GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250222 times)
Barnes
Roy Barnes 2010
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« Reply #850 on: April 18, 2017, 06:04:19 PM »
« edited: April 18, 2017, 06:07:36 PM by Barnes »

I'm hoping Ossoff gets over 50% for many reasons, but also because having to wait another two months for election day is agonizing.

American elections are too long, dammit.

two months is a bizarre time period, imo.

Why can't a runoff only be mere days/week after the jungle?

Georgia (I don't know about other states) is required to allow plenty of time for overseas military ballots to be received.

The 2008 Senate runoff was only a month later though. Was it because it was Christmas soon, then swearing in soon after?

A federal judicial ruling in 2013 forced the state to extend the time period between a regular election and a runoff. The state legislature dutifully amended the law to have the two month period but declined to change state election to match it. So, for example in 2014, if the two races had gone to runoffs, the Governor's election would have been the first week of December while the Senate race would have been the first week of January 2015. Incidentally, that's a few days after the new Senator would have taken office.
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #851 on: April 18, 2017, 06:05:20 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2017, 06:07:10 PM by Confused Democrat »

NYT expects results to start coming in at 7:30
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Matty
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« Reply #852 on: April 18, 2017, 06:06:11 PM »

NYT's expects results to start coming in at 7:30

Wish it was earlier.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #853 on: April 18, 2017, 06:08:58 PM »

Fulton County will not be releasing anything, no early vote or whatever, until 8.
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Matty
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« Reply #854 on: April 18, 2017, 06:09:58 PM »

Fulton County will not be releasing anything, no early vote or whatever, until 8.

Boo this man! boo this!
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Beet
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« Reply #855 on: April 18, 2017, 06:10:07 PM »

Go Ossoff!
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heatcharger
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« Reply #856 on: April 18, 2017, 06:10:33 PM »

Metro ATL always takes forever to report. It's probably worse than NOVA in that aspect.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #857 on: April 18, 2017, 06:10:53 PM »

Cobb won't report till 7:45
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ajc0918
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« Reply #858 on: April 18, 2017, 06:11:02 PM »

Cobb County results beginning at 7:45pm.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #859 on: April 18, 2017, 06:12:21 PM »

So, DeKalb is probably going to come in first, skewing the results to be even more pro-Ossoff initially.
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #860 on: April 18, 2017, 06:16:40 PM »

Final GA-06 predictions before the results start coming in?

I say Ossoff fails to reach 50 and gets between 43-47.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #861 on: April 18, 2017, 06:18:39 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #862 on: April 18, 2017, 06:20:37 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.

Hope so. I'm thinking it's going to be close.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #863 on: April 18, 2017, 06:21:40 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #864 on: April 18, 2017, 06:21:59 PM »

Final prediction...

Ossoff: 46.9%
Handel: 18%
Gray: 16%
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KingSweden
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« Reply #865 on: April 18, 2017, 06:22:04 PM »

Ossoff at 46, Gray takes the second slot
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Progressive
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« Reply #866 on: April 18, 2017, 06:22:27 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.

I'm heartened by the fact that both Handel and Gray have some potentially fatal flaws in a runoff, that being said, I also think the Ossoff campaign ran a very effective campaign for the preliminary round and I'm thinking 50.0%+
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #867 on: April 18, 2017, 06:23:01 PM »

Does anyone have links to the results?
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Adam the Gr8
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« Reply #868 on: April 18, 2017, 06:25:04 PM »

Does anyone have links to the results?
I found this.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6
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Xing
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« Reply #869 on: April 18, 2017, 06:25:25 PM »

I'm still going to be cautious. I'll say Ossoff gets about 45-46%.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #870 on: April 18, 2017, 06:25:32 PM »

Does anyone have links to the results?

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

No results yet though.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #871 on: April 18, 2017, 06:28:21 PM »

DDHQ is normally pretty quick at updating.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/georgia-6th-congressional-district-ga06-special-election-primary/

Results won't be long now.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #872 on: April 18, 2017, 06:29:29 PM »

Reminder before votes start coming in. Ossoff rough 50% benchmarks:

Cobb - 43.38%
Fulton - 49.46%
DeKalb - 60.03%

Benchmarks for EV are probably around 10% higher in each.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #873 on: April 18, 2017, 06:30:19 PM »

I'm thinking Ossoff comes just short of a majority, something like 48-49%. 

Handel comes in second, something in the high teens.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #874 on: April 18, 2017, 06:30:35 PM »


Atlanta area usually last to report in GA. That's why it took so long in 2016.
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