GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Confused Democrat]

I will faint if Ossoff loses this election!

Then get ready to faint!

[Confused Democrat]

I bet $10,000 on Ossoff winning.

[Confused Democrat]

I bet $10,000 on Ossoff winning.

You're lying.

Obviously, but someone needs to up the anti on Mondale's $500.

[Confused Democrat]

I bet $10,000 on Ossoff winning.

You're lying.

Obviously, but someone needs to up the anti on Mondale's $500.

$500 is the max you can do on Predictit but you can get around that by opening more accounts

$850 is the max on any individual contract, but you can sometimes max out at $1700 by going all in on Yes X and NO Y.

Damn...this while time I thought the max was $500. Oh well, I'm not ready to bet more

DO IT

[Confused Democrat]

I bet $10,000 on Ossoff winning.

You're lying.

Obviously, but someone needs to up the anti on Mondale's $500.

$500 is the max you can do on Predictit but you can get around that by opening more accounts

$850 is the max on any individual contract, but you can sometimes max out at $1700 by going all in on Yes X and NO Y.

Damn...this while time I thought the max was $500. Oh well, I'm not ready to bet more

DO IT

That's bad advice.

Not if Ossoff wins.

[Confused Democrat]

Just so you know, the past few pages on this thread are why the hard left bent to this board makes it so much harder for it to function as an election data forum.

We're getting one sided reports, we're getting gifs of "sweating". Then, when the night is over, the haughtiness starts again with the next race.

It's only going to get worse now that Trump is in office.

[Confused Democrat]

Useful spreadsheet for those who want to keep track of the vote.

It'll be updated as the votes come in.

[Confused Democrat]

I seriously think people underplay how close a Ossoff vs Handel race could be

Either Enten or Cohn tweeted (I can't remember) something to the effect of "people are overestimating Ossoff's chances of winning the jungle election and underestimating his chances of winning the runoff.

[Confused Democrat]

Resources I'll be using to keep track of the results:

NYT

538 Spreadsheet

DD HQ

@Nate_Cohn

@ForcasterEnten

[Confused Democrat]

NYT expects results to start coming in at 7:30

[Confused Democrat]

Final GA-06 predictions before the results start coming in?

I say Ossoff fails to reach 50 and gets between 43-47.

[Confused Democrat]

This wait is dreadful.

[Confused Democrat]

FYI: This is one of the slowest counting districts in the country.

[Confused Democrat]

WE WANT RESULTS AND WE WANT THEM NOW.

CAN I GET A HELL YEA FROM ATLASERS?

no

[Confused Democrat]

Does anyone have a rough estimate of how many votes are expected to be cast in total?

Nobody knows

[Confused Democrat]

Nate Cohn says this is going to be a long night

[Confused Democrat]

Man, the non-Ossoff Democrats are almost 1% of the vote right now - I swear if they Nader this election and force a runoff...

If it's that close, Ossoff most likely wins the runoff.

[Confused Democrat]

@Nate_Cohn  5m5 minutes ago

Here's our 'Clinton' estimate v. the actual early vote. Will take a while for the GOP to roll this back, if they do

[Confused Democrat]

This feels different than Kansas.

[Confused Democrat]

Can we all please have a moment of silence for Mondale and his $500...

[Confused Democrat]

Can we all please have a moment of silence for Mondale and his $500...

The winner won't be decided until June so nothing is lost.

Oh, I thought his bet was on Ossoff winning a majority in the jungle election. I didn't know it counted for the runoff.

[Confused Democrat]

CALLING IT NOW

Ossoff loses the runoff, and Mondale loses $500.

[Confused Democrat]

Trump tweets:

Donald J. Trump‏ @realDonaldTrump
Despite major outside money, FAKE media support and eleven Republican candidates, BIG "R" win with runoff in Georgia. Glad to be of help!

wut

[Confused Democrat]

The House's passage of Trumpcare is probably going to provide a much needed boost to Ossoff's campaign and might even push him over the edge to win the runoff.

[Confused Democrat]

Karen Handel:

"I do not support a livable wage"

JFC