GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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« Reply #1175 on: April 18, 2017, 08:26:08 PM »

I'm guessing Ossoff lands between 46-48%
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #1176 on: April 18, 2017, 08:26:17 PM »

In very typical fashion people are getting way to invested here earlier today someone on this thread would have told you upper 40's against Handel was a good position for Ossoff but now libs are doom and gloom an reps are declaring Handel rep
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swf541
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« Reply #1177 on: April 18, 2017, 08:26:21 PM »

In very typical fashion people are getting way to invested here earlier today someone on this thread would have told you upper 40's against Handel was a good position for Ossoff but now libs are doom and gloom an reps are declaring Handel rep

Pretty much upper 40s ossoff is impressive, also wouldn't the runoff being in summer lead to more young voters in college being present?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1178 on: April 18, 2017, 08:26:34 PM »

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1179 on: April 18, 2017, 08:26:54 PM »

The new SoS interface is sucking at showing me county-by-county or precinct-by-precinct totals. How much vote from Fulton is actually in?

16% in for Fulton.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #1180 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:12 PM »

About 1% of the vote is non-Ossoff Democrats who voted for someone else

Watch Ossoff get 49% of the vote. lol
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1181 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:14 PM »

The new SoS interface is sucking at showing me county-by-county or precinct-by-precinct totals. How much vote from Fulton is actually in?
NYT says 16% is in.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1182 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:27 PM »

I don't think it's possible to call this until we see what Fulton day vote looks like.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #1183 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:30 PM »

Ossoff seems to be holding well for now.  I guess it'll be a few more vote-number dumps before he falls below 50%.

Gray is taking 3rd, though.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1184 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:47 PM »

If Ossoff can break even in Fulton (assuming the vast majority isn't counted already) and the remainder of the vote in Cobb is proportionate to its share of the population, then it would suggest Ossoff gets about 51% of the vote in the end (assuming 55% of vote is outstanding and comes to 46.7 Ossoff; 45% is in at 55% Ossoff).
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #1185 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:53 PM »

He's down to 55% in Fulton
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Libertarian in Name Only
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« Reply #1186 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:58 PM »

In very typical fashion people are getting way to invested here earlier today someone on this thread would have told you upper 40's against Handel was a good position for Ossoff but now libs are doom and gloom an reps are declaring Handel rep

Pretty much upper 40s ossoff is impressive, also wouldn't the runoff being in summer lead to more young voters in college being present?
Depends if they registered to vote at college dorm or home
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1187 on: April 18, 2017, 08:28:47 PM »

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.

Per @Bencjacobs, those were 19 precincts in far north Fulton (very Republican territory).
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Umengus
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« Reply #1188 on: April 18, 2017, 08:29:28 PM »

let's go for the runoff !
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1189 on: April 18, 2017, 08:29:34 PM »

Dave Wasserman‏Verified account @Redistrict  37s38 seconds ago
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 PROJECTION: #GA06 is headed to a 6/20 runoff between Jon Ossoff (D) & Karen Handel (R). @CookPolitical still rates race a Toss Up.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1190 on: April 18, 2017, 08:29:57 PM »

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...
No it doesn't.
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Barnes
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« Reply #1191 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:07 PM »

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.

Per @Bencjacobs, those were 19 precincts in far north Fulton (very Republican territory).

Aka the former Milton County which regularly tries to secede from Fulton so Republican country clubs don't have to pay taxes for black people.
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swf541
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« Reply #1192 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:13 PM »

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Very few thought ossoff could get high 40s earlier today wtf is wrong with dems and their doom and gloom
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1193 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:28 PM »





If he is short, he'll likely be at 48%, not at 42%, as many assumed -- and that is a huge difference.
https://twitter.com/StuPolitics/status/854505273943363584
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #1194 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:34 PM »

Wouldn't be surprised if the weaker ED DeKalb showing was due to the nasty thunderstorms that rolled in combined with underserved EV sites. He's holding up better so far proportionally to the regional county lean in Fulton and Cobb than in DeKalb.
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Umengus
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« Reply #1195 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:50 PM »


yes it is. One hour ago, Osoff was going to win...
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« Reply #1196 on: April 18, 2017, 08:30:56 PM »

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Why? Surely you weren't expecting an outright win tonight?
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1197 on: April 18, 2017, 08:31:05 PM »

I love how Bob Gray is getting crushed. The TrumpBots are shook!
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1198 on: April 18, 2017, 08:31:22 PM »

There should still be a remarkable amount of vote remaining in Fulton - enough to potentially cancel out the remainder of Cobb's in raw numbers and keep him above 50. The question now is: is the outstanding Fulton vote at or enough above 50 to cancel out a tougher margin in Cobb?
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #1199 on: April 18, 2017, 08:31:25 PM »

Wasserman calls a runoff.
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