GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Tom Bonier did a breakdown of EV an Ossoff seems to be getting more black and female irregular voters then first round https://mobile.twitter.com/tbonier/status/875341387763519488

[Brittain33]

Tom Bonier did a breakdown of EV an Ossoff seems to be getting more black and female irregular voters then first round https://mobile.twitter.com/tbonier/status/875341387763519488

Can anyone explain his table?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Tom Bonier did a breakdown of EV an Ossoff seems to be getting more black and female irregular voters then first round https://mobile.twitter.com/tbonier/status/875341387763519488

I'm a little skeptical of his analysis because he says 124K votes have been cast so far, but as of last night's absentee voter file update the actual number of accepted ballots was 119545.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Crystal Ball keeps it a tossup, but says that all things considered, one would rather be in Ossoff's position than Handel's.  http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ga-6-special-still-on-the-razors-edge/

[GeorgiaModerate]

Suspicious package shuts down street in Handel's neighborhood (ongoing): http://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/north-fulton-county/breaking-suspicious-package-shuts-down-street-where-karen-handel-lives/533890723

And on the other side:

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This behavior is unacceptable in a civilized society!

[Person Man]

2nd Amendment people...

[Cactus Jack]

Woe betide America if James Hodgkinson inspires a new wave of domestic terrorism.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Current update from WSB:

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[The Other Castro]

Some last minute money:

-$27,000 to Handel from the DeVos family
-$185,000 for Handel from America First Policies
-$174,000 for Ossoff from House Majority Pac

[GeorgiaModerate]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

[Hindsight was 2020]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

Am I wrong or doesn't in-person Ev end tomorrow? That means Cobb will be in third 

[GeorgiaModerate]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

Am I wrong or doesn't in-person Ev end tomorrow? That means Cobb will be in third 

You are correct.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

Am I wrong or doesn't in-person Ev end tomorrow? That means Cobb will be in third 

You are correct.

Dekalb has stalled. I don't like it. Cobb is not looking good for Handel, but I think Fulton will put her over the top.

[Mr. Smith]

not lookin' good.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

Am I wrong or doesn't in-person Ev end tomorrow? That means Cobb will be in third 

You are correct.

Dekalb has stalled. I don't like it. Cobb is not looking good for Handel, but I think Fulton will put her over the top.

Uh, Ossoff probably won the Fulton early vote, and even if Handel ends up winning Fulton when all is said and done (EV+ED), it will probably not be by any more than 2 or 3 points.

He probably did. But this thing is very close, and those 2 or 3 points could be all that it takes for Handel to pull off a squeeker, which I think will occur, but of course I aint sure.

[Horus]

not lookin' good.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

For reference:

In April (all votes), Fulton was 45%, Cobb 32% and Dekalb 23%.

In early vote, Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26% and Dekalb 21%.

Also for reference: the distribution of registered voters in the district is approximately Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%, Fulton 48%.

Through today:

Cobb 24870 (19.4%)
DeKalb 29783 (23.3%)
Fulton 73316 (57.3%)
Total 127969

Am I wrong or doesn't in-person Ev end tomorrow? That means Cobb will be in third 

You are correct.

Dekalb has stalled. I don't like it. Cobb is not looking good for Handel, but I think Fulton will put her over the top.

Uh, Ossoff probably won the Fulton early vote, and even if Handel ends up winning Fulton when all is said and done (EV+ED), it will probably not be by any more than 2 or 3 points.

He probably did. But this thing is very close, and those 2 or 3 points could be all that it takes for Handel to pull off a squeeker, which I think will occur, but of course I aint sure.

Yes, we're all aware that you think Handel will win and that Ossoff is doomed. You only remind us every day.

You really should read my posts saying I think Handel will win but I'm not ruling out anything. Including my post just a few posts up.

[DrScholl]

I think Bagel wants Handel to win more than he actually thinks that she will win. Handel has been stuck at 47% in polling, while Ossoff has cracked 50% more than once. The concern trolls will say otherwise, but Ossoff is definitely in a better position than Handel.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I think Bagel wants Handel to win more than he actually thinks that she will win. Handel has been stuck at 47% in polling, while Ossoff has cracked 50% more than once. The concern trolls will say otherwise, but Ossoff is definitely in a better position than Handel.

I want Ossoff to win, I am a democrat. These polls are within the moe, and this thing is a virtual tie. Calling it for either Ossoff or Handel within a few points is sane. Any pure assurances or double digits should be taken within a pound of salt.

[DrScholl]

I think Bagel wants Handel to win more than he actually thinks that she will win. Handel has been stuck at 47% in polling, while Ossoff has cracked 50% more than once. The concern trolls will say otherwise, but Ossoff is definitely in a better position than Handel.

I want Ossoff to win, I am a democrat. These polls are within the moe, and this thing is a virtual tie. Calling it for either Ossoff or Handel within a few points is sane. Any pure assurances or double digits should be taken within a pound of salt.

Mm-hmm. Okay.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I must say though can we not let 2016 make us freak out over ever close race I mean while polling was off Trump did lead in polls in the ending days however Handel hasn't lead in one poll

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I think Bagel wants Handel to win more than he actually thinks that she will win. Handel has been stuck at 47% in polling, while Ossoff has cracked 50% more than once. The concern trolls will say otherwise, but Ossoff is definitely in a better position than Handel.

I want Ossoff to win, I am a democrat. These polls are within the moe, and this thing is a virtual tie. Calling it for either Ossoff or Handel within a few points is sane. Any pure assurances or double digits should be taken within a pound of salt.

Mm-hmm. Okay.

Don't get too cocky, we democrats have been $&@?!slapped multiple times for it.

[DrScholl]

I think Bagel wants Handel to win more than he actually thinks that she will win. Handel has been stuck at 47% in polling, while Ossoff has cracked 50% more than once. The concern trolls will say otherwise, but Ossoff is definitely in a better position than Handel.

I want Ossoff to win, I am a democrat. These polls are within the moe, and this thing is a virtual tie. Calling it for either Ossoff or Handel within a few points is sane. Any pure assurances or double digits should be taken within a pound of salt.

Mm-hmm. Okay.

Don't get too cocky, we democrats have been $&@?!slapped multiple times for it.

Karen Handel thanks you for your generous support.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

This is the kind of crap people like to pull when either they lack class or are out of a decent argument. I'd also like to say just because I don't subscribe to James Hodgkinson's version of what democrats should be, does not mean that I am not a democrat.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Okay, can we please stop the #AtlasPanic? Just calm down and forget this race even exists until the 20th.