GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Barnes]

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Very few thought ossoff could get high 40s earlier today wtf is wrong with dems and their doom and gloom

It's just typical teenage angst. Most of this forum is populated by teenage kids who like to feel dramatic.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Ossoff appears to still be ahead of benchmarks in Fulton and Cobb, but behind in DeKalb, which is the most Dem-leaning part of #GA06.
https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/854507442390130688

[Tartarus Sauce]

There should still be a remarkable amount of vote remaining in Fulton - enough to potentially cancel out the remainder of Cobb's in raw numbers and keep him above 50. The question now is: is the outstanding Fulton vote at or enough above 50 to cancel out a tougher margin in Cobb?

He's likely short if I had to guess, but it's looking like he's going to register at least 47% total which is a stronger showing than many were predicting and places him very well for the runoff.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Why? Surely you weren't expecting an outright win tonight?

It was our best chance. Handel will smash him to bits 1v1.

[Classic Conservative]

I wouldn't get too cocky, we still have a lot to go.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

When (if) progressives ever take power, we need to tax areas like this out of existence.

[The Other Castro]

I'm guessing an end result of around 48%, which would still be a pretty solid position going into a runoff. I think he's the favorite in a runoff now.

[DrScholl]

However the vote shakes out in Fulton will track closely to the overall district-wide vote, because Fulton is of course the bulk of the district. If Ossoff can stay over 50% there, he can close out tonight, but we will see what happens.

[ajc0918]

When (if) progressives ever take power, we need to tax areas like this out of existence.

Metro Atlanta?

[Xing]

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Why? Surely you weren't expecting an outright win tonight?

It's a law of the universe that Democrats will panic about the pending apocalypse if they're not winning in a landslide, and Republicans will gloat about their invincibility if they're not losing in a landslide.

[Classic Conservative]

When (if) progressives ever take power, we need to tax areas like this out of existence.

That's not how you get votes in this area. That would be disastrous for your party.

[TheSaint250]

This is what David Jolly, former Rep from Florida, posted on Twitter tonight:

"Regardless of whether #GA06 goes to runoff, every GOP Mem of Congress tonight is wondering if they should take that university job back home"

He seems a little...I don't even know how to describe that.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Why? Surely you weren't expecting an outright win tonight?

It was our best chance. Handel will smash him to bits 1v1.

Lol not really, if he's in the high 40s that would make him the likely favorite in a runoff.

[Ronnie]

When (if) progressives ever take power, we need to tax areas like this out of existence.

We should probably de-gerrymander this district first...

[TheSaint250]

When (if) progressives ever take power, we need to tax areas like this out of existence.

...leading to the demise of the Democratic Party

[The Other Castro]

Cobb (37% in)
Ossoff: 47%
538 goal: 43%

DeKalb (67% in)
Ossoff: 58%
538 goal: 60%

Fulton (16% in)
Ossoff: 55%
538 goal: 49%

[Adam the Gr8]

What a great Tom Brady style comeback.

Pretty sure Trump's the reason this district is even close...

[Kamala]

Well this sucks if you are a Democrat...

Why? Surely you weren't expecting an outright win tonight?

It was our best chance. Handel will smash him to bits 1v1.

Lol not really, if he's in the high 40s that would make him the likely favorite in a runoff.

Especially with how the irrelevant democratic candidates have ~1% of the vote...

[Suburbia]

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.

Per @Bencjacobs, those were 19 precincts in far north Fulton (very Republican territory).

Aka the former Milton County which regularly tries to secede from Fulton so Republican country clubs don't have to pay taxes for black people.

Is that true? I've been hearing this from some Georgia friends. I hope that is not true.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

The fact we stopped counting is irritating me.

[ApatheticAustrian]

i don't get the desperation anyway.

this is an example for a district which hates trump proportionally and was ripe for a well-funded contender to be conquered even without trump ont he ballot.

this is fascinating for many many other seats.

[Umengus]

Cobb (37% in)
Ossoff: 47%
538 goal: 43%

DeKalb (67% in)
Ossoff: 58%
538 goal: 60%

Fulton (16% in)
Ossoff: 55%
538 goal: 49%

the problem for osoff is that the next votes are ED votes.

[Adam Griffin]

Here's what SoS is showing as reporting fully (green) and partially (yellow):

[The Other Castro]

More Cobb numbers coming in now.

[Tintrlvr]

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.

Per @Bencjacobs, those were 19 precincts in far north Fulton (very Republican territory).

Aka the former Milton County which regularly tries to secede from Fulton so Republican country clubs don't have to pay taxes for black people.

Is that true? I've been hearing this from some Georgia friends. I hope that is not true.

This is true. The only mitigating fact is that Milton County was once a separate county, about 80 years ago, that went bankrupt and was absorbed into Fulton County to cover its debts.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_County,_Georgia

There was another county that was merged into Fulton at the same time, but strangely there is no statewide effort to recreate it within the Georgia GOP. Surely that has nothing to do with the fact that today it is majority black.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Campbell_County,_Georgia