GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250420 times)
JerryArkansas
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« Reply #1350 on: April 18, 2017, 09:10:22 PM »


Sanchez, where did you put the goalposts? I can't see them anywhere.
Just ignore the racist.  He gets some thrill from people engaging him.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1351 on: April 18, 2017, 09:10:32 PM »


Yes, but there's also the third party and non-votes from the Presidential race to account for. I haven't checked but it's likely the Republican field of 11 is getting more votes than Trump.

good point, correct, the strong third parties are mixing it up, which crushes my easy equation.

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Umengus
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« Reply #1352 on: April 18, 2017, 09:10:53 PM »

Dave Wasserman‏Compte certifié @Redistrict  2 minil y a 2 minutes
Plus
 All 99 precincts remaining are in Cobb & Fulton, which should push Ossoff (D) considerably under 50%. But by how much?... #GA06
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1353 on: April 18, 2017, 09:11:15 PM »


meaning, ossoff HAS improved 1.5 points compared to clinton.

trump/clinton difference was about 1 point, eh?

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

He has a point, and I doubt we are keeping it for much longer.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1354 on: April 18, 2017, 09:11:22 PM »

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1355 on: April 18, 2017, 09:11:33 PM »

I really think this is going to go on for awhile. Ossoff has been hitting, slightly exceeding or slightly falling short of his benchmarks virtually everywhere else. Fulton as a whole should be around 50/50, give or take a few points. This is going to keep gyrating back and forth by small amounts, but if Ossoff is averaging the benchmarks needed as a whole elsewhere and holds it close one way or another in Fulton, then it's coming down to the wire.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #1356 on: April 18, 2017, 09:11:55 PM »

With essentially just Fulton to wait on, we might as well all just come back in an hour. Gonna be very slow moving now.
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Umengus
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« Reply #1357 on: April 18, 2017, 09:12:00 PM »

(((Harry Enten)))‏Compte certifié @ForecasterEnten  1 minil y a 1 minute
Plus
 To sum up, this result is reasonably in-line w/ expectations. Sets up what shud be tight runoff. Handel/Ossoff will end up w/ terrible favs.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1358 on: April 18, 2017, 09:12:17 PM »

i got 10 open twitter feeds and no one is as nightmarish about ossoff than wasserman.

not saying that he is not correct, he is just kind of doing a rain dance all day, while more dry types state "too close to call".
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Hammy
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« Reply #1359 on: April 18, 2017, 09:13:01 PM »

I called this, just as I called the Presidential race. Greed and bigotry reign supreme in this nation, and it's only going to get worse and as they continue to control the narrative. In 20 years, "liberal" and "progressive" will be as poisonous as "Communist".

The pendulum swings back and forth. And keep in mind with the presidential race that Trump's win doesn't represent a swing back to the Republicans but bad candidates and a glitch in the system (EV/PV split). While I think this race was over before it began (as withanytime you have a runoff in an R state/district) I think you need to take a long break from politics and chill out for awhile.
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Matty
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« Reply #1360 on: April 18, 2017, 09:13:22 PM »

i got 10 open twitter feeds and no one is as nightmarish about ossoff than wasserman.

not saying that he is not correct, he is just kind of doing a rain dance all day, while more dry types state "too close to call".

Wrong. harry enten is saying the result is in line with expectations, and Nate COhn is saying it's going to be around 48% for Ossof.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #1361 on: April 18, 2017, 09:13:40 PM »

Both parties will target this congressional district in 2018 and 2020. Period.
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Umengus
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« Reply #1362 on: April 18, 2017, 09:13:44 PM »

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.

you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...
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136or142
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« Reply #1363 on: April 18, 2017, 09:13:54 PM »

I called this, just as I called the Presidential race. Greed and bigotry reign supreme in this nation, and it's only going to get worse and as they continue to control the narrative. In 20 years, "liberal" and "progressive" will be as poisonous as "Communist".

It just like how some view "conservative" with fascist. They are extremes on all ideologies.

'Centrist' conservatives are either fascists or fascist lite.

http://www.rense.com/general37/char.htm
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1364 on: April 18, 2017, 09:14:35 PM »




Highlight of the evening: Sean Hannity endorsed Amy Kremer for #GA06. Amy Kremer currently has 239 votes out of 135,000 cast. #gapol
https://twitter.com/CodyHall09/status/854516286692483078
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1365 on: April 18, 2017, 09:14:58 PM »


meaning, ossoff HAS improved 1.5 points compared to clinton.

trump/clinton difference was about 1 point, eh?

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

So you saying if Democrats don't get 50% were DOA in a runoff. Ok so if Handel win how long do you give her. Atlanta and GA as a whole is not a state where the GOP base is growing.
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Progressive
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« Reply #1366 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:02 PM »

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.



you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...

That's patently false. The "expectations" were not he'd win OUTRIGHT. The expectations were a big shoulder shrug and the HOPE was he'd win.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1367 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:09 PM »

(((Harry Enten)))‏Compte certifié @ForecasterEnten  1 minil y a 1 minute
Plus
 To sum up, this result is reasonably in-line w/ expectations. Sets up what shud be tight runoff. Handel/Ossoff will end up w/ terrible favs.

Republican attack ads: "Ossoff wants to drown little puppies!"
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #1368 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:19 PM »


Are you capable of making good posts?
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Lothal1
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« Reply #1369 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:31 PM »

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.
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Umengus
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« Reply #1370 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:36 PM »

We @DecisionDeskHQ apologize for slowness of the mules in bringing in remaining Fulton vote for #GA06. We'll bring more carrots next time.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1371 on: April 18, 2017, 09:15:50 PM »

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.



you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...

That's patently false. The "expectations" were not he'd win OUTRIGHT. The expectations were a big shoulder shrug and the HOPE was he'd win.

He's just being a hack.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1372 on: April 18, 2017, 09:16:03 PM »



Wrong. harry enten is saying the result is in line with expectations, and Nate COhn is saying it's going to be around 48% for Ossof.

yeah, yeah yeah, doesn't change in any way how amazingly negative and full-scale nostradamus wasserman is. he is not even really informing us, how the specific precincts are playing their part in the bigger scale of things.
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SCNCmod
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« Reply #1373 on: April 18, 2017, 09:16:10 PM »

What % of the vote did Clinton get in this district?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1374 on: April 18, 2017, 09:16:16 PM »

Great, now the #GA06 feed on Twitter is getting opportunistic porn ads along with the "suck it, snowflake" posts from MAGA trolls.
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