GA-6 Special election discussion thread

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No

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Handel: End Muslim Immigration

Oh for the love of God DNC smell the blood in the water

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That was literally the dumbest attack ad I have ever seen

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Georgia’s Sixth District Adds 10,000 Voters in a Month

https://decisiondeskhq.com/upcoming-races/georgias-sixth-district-adds-10000-voters-in-a-month/?utm_content=buffer53cdf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Fingers crossed

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GOP Attack #1: Ossoff likes Star Wars!

GOP Attack #2:



"His name sounds vaguely not-white"

Wow they are just trying to blow this one aren't they?

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Josh Kraushaar @HotlineJosh
#GA06: Hearing some private grumbling from top Rs that early GOP attacks portraying Ossoff as immature haven't worked. New msging in works.

No sh*t it doesn't work

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Kraushaar: CLF adding $1.1M to their ad buy, new barrage will hammer him as Pelosi's rubber stamp.

That article also says the Congressional Leadership Fund (R) polling shows:

-Ossoff leading with 37%
-Ossoff favorability 41/30 (+11)
-Trump favorability (+6)
-Pelosi favorability 25/66 (-41)

This is why Pelosi should have gone a long time ago, even today she still polls worse than Paul Ryan and she hasn't had the Speakership in 7 years. I do think she motivates Rs and continues to be an effective bogeyman for them.

Yeah it's pretty mind-boggling that she's STILL the minority leader after all these years. Though probably that's because nobody else really wants the job, same as with Ryan.

Tim Ryan wants the job an he better get it in 2018

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people here still whining about Pelosi? change Democrat leaders, guess what you'd get?

SO AND SO IS A RUBBER STAMP FOR CHUCK SCHUMER

just idiocy. this is still a Republican district no matter what they're going to dislike Democrat leadership.

^This^

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New poll of possible match ups have Ossoff beating Handel 42-41 an Gray 44-42 http://m.dailykos.com/stories/2017/3/24/1646914/-As-a-new-poll-gives-Jon-Ossoff-a-runoff-lead-the-GOP-drops-another-1-1-million-on-ads

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I wonder why Republicans have such a passionate hatred for Pelosi.  Is it because she was an extraordinarily competent Speaker representing the party they detest, that she is an empowered liberal woman, or both?

It's more the "San Francisco Liberal" stereotype, IMO. She's easy to caricature.

^this also with the dash of sexism

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First day early voting: 60 Dem vs 28 Rep https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/846531645272403968

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Nate is also reporting that absentee are lopsided Dem as well

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In news not Ossoff related David Perdue endorses Dan Moody https://mobile.twitter.com/bluestein/status/846663261881847809

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The republicans in the district are rapidly abandoning the party, as shown by Trump's very narrow margin.

And Isakson's landslide win? Yes, yes... I know Isakson is not a generic R, but using that logic Quist and Tester would be toast because Clinton lost MT by 20 points. There's more than just the presidential results to consider. Not denying that Ossoff can win, though.

Well it should be fair to point out from those stupid attack ads an just generic advertising that for the seat that Trump's HHS held they have done a horrible job

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@Nate_Cohn: "For what it's worth, day 2 of in-person early voting in GA-6 is D 55, R 32.
Over all, including abs, it's D 55, R 31, with 3372 votes cast"

https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/846892024146018304

Is it too arrogant to guarantee Ossoff is making the run off?

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Which Republican would be the strongest? Handel seems to be leading but she carries the career politician stigma. Gray looks like he is getting support from Trump's base. Not sure about Judson Hill but he seems like an establishment conservative that would probably do well in this district. Any idea about Moody?

Hill

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Republican leaders are growing "increasingly concerned" Ossoff is going to hit 50% ban avoid the runnoff https://twitter.com/ALT_DOJ/status/847098515020926977/photo/1

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Not surprising but dems are very far ahead of where they were early voting wise in 2014 while reps are far behind. Also there are another 6000 requested but unreturned absentee ballots with the breakdown Dem 47%/Rep 21% https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/847256025275269120

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If I'm reading Michael McDonald the majority of early voting is old white women who are democratic? https://mobile.twitter.com/ElectProject/status/847628689827274755

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"Day 4 of in-person early voting in GA-6 is D 53, R 30
Over all, including absentees, D 55, R 29 with 6442 votes cast"

https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/847632669215150086

R vote as a % went down overall since yesterday. D remained steady. Given that the party numbers are based on which primary they have last voted in, do you think the 16% or so who haven't voted in either primary are more R or D?

More D big time

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Unfortunately 2016 proved that early voting can be over interpreted. Robby Mook made sure Hillary crushed the Florida early vote, but still got swamped on the Election Day vote. It's just like taking out a loan... You eventually have to pay it back.

But Hillary didn't really crush the early Florida vote but also presidential election vs special is apples to oranges

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Republican leader in Georgia "the early vote is chilling" https://secure.politico.com/story/2017/03/georgia-special-election-tom-price-seat-jon-ossoff-236703

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Day 5: https://mobile.twitter.com/ElectProject/status/848008061709168640

Ballots: 8,110

McDonald's numbers (not Cohn's):

• Dem 3591 (44%)
• Unknown 2639 (33%)
• Rep 1880 (23%)

(Was 45% D, 32% U, 23% R yesterday)

The real key from what I'm hearing is that the "unknown" are breaking heavily Ossoff because these are mostly indies/moderate people who are either a) fired up over Trump or b) moderates who want a check on him

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That's a big jump among nonpartisans. Wherever they lean will decide this race.

That is what I was saying I'm hearing they a breaking Ossoff's way

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How many people do we expect to vote in the primary?  Is getting over 200 thousand too out there?

Early turnout as a raw number is on par with 2014's early turnout, for what it's worth. There were 210k votes cast in the GA-6 race overall in 2014.

It's the wealthiest CD in GA and one of the wealthiest in the South, so I expect overall turnout for a special election will be much higher than average - even before factoring in just how competitive this race is now apparently becoming.

I've been hearing that none registered are likely breaking dem do you agree?