GA-6 Special election discussion thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 06:32:31 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  GA-6 Special election discussion thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 [45] 46 47 48 49 50 ... 120
Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250396 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,687


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1100 on: April 18, 2017, 08:03:59 PM »

Can anyone explain the reason for the seriously slow counting?

Metro ATL, and Fulton in particular, are always notoriously slow.  I've heard they have some antiquated procedures that slow things down, but don't know the details.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1101 on: April 18, 2017, 08:04:35 PM »

Some more numbers from Cobb bring Ossoff below 60%, now at 57.8%
Logged
Lothal1
Rookie
**
Posts: 228
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1102 on: April 18, 2017, 08:04:50 PM »

And the collapse begins...
Logged
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,073


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1103 on: April 18, 2017, 08:04:59 PM »

NY Times updated: 9% of precincts reporting.

Ossoff is at 57.8%.  handel is pulling ahead of the others with 15.2%.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1104 on: April 18, 2017, 08:04:59 PM »

If Ossoff wins tonight, it won't be without good showing in Cobb and Fulton, but DeKalb will likely drag him across the finish line.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,535
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1105 on: April 18, 2017, 08:05:49 PM »

At worst right now he's matching Hillary's numbers in 2016.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1106 on: April 18, 2017, 08:06:01 PM »

Full updated numbers:

Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    57.8%   38,545
Karen Handel (Republican)    15.2%   10,147
Dan Moody (Republican)    8.3%   5,550
Bob Gray (Republican)    8.0%   5,320
Judson Hill (Republican)    7.3%   4,883
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1107 on: April 18, 2017, 08:06:43 PM »

Ossoff is at 49% in Cobb, just 6% above his target.
Logged
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,073


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1108 on: April 18, 2017, 08:06:58 PM »

Kind of surprised that Handel is doing this well.  I thought that final Clout poll was good news for Gray (yes, I know Clout isn't all that reliable).
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,529
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1109 on: April 18, 2017, 08:07:08 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
ProgressiveCanadian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,690
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1110 on: April 18, 2017, 08:07:11 PM »

DeKalb still barley in.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1111 on: April 18, 2017, 08:08:01 PM »

So far Bob Gray is getting demolished... that's surprising.
Logged
LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1112 on: April 18, 2017, 08:08:18 PM »

He can't drop much further in Cobb. 12/51 in there.
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1113 on: April 18, 2017, 08:08:45 PM »

If Ossoff's numbers keep dropping like this as Election Day vote rolls in, he actually might end up below 40%.

He's losing about a quarter point per precinct. Obviously not all precincts are the same size, though. Told you this was going to be fun
https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/854501522096484354
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1114 on: April 18, 2017, 08:08:53 PM »

Live look at Handel's watch party:

Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,687


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1115 on: April 18, 2017, 08:09:13 PM »

So far Bob Gray is getting demolished... that's surprising.

Gray was the most Trumpian candidate.
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,834
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1116 on: April 18, 2017, 08:09:22 PM »


Is Dekalb expected to be more favorable for Ossoff?
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1117 on: April 18, 2017, 08:09:36 PM »

Ossoff is now down to 56.7% on the Georgia elections page with 41 precincts completed.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1118 on: April 18, 2017, 08:09:59 PM »

So far Bob Gray is getting demolished... that's surprising.

Gray was the most Trumpian candidate.

Yes but I figured because so many establishment R's were split they would all gravitate to him.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,912
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1119 on: April 18, 2017, 08:10:44 PM »


Yes it's the most D county
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,128
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1120 on: April 18, 2017, 08:10:55 PM »

41/210 puts Ossoff at 56%
Logged
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,073


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1121 on: April 18, 2017, 08:10:57 PM »

I've been wondering this, and I wanted to know:

How would Ossoff's beliefs be defined as?  Moderate, liberal, or progressive?  And please explain why.

Also, when I mean liberal, I mean in the middle of moderate and Elizabeth Warren-style progressive.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1122 on: April 18, 2017, 08:11:03 PM »

Nate Cohn‏ @Nate_Cohn
Based exclusively on the 41 ~completed precincts:
I'd guess we're on track for 190k, Ossoff at 48. A real MoE on both.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1123 on: April 18, 2017, 08:11:23 PM »

Ossoff is down to just 58.5% in DeKalb. That's below his target.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,954


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1124 on: April 18, 2017, 08:11:35 PM »

If Ossoff's numbers keep dropping like this as Election Day vote rolls in, he actually might end up below 40%.

He's losing about a quarter point per precinct. Obviously not all precincts are the same size, though. Told you this was going to be fun
https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/854501522096484354

(R)CP
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 40 41 42 43 44 [45] 46 47 48 49 50 ... 120  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 12 queries.