GA-6 Special election discussion thread (user search)
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  GA-6 Special election discussion thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-6 Special election discussion thread  (Read 250804 times)
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« on: March 21, 2017, 08:52:10 AM »

I think some of the 49% Republican voters would defect to Ossoff in the run-off if they feel that their candidate is too/not Trumpian.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2017, 04:00:28 PM »

I feel like Ossoff might just surprise everybody and get over 50% of the vote in the jungle primary. Perfect storm would have to happen though.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2017, 08:56:01 AM »

Gonna stick to my bold prediction that Ossoff hits 50% in the jungle primary. The other part of the realignment is happening!

If GA-6 goes Democratic in 2017 and 2018 though, which other +(R+10) Republican suburban districts are gonna start flipping in 2018?
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2017, 03:56:30 PM »

Still holding onto my prediction that Ossoff surprisingly hits 50% in the first ballot. Perfect storm happening.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2017, 09:34:35 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits 50% on the first ballot and avoids a run-off.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2017, 11:29:38 AM »

What time does the poll close?
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2017, 06:18:39 PM »

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2017, 07:15:34 PM »

Is Hillary's total % a combined of election & early voting, or just election day?
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2017, 07:22:09 PM »

I don't think the GOP can recover from that, that 57% figure is brutal, even for just early vote.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2017, 08:20:41 PM »

Ossoff is holding up okay in Cobb, still at 47%.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2017, 08:42:25 PM »

Lol, nevermind. I'm bad at geography.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2017, 08:46:38 PM »

Ossoff ticked back up to 51% from 50.8%
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2017, 08:51:46 PM »

The rest of Fulton county looks good for Ossoff, especially the Sandy Springs area, which hasn't even started reporting a single poll yet.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #13 on: April 18, 2017, 09:00:07 PM »

So Fulton will decide whether there's a run-off or not..
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2017, 09:06:49 PM »

Ossoff went back down to 50.4% with a few more Cobb polls reporting. Fulton still at 16%. It'll be really close, but Fulton was where Republicans were most worried about their own turnout. It's where there were reports of turnout halving in their precincts and turnout doubling in Democratic districts.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #15 on: April 18, 2017, 09:08:13 PM »

The few precincts left in Cobb are precincts that Hill won last year.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #16 on: April 18, 2017, 09:16:32 PM »

Almost 47%
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2017, 06:22:55 AM »

Not all of the Republican voters will show up to vote for Handel again. Most if not more Democratic voters will show up to vote for Ossoff in the run-off. It'll still probably be close, but I think Ossoff has the edge.
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