZ.

[Brittain33]

It should be noted that this iteration of GA-06 is entirely different than the version Gingrich represented in the 1990s. Not even any overlap whatsoever.

It's different than what he represented in the 1980s, but the same territory he had in the 1990s.

[heatcharger]

Georgia Department of Transportstion says they hope to have I-85 open again by June 15th, five days before a hypothetical runoff.