GA-6 Special election discussion thread (user search)
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  GA-6 Special election discussion thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250703 times)
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« on: February 19, 2017, 12:54:47 AM »

What happened to Tom's wife, Betty, running? She's a legislator in the Georgia House, currently.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2017, 08:26:50 AM »

Checked my junk mail this morning. DCCC is sending fundraising emails for this race.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2017, 05:46:29 PM »

I mean to be fair, they did make Osoff look like a complete idiot, but the fact that this was what they went with is still telling.

Most people would look like morons if you took them at their "having fun at college" or "making goofy videos" part of their life.

I agree 100% and I'm not saying this ad would make me vote against Osoff, but fair or not they did make Osoff look like an idiot (certainly to someone who knows little about him).  What I'm saying is this is not a district where the Democrat will ever get the benefit of the doubt on anything and a lot of people are hypocrites when it comes to judging folks for this sort of thing imo (especially older folks).  I could see this ad being pretty effective with Never Trump Republicans who'd leap at any excuse to rationalize voting against Osoff, but would reluctantly vote for Osoff if said excuse failed to materialize.

It shows him at a costume party and singing on a stage...how the heck is that something only an idiot would do?   Are all people who go to costume parties idiots or all people who sign on a stage idiots?   That's complete bull crap,  he was young at some point in his life, so what?

That ad has to be the one of the most pathetic attacks I've ever seen.   If Republicans will vote for Trump but not Ossoff because of that then they really have lost their minds.

I agree with all of this, but the fact is that we still need significant right-wing Republican crossover votes in this district.  Sure, it's unfair that this stuff will be perceived as him being an idiot or whatever, but this is a very Republican (and presumably very partisan) district.
The costume party might hurt him with older voters, but singing a Billy Joel parody as part of a college a capella group sounds like something a lot of people in the 50+  crowd would like. Especially if they're college educated. And this district is.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2017, 11:45:05 PM »

GOP ad against Jon Ossoff attacks him for liking Star Wars and being in an a capella group. I'm not kidding. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztJlZ3Ndbw4

He may have a chance here after all.

And now someone made a counter ad: "A New Hope"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5U8KvpfO-c
This is a bad ad. It doesn't appeal to undecided nonpartisans.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2017, 09:51:58 PM »

For the first time, I feel good about this thing. The Georgians I know (liberal Atlantians) were unconvinced this could be flipped.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2017, 06:35:44 PM »

Bob Gray seems like a moron. Hope he makes the runoff.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2017, 08:01:42 PM »

*trying to not get excited*
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2017, 08:11:53 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2017, 08:14:11 PM by BuckeyeNut »

> Assuming the rate of returns will trend the same across the night.

Evidence it isn't:

4% > 9% was 60.6% > 57.8%
9% > 20% is now 57.8% > 56.7%
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2017, 08:14:34 PM »


Fulton is 1% in. And Cobb is roughly 25% in. Not over yet, not by a longshot.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2017, 08:21:04 PM »

I'm under the impression the parts of Cobb coming in are some of the most conservative?
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2017, 08:27:12 PM »

About 1% of the vote is non-Ossoff Democrats who voted for someone else

Watch Ossoff get 49% of the vote. lol
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2017, 08:53:01 PM »

If it is former Milton County in for the ED votes of Fulton, this still aint over.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2017, 09:00:33 PM »


This is a buffoonish post. Much like is the KS-4th, Dems should not be doing this well. Yes, Clinton did well, but Price won in a landslide.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #13 on: April 18, 2017, 09:03:00 PM »

Ticked back up to 50.7% with the last of DeKalb in.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2017, 09:06:35 PM »

Let's enjoy topping fifty for the next few moments before the rest of cobb and fulton slams in.
That shouldn't be how Fulton comes in.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #15 on: April 18, 2017, 09:11:55 PM »

With essentially just Fulton to wait on, we might as well all just come back in an hour. Gonna be very slow moving now.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #16 on: April 18, 2017, 10:16:30 PM »

With essentially just Fulton to wait on, we might as well all just come back in an hour. Gonna be very slow moving now.

Make that two hours.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #17 on: April 18, 2017, 10:42:24 PM »

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.
How do you not get this isn't a left of center district?
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #18 on: April 18, 2017, 10:44:41 PM »

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

So much for this district being "tech savvy."
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #19 on: April 18, 2017, 11:02:20 PM »

What the sh**t.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #20 on: April 18, 2017, 11:23:42 PM »

Seems decently likely Gray voters won't have big turn out for Handel given Gray's animosity for her.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #21 on: May 03, 2017, 01:32:35 AM »

Well, we're not winning in Montana now, so here's to Handel hopefully pissing away the seat.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #22 on: May 05, 2017, 11:13:20 AM »


Both conducted before the ahca passed the house and Handel endorsing it...
Get a new ad in the field ASAP
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #23 on: May 19, 2017, 10:17:39 AM »

It's going to be a shame all this money was spent when Ossoff loses.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #24 on: May 24, 2017, 11:02:54 AM »

I have to say if Ossoff does win it is in no small part that Handel is doing nothing but fundraising an like Hillary is taking votes for granted

There's really not too much more to be done, aside from the occasional rally and GOTV work in the week or two before the election. Essentially every voter in the district has been contacted by both campaigns, some have been contacted multiple times.

Saying "some" voters have been contacted multiple times in the Georgia 6th is the political understatement of the year.
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