GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Roronoa D. Law]

Yes, the district is changing. I volunteered to knock on doors there with my university Young Democrats branch and many people were interested with voting for Hillary. They said Donald Trump scared them, was taking us back to a dark time, they had many friends of different backgrounds, and this is from white people. One white man who attended Reagan inauguration said he doesn't recognize this Republican party anymore. Anybody who says this election is Safe R doesn't know district outside of a bunch data and wikipedia pages. 

[Roronoa D. Law]

Yes, the district is changing. I volunteered to knock on doors there with my university Young Democrats branch and many people were interested with voting for Hillary. They said Donald Trump scared them, was taking us back to a dark time, they had many friends of different backgrounds, and this is from white people. One white man who attended Reagan inauguration said he doesn't recognize this Republican party anymore. Anybody who says this election is Safe R doesn't know district outside of a bunch data and wikipedia pages. 

Interesting. Do you think Ossoff is the best candidate to win the seat?

No, Scott Holcomb he's like Georgia's Jason Kander. After that its either Curt Thompson or Taylor Bennett. I think they wait until 2018 or 2020 if the Dems target GA.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Handel: End Muslim Immigration

she's an idiot. this would be a good strategy in a district that trump did well in but not in this district. plz someone who isnt sucky run

Agreed thought she was done with politics after the Komen scandal.

[Roronoa D. Law]

GOP ad against Jon Ossoff attacks him for liking Star Wars and being in an a capella group. I'm not kidding. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztJlZ3Ndbw4

He may have a chance here after all.

I go to college with children from this district. He is well behaved compared to them.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Ossoff has an ad of his own: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omHFCkeSrsM

Turns out Donald Trump is apparently running for Congress in GA-6.

Nice ad but comes off like a preview to the Cosmos.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Georgia’s Sixth District Adds 10,000 Voters in a Month

https://decisiondeskhq.com/upcoming-races/georgias-sixth-district-adds-10000-voters-in-a-month/?utm_content=buffer53cdf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Here is the racial breakdown for the 9970 new voters if anybody interested. 

Native American +16
Asian/ Pacific Islander +718
Black +1634
Hispanic +541
Other +226
Uknown +2336
White +4499

[Roronoa D. Law]

Alyssa Milano and Christopher Gorham (Don't feel bad, I also had to look up who he was) are volunteering for the Ossoff campaign, driving people to the polls.

Republicans should just give up now IMHO

That not reason for them to give up. They should give up because a R-14 district in off year election in the south is remotely competitive.

[Roronoa D. Law]

With the I-85 debacle I think it may expose a larger enthusiasm gap. Ossoff has a good chance at reaching 50% if Democrats stay energized and GOP voters are more concerned with new incoming traffic patterns than who their representative is.   

[Roronoa D. Law]

Even if Ossoff loses is it really a victory for Republicans? Handel or Gray can easily be Comstock or Issa in a couple of cycles.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Does anybody have anything on Milton that the most Republican part of Fulton County.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Good thing for Ossoff is that most of the GOP strongholds are still bottleneck. 400 is a nightmare between 4 to 7.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Good thing for Ossoff is that most of the GOP strongholds are still bottleneck. 400 is a nightmare between 4 to 7.

What do you mean?

Most of white flight is concentrated on its Northside thats why one side looks so red and one side looks fine. Downtown Atlanta is almost 1 hr away from Alpharetta with normal traffic.  

[Roronoa D. Law]

Does anyone have links to the results?

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

No results yet though.

Atlanta area usually last to report in GA. That's why it took so long in 2016.

[Roronoa D. Law]

last second ass-pull prediction

Ossoff: 54%
Hill: 13%
Gray: 11%
Handel: 10%
Moody: 8%
others: 5%

My bets Handel come in 2nd. Plus if it goes to a runoff I want to keep seeing that climbing Handel commercial.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Ossoff in good position if he can hold all of DeKalb precincts. Keep an eye on Dunwoody precincts most were marginal Trump wins.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Maybe not tonight but one day the whole were going win election day is going to come up short for Republicans.

[Roronoa D. Law]

This guy on Twitter is literally posting pictures of voter machine receipts before results are posted in the vote count:

https://twitter.com/conorsen

is that legal?

Probably not but idc.

Kemp isn't the most competent SOS

[Roronoa D. Law]

Election day or Early vote Ossoff should not be ahead in every precinct in East Cobb in EV.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Again, do not compare Ossoff's ED numbers in precincts directly to Clinton's total votes by precinct. It will not provide accurate analysis.

Thank you especially with EV location for Dekalb

[Roronoa D. Law]

We can just take it back in 2018 easily.

That's not really guaranteed. If Trump's unpopularity sweeps him into office, there is also a chance it can keep him in office, at least until 2020 or 2024, depending on reelection.

I think the assertion might be that they can gerrymander him out. Not a good thing to gloat about.

GA map is getting harding to gerrymander now the Republican already cut Athens, Columbus, and Macon in half. 8, 12, and 10 are bleeding population and ATL is becoming to Democrat for just 3 D district.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Which part of the district is the most wealthiest?

The beak. No pun intended.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Off topic do anybody think Trump can win this district in 2020 or GA-07 for that matter.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Precincts reporting, according to SoS (Green: fully reported; Yellow: partially reported)

Is DeKalb done?  

Oh no did the GOP voted to remove dekalb out the district just now.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Cobb at 96% now and Ossoff at 50.4%

meaning, ossoff HAS improved 1.5 points compared to clinton.

trump/clinton difference was about 1 point, eh?

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

So you saying if Democrats don't get 50% were DOA in a runoff. Ok so if Handel win how long do you give her. Atlanta and GA as a whole is not a state where the GOP base is growing.

[Roronoa D. Law]

just mentioning, this is the third seat which moved like...+15-20 dem since the election.

this pattern isn't healthy for republicans.

GA-07 is always with 5% of GA-06 too.