GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Suburbia]

The seat held by Georgia Rep. Tom Price, a conservative Republican, who is likely to be confirmed as the next Health and Human Services Secretary under President Trump. His seat will likely set a special election, for later this year. Can Democrat Jon Ossoff win in this conservative-leaning district?

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/01/05/another-democrat-announces-for-tom-prices-seat-with-some-hefty-advantages/

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/02/03/a-democrat-is-putting-up-big-numbers-in-tom-prices-conservative-turf/

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/444654/2017-special-elections-open-house-seats-worth-watching

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mod edit (6/20/2017):

New thread for election day (runoff): https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=266905.0

[Suburbia]

If Ossoff wins this special election, he'd be a big GOP target in 2018 and 2020. However, if he holds on to this seat, he'd be a Democratic Party rising star. He'd be a future Senate or governor candidate in the 2020s.

[Suburbia]

I thought most frat boys are white liberals like Chris Murphy...

[Suburbia]

Here is the thing:

1. If Jon Ossoff wins GA-6, it will be seen as Tossup/Tilt R in 2018 when a more friendlier, Republican electorate may show up in November 2018. Ossoff could lose in 2018.

2. If Donald Trump or Mike Pence screws up by November 2018, and Congressman Ossoff runs on Trump's "incompetence", he could be reelected in 2018.

3. If Ossoff loses in the special election, he could run again in 2018, 2020, 2022.

4. Ossoff will be seen as a potential gubernatorial candidate if Sally Yates or Jason Carter decides not to run for the Democrats in 2018. Kasim Reed wants to go back to the private sector, so Ossoff is seen as a future star for Georgia Democrats.

[Suburbia]

Karen Handel has always been a pretty bad candidate. The only job she had was Georgia's Secretary of State, a elections official. She couldn't beat Nathan Deal in GA-GOV 2010, and she didn't do well in GA-SEN 2014. However, I can see her winning this seat, slightly.

If Sen. Johnny Isakson resigns or dies due to his health problems, the GA GOP primary in 2018, 2020, or 2022 could be between Paul Broun, Handel, and Jack Kingston.

[Suburbia]

Alyssa Milano and Christopher Gorham (Don't feel bad, I also had to look up who he was) are volunteering for the Ossoff campaign, driving people to the polls.

Republicans should just give up now IMHO

Ms. Milano is well known and well loved by Americans overall, Gorham is not.

[Suburbia]

I have GA-6 as Tossup.

[Suburbia]

Do you see Democrats asking the Obamas, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, the Clintons, or anyone to campaign for Ossoff? Are the Clintons and the Obamas too "politically and personally damaged" to make an visit?

[Suburbia]

If Ossoff doesn't live in the district, how is he so popular there? Anyway, Ossoff could be a Southern rising star post-Clinton/Edwards.

[Suburbia]

It's looking pretty good for Ossoff right now.

[Suburbia]

Poor Karen Handel. Her political career seems likely over. I can see her making one final run for GA gov in 2018.

[Suburbia]

We can just take it back in 2018 easily.

That's not really guaranteed. If Trump's unpopularity sweeps him into office, there is also a chance it can keep him in office, at least until 2020 or 2024, depending on reelection.

If Ossoff wins, he should want to be a House lifer, because who do Georgia Democrats have left that can be electable in this district if he runs for Senate or governor? You know, he will be seen as a rising star in the Democratic Party post-Obama/Clinton.

[Suburbia]

NYT says Fulton now 16% reporting, Ossoff dropped to 55.3% there.

Per @Bencjacobs, those were 19 precincts in far north Fulton (very Republican territory).

Aka the former Milton County which regularly tries to secede from Fulton so Republican country clubs don't have to pay taxes for black people.

Is that true? I've been hearing this from some Georgia friends. I hope that is not true.

[Suburbia]

Which part of the district is the most wealthiest?

[Suburbia]

This looks like it is heading towards a runoff.

[Suburbia]

I called this, just as I called the Presidential race. Greed and bigotry reign supreme in this nation, and it's only going to get worse and as they continue to control the narrative. In 20 years, "liberal" and "progressive" will be as poisonous as "Communist".

It just like how some view "conservative" with fascist. They are extremes on all ideologies.

[Suburbia]

Both parties will target this congressional district in 2018 and 2020. Period.

[Suburbia]

I have to say, Ossoff is a handsome Southerner. He could be the future of the Democrats' New South, like a Bill Clinton/John Edwards minus the personal baggage of those men.

Bill Halter of Arkansas could have been a star. What happened to him?