GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Any weather updates for tomorrow?

Seeing twitter chatter that it will be heavy heavy rain and flash flood warnings from 9am to 9pm.

Atlanta is right on the edge of the system, with 80s and sunshine just to the south and storms just to the north

[Adam Griffin]

Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

RIP

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

lol

Here's something one of the, er, "minor" Republican candidates in this race left on their Facebook page last week:

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He's a Muslim immigrant who became a successful doctor, running as a Republican against the (((Kushner)))-controlled (((Ossoff))).

[Adam Griffin]

IT'S HERE

[Brittain33]

Trolling (and replies) deleted.

This thread should be home to wide-ranging conversation given the impact of and interest in this race. If you see posts that violate Forum guidelines or are pure trolling, please report.--Mod

[Gass3268]

How is Ossoff going to raise taxes and bring in illegal immigrants don't Rs control Congress? I don't get this line of messaging from Rs.

Same way Cory Gardner was going to ban birth control

RIP Condoms

[OkThen]

Did anyone ever discuss that Ossoff is very attractive? I'm kinda in love tbh regardless of his politics...

Anyways CW seems to be that he's DoA if this goes to a runoff. Anyone else feel that getting to 50+1 in the runoff will be easier than cracking 50+1 today? Just don't see how he can get past 47-48% today.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Did anyone ever discuss that Ossoff is very attractive? I'm kinda in love tbh regardless of his politics...

Anyways CW seems to be that he's DoA if this goes to a runoff. Anyone else feel that getting to 50+1 in the runoff will be easier than cracking 50+1 today? Just don't see how he can get past 47-48% today.

I agree with you.  I don't see him getting there today, but the runoff is probably a coin flip.

[Adam Griffin]

My original forecast was 40-42% for the April election because of "the Discrepancy". I've since revised that to 43% (45% for runoff) simply because the enthusiasm, organization and money will make a slight dent in what would otherwise be the result.

Still, I really don't think Democrats are going to be impressed with the margin tonight. I'll be happy if the (Ossoff-Combined GOP) margin is in the single-digits. It all really feels like hype to me: "we've raised a ton of money (almost all from out-of-state anti-Trump sentiment), the media is spinning all the right narratives, and we've engaged a bunch of already-reliable local Democratic voters". At the end of the day, you can spend and canvass all you want, but if the votes don't exist within normal parameters in an area, then it doesn't matter. Outside of presidential contests from 2008-2016, this area has shown zero propensity for supporting Democrats on the ballot at any level of government in numbers that would make it competitive.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

Stop giving me reasons to cheer for Republicans.

[Gass3268]

538 has developed a GA-06 Special Election Precinct Benchmarks for Ossoff Spreadsheet. I imagine this will be a good resource to have tonight.

[RI]

DDHQ will be doing a live precinct-level cartogram of the race tonight.

[Gass3268]

Midterm level turnout in the most Democratic precinct in DeKalb County:

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[RI]

Midterm level in Pleasantdale = 50% of 2016 vote

[Hindsight was 2020]

Midterm level turnout in the most Democratic precinct in DeKalb County:

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This is good to hear with the concern that he blew too much on EV

[Gass3268]

Midterm level turnout in the most Democratic precinct in DeKalb County:

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This is good to hear with the concern that he blew too much on EV

Should be noted that DeKalb County had the worst EV situation.

[Suburbia]

If Ossoff doesn't live in the district, how is he so popular there? Anyway, Ossoff could be a Southern rising star post-Clinton/Edwards.

[Tender Branson]

Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

That's the craziest bet since my Leicester vs. Atletico Madrid bet today.

I dropped 15€ for a Atletico first half lead, followed by a Leicester win at the end of the game.

Quota is 1:51. If I win, I get 750€.



Anyway, good luck with your bet.

[rob in cal]

   I bet a few dollars that no one gets 50%.  Odds were 82% favorite that no one gets 50%.

[The Other Castro]

Dropped $500 on Ossoff on Predictit

Of he loses, he's dead to me

Hoh boy this'll be good.

[ajc0918]

If Ossoff doesn't live in the district, how is he so popular there? Anyway, Ossoff could be a Southern rising star post-Clinton/Edwards.

He lives literally about a 15 minute run from GA-06. Between weird county lines and the district lines they might as well all be the same place.

[ajc0918]

"@DeKalbVotes: Turnout Count Update for Congressional Districts 6: Total as of 10 am: 4,428"

Note sure how this compares but this is the total for DeKalb from 10AM.

[Classic Conservative]

A lot of people in DeKalb are going to the polls thinking they live in District 6 while in reality they don't.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BPetersenWSB/status/854361655844769792

[Hindsight was 2020]

A lot of people in DeKalb are going to the polls thinking they live in District 6 while in reality they don't.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BPetersenWSB/status/854361655844769792

Those tweets don't make it sound like alot but that does mean DeKalb is coming out to vote

[The Other Castro]

A lot of people in DeKalb are going to the polls thinking they live in District 6 while in reality they don't.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BPetersenWSB/status/854361655844769792

Better than people that actually live in the district thinking they don't and not voting.