GA-6 Special election discussion thread
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250425 times)
Brittain33
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« Reply #1425 on: April 18, 2017, 09:31:42 PM »

If Dem candidates get more votes than total Repub candidates, wouldn't the Dem be favored in a runoff?

50/50.. don't forget that some voters are going to die... 2 months it's long...

Do you see Trump's situation improving over the next two months?

no but Ossoff is going to be demolished by the gop machine. This guy is a paper tiger.

I agree in theory that Ossoff shouldn't be a strong candidate, even if he has natural talent.

But when the national environment is heavily tilted against one party, those attacks don't tend to stick unless the candidate is a sad-sack like Busby in California. They haven't worked so far.

because republicans were infighting

That means that their numbers should go down with the runoff, not up. Everyone got to vote for his own candidate this time.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #1426 on: April 18, 2017, 09:31:50 PM »

Remember when Paul Ryan's PAC said that their negative ads had already knocked Ossoff down to below 40%?

LOL
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Barnes
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« Reply #1427 on: April 18, 2017, 09:31:56 PM »

If Dem candidates get more votes than total Repub candidates, wouldn't the Dem be favored in a runoff?

50/50.. don't forget that some voters are going to die... 2 months it's long...

Do you see Trump's situation improving over the next two months?

no but Ossoff is going to be demolished by the gop machine. This guy is a paper tiger.

I agree in theory that Ossoff shouldn't be a strong candidate, even if he has natural talent.

But when the national environment is heavily tilted against one party, those attacks don't tend to stick unless the candidate is a sad-sack like Busby in California. They haven't worked so far.

Ossoff has been accused of working for al-Qaeda, of being Nancy Pelosi's whipping boy, and had the President of the United States directly campaign against him today, and he is currently winning a majority in a district which hasn't elected a Democrat since 1976.

Sometimes the posts on this place defy all reason.
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swf541
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« Reply #1428 on: April 18, 2017, 09:32:11 PM »

Also one of the minor gop canidate who I thought was getting just under one percent was running as a Muslim doctor who o thought was anti trump could see that small number abstaining or voting dem or the margin of ossoff is at like 48 this seems notable
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1429 on: April 18, 2017, 09:32:22 PM »

Why is Fulton taking forever to count results?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1430 on: April 18, 2017, 09:32:49 PM »

Why is Fulton taking forever to count results?

Because they hate us.
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Matty
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« Reply #1431 on: April 18, 2017, 09:33:07 PM »

Why is Fulton taking forever to count results?

Because georgia voting apparatuses are sh**t.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1432 on: April 18, 2017, 09:33:17 PM »

Strangely enough it's Landmark, usually kind of a trash pollster, that got this race closest.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1433 on: April 18, 2017, 09:33:42 PM »

All of Cobb is finally in, Ossoff at 50.3%
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1434 on: April 18, 2017, 09:33:57 PM »

i wanted to go to sleep when i got a glimpse of "fulton feeling" but this is getting absurd....
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1435 on: April 18, 2017, 09:34:23 PM »

It looks like most of what's left in Fulton are areas Hillary went more or less 50/50 in, or around there.   I don't think Ossoff is "totally" out of this to win outright.    
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Xing
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« Reply #1436 on: April 18, 2017, 09:35:13 PM »

Let's also not forget that a lot can happen in two months. I'd rate the run-off a Toss-Up.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1437 on: April 18, 2017, 09:35:36 PM »

Looks like my instinct to be skeptical of that RRH poll was right, because they low balled Ossoff big time.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1438 on: April 18, 2017, 09:35:40 PM »

So, it's entirely Fulton county at this point.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1439 on: April 18, 2017, 09:35:45 PM »

It looks like most of what's left in Fulton are areas Hillary went more or less 50/50 in, or around there.   I don't think Ossoff is "totally" out of this to win outright.    

as i was schooled - totally correct - the third parties are what could make the difference and johnson and co added up to about 4.2 points in georgia.
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Matty
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« Reply #1440 on: April 18, 2017, 09:36:10 PM »

So it appears that people like Enten, Cohn, Wasserman, and Jacobs gave accepted that it will be a runoff.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #1441 on: April 18, 2017, 09:36:16 PM »

It doesn't bode well for Ossoff that the Fulton folks are incapable of counting. The poorly educated and poor counters may decide this election.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1442 on: April 18, 2017, 09:36:56 PM »

Remember that Fulton is literally one hour behind the rest of the state in counting any votes. Results cannot be counted or reported until 8 PM in Fulton as far as I know and it has something to do with the City of Atlanta (even though it's not relevant to this particular race).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1443 on: April 18, 2017, 09:37:53 PM »

It doesn't bode well for Ossoff that the Fulton folks are incapable of counting. The poorly educated and poor counters may decide this election.

First of all I love the poorly educated.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1444 on: April 18, 2017, 09:38:05 PM »

So, it's entirely Fulton county at this point.

Yep,  DeKalb and Cobb are completely done now.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1445 on: April 18, 2017, 09:39:00 PM »

Cobb is done: Ossoff 41.3%, Clinton 39.9%

Ossoff at 50.3% overall. Fulton could easily allow him to win outright.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1446 on: April 18, 2017, 09:39:10 PM »

So it appears that people like Enten, Cohn, Wasserman, and Jacobs gave accepted that it will be a runoff.

Okay, we can all log off and go to bed. /s

We know already.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1447 on: April 18, 2017, 09:39:51 PM »

if i read this nate cohn comparison correctly, there seem to be lots of republican votes left.

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1448 on: April 18, 2017, 09:39:56 PM »

Ossoff ran about 1.5% ahead of Clinton in Cobb and DeKalb, so if that pattern held with Fulton he would finish with about 48.3% districtwide.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1449 on: April 18, 2017, 09:40:03 PM »

Remember that Fulton is literally one hour behind the rest of the state in counting any votes. Results cannot be counted or reported until 8 PM in Fulton as far as I know and it has something to do with the City of Atlanta (even though it's not relevant to this particular race).

8PM was almost 3 hours ago, through.
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