GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Jeppe]

Almost 47%

[Maxwell]

Pretty cool that he's doing this much better than I expected.

Once again the GOP posters are moving the goal post.

Once again ShadowsOverwhateverwhatever mucking up the thread with his TYT induced nonsense.

[Umengus]

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.

you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...

That's patently false. The "expectations" were not he'd win OUTRIGHT. The expectations were a big shoulder shrug and the HOPE was he'd win.

not my impression... look at the previous pages on this thread...

[Gass3268]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

[windjammer]

What % of the vote did Clinton get in this district?

46%

[Brittain33]

What % of the vote did Clinton get in this district?

46.8%

Points to Ossoff ending at 48% unless Fulton's behavior changes in ways Dekalb's and Cobb's didn't since November.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

In 20 years, "liberal" and "progressive" will be as poisonous as "Communist".

Go away.

Are you incapable of clicking ignore?

Are you capable of making good posts?

My posts aren't for others enjoyment.

[ApatheticAustrian]

So, Ossoff ran 1.6% ahead of Clinton in DeKalb. Running 1.5% ahead of her in Cobb with 96% in. Would work out to 48% overall.
https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/854517533306736641


The Ossoff party has turned off CNN and is now playing When Doves Cry. In other words, it's a runoff.
https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/854519157513216000

[SCNCmod]

It seems like total Dem candidates will have more votes than total Repub candidates... so the runoff should not be a foregone conclusion... at all.

[wjx987]

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.

you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...

That's patently false. The "expectations" were not he'd win OUTRIGHT. The expectations were a big shoulder shrug and the HOPE was he'd win.

not my impression... look at the previous pages on this thread...

Yeah that's crazy Atlas expectations being sensational. We are not pundits (thank God). Actual Punditry was far more measured. The last few polls showed Ossoff at 44%. He'll likely do better.

[Lothal1]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

[Umengus]

Decision Desk HQ‏Compte certifié @DecisionDeskHQ  39 sil y a 39 secondes
Plus
 Fulton went just over 60% in the early vote to Ossoff, dropped to 55% with some of the precincts reporting. #GA06

[ApatheticAustrian]

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

as we know, actors are totally influencing races, only taking the backseat to newspaper endorsements.

[SCNCmod]

If Dem candidates get more votes than total Repub candidates, wouldn't the Dem be favored in a runoff?

[136or142]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

The district went about for Romney 20% over Obama in 2012

[Maxwell]

Also a lot of GOP posters are assuming all GOP votes will go to Handel (which, might not be true - people could stay home or cast their ballot for Ossoff [far less likely])

[Umengus]

If Dem candidates get more votes than total Repub candidates, wouldn't the Dem be favored in a runoff?

50/50.. don't forget that some voters are going to die... 2 months it's long...

[Holmes]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

They did improve significantly from the 2016 House election. Which might be a better thing to compare this race to because it isn't a Presidential race.

[Brittain33]

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

as we know, actors are totally influencing races, only taking the backseat to newspaper endorsements.

A district once represented by Newt Gingrich is notoriously seduced by glamour and good looks

[Hammy]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

Could still be a good sign if a house race in an off-year have the Dems exceeded the GE %, given how the Dems usually don't show up to polls for non-presidential races.

[ApatheticAustrian]

nate cohn, again, being bullish on ossoff.


I don't know if I noticed when this happened, but Ossoff at 48.7 percent in our estimate--which is a little higher than it has been/was

That's getting in the range where it's worth checking in on the cumulative .8 percent going to non-Ossoff Democrats.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/854520087436546050

[Gass3268]

Its funny thinking of all the outside money and celebrity money that is getting flushed down the toilet.

Republicans spent almost 2x more than Republicans here.

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

Sure, but the Republicans still had more outside spending.

[DrScholl]

Ossoff winning outright was definitely the preferred outcome, but it definitely wasn't expected and even the Ossoff campaign was prepping it's volunteers for that. As the numbers stand right, he is in a great position for the runoff.

[Kamala]

Dems got 8 mil (95% out of district) and every possible liberla hollywood actor/actress to descend on the district and are barely improving from the general election.

as we know, actors are totally influencing races, only taking the backseat to newspaper endorsements.

A district once represented by Newt Gingrich is notoriously seduced by glamour and good looks

Isakson is quite a looker as well.

[Brittain33]

If Dem candidates get more votes than total Repub candidates, wouldn't the Dem be favored in a runoff?

50/50.. don't forget that some voters are going to die... 2 months it's long...

Do you see Trump's situation improving over the next two months?