GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Virginiá]

I wonder if Democrats could get Obama to do a few rallies for Ossoff close to election time. Maybe he could help give a boost to African American turnout.

[_]

52.5-47.5 Handel.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Updating my prediction to 54-46 for Handel.

Why may I ask?

[heatcharger]

I've seen Republicans have 9 lives too many times to for me to say Ossoff is favored. Still Tilt R unless Handel is completely collapsing.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Updating my prediction to 54-46 for Handel.

Why may I ask?

I think that Ossoff is being overvalued, and is not a great fit for the district. There are a noteworthy amount of undecided voters now because they think that Karen Handel is an idiot, but on election day, I think these moderate and tilt and lean R "educated" suburban voters will come home to the GOP. Karen Handel is the better fit for the district, and I got a feeling that voters will see and go through with it. Personally, I like Ossoff and dislike Handel, but I am just giving my thought on who fits the culture of the district better, which is Handel, and I think people will come home to the GOP at the end of the day. It's a completely baseless idea, but it's just my gut feeling. I will probably be wrong.

[The Other Castro]

House Majority PAC (D) announced $500K TV ad buy and $200K for GOTV.

Edit: This is a Democratic group, not Republican.

[_]

House Majority PAC (R) announced $500K TV ad buy and $200K for GOTV.

Oh god more money, and we have a month left until the election.

[Mr. Smith]

I've seen Republicans have 9 lives too many times to for me to say Ossoff is favored. Still Tilt R unless Handel is completely collapsing.

[Gass3268]

Everyone on the ground from both sides says that all the energy and momentum is with Ossoff, so yeah.

[GeorgiaModerate]

FWIW, since this might shed some (faint) light on interest/enthusiasm in the region: this week's runoff in SD-32 broke the record for votes in a Georgia special legislative runoff with 32,673 votes.  The old record was 23,214 in 2011.

[Adam Griffin]

FWIW, since this might shed some (faint) light on interest/enthusiasm in the region: this week's runoff in SD-32 broke the record for votes in a Georgia special legislative runoff with 32,673 votes.  The old record was 23,214 in 2011.

I'd say part enthusiasm, part rapidly-growing area that's way above its 2010 population estimate.

[jamestroll]

and people still think 2018 will be this huge gop year due to it being a midterm lmao.

But I must say that if Karen Handel wins it would be a huge blow to the Democratic Party with the amount of money being spent there.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Right now my gut's telling me something like 50.1-49.9 Ossoff.

[windjammer]

I don't understand why people think it's going to be really close (<0.5). I mean, based on the results of the first round, Ossoff was the favorite and Trump has become even more unpopular now.

[The_Doctor]

I'd say 53-47% Ossoff, 5 point win. I'd have said 51-49% but the last ten days have been really rough on GOP morale and I'd add 2% to the Ossoff win. I'd rate this race as Lean D.

[Mr. Smith]

I don't understand why people think it's going to be really close (<0.5). I mean, based on the results of the first round, Ossoff was the favorite and Trump has become even more unpopular now.

The GOP just has a way of always doing better than expected, and they have a tight leash on the one demographic that will cut off their arms to vote.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

I don't understand why people think it's going to be really close (<0.5). I mean, based on the results of the first round, Ossoff was the favorite and Trump has become even more unpopular now.

The GOP just has a way of always doing better than expected, and they have a tight leash on the one demographic that will cut off their arms to vote.

By which you surely mean that the GOP generally runs better campaigns.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ossoff not ready to call for impeachment, although it should be noted that this interview took place before the Comey memo came out.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/05/19/ossoff-on-trump-impeachment-i-dont-think-were-there/

http://news.wabe.org/post/6th-district-race-talk-democrat-jon-ossoff

[Sir Mohamed]

House Majority PAC (R) announced $500K TV ad buy and $200K for GOTV.

Oh god more money, and we have a month left until the election.

I have no idea about the cost previous congressional races, but we may end up with the most expensive congressional race in US history?

[GeorgiaModerate]

House Majority PAC (R) announced $500K TV ad buy and $200K for GOTV.

Oh god more money, and we have a month left until the election.

I have no idea about the cost previous congressional races, but we may end up with the most expensive congressional race in US history?

Already there: http://www.cnn.com/2017/05/09/politics/georgia-6-special-election/

[BuckeyeNut]

It's going to be a shame all this money was spent when Ossoff loses.

[DrScholl]

Ossoff will win.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

It's going to be a shame all this money was spent when Ossoff loses.

9 real 78 me.

Where will this PAC money be next September?

[Mr. Smith]

I don't understand why people think it's going to be really close (<0.5). I mean, based on the results of the first round, Ossoff was the favorite and Trump has become even more unpopular now.

The GOP just has a way of always doing better than expected, and they have a tight leash on the one demographic that will cut off their arms to vote.

By which you surely mean that the GOP generally runs better campaigns.

I don't think Trump, Thom Tillis, Roy Blunt, Richard Burr, Matt Bevin or Pat Toomey really ran better campaigns than their counterparts...didn't stop 'em from winning. I don't think Handel's running better than Ossoff now.

[Brittain33]

I don't understand why people think it's going to be really close (<0.5). I mean, based on the results of the first round, Ossoff was the favorite and Trump has become even more unpopular now.

The GOP just has a way of always doing better than expected, and they have a tight leash on the one demographic that will cut off their arms to vote.

By which you surely mean that the GOP generally runs better campaigns.

I don't think Trump, Thom Tillis, Roy Blunt, Richard Burr, Matt Bevin or Pat Toomey really ran better campaigns than their counterparts...didn't stop 'em from winning. I don't think Handel's running better than Ossoff now.

That seems to be an argument for the overall political environment... and that wouldn't favor Handel in 2017.