GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[Progressive]

So I've seen polls that suggest that 2/3 of those who voted early went for Ossoff. Any idea what % of voters in GA-06 will have been early vote?

[Progressive]

Just to be clear, Ossoff would need 50% + 1 vote to win tomorrow right?

So if 50,000 people voted, he'd need 25,001 votes to win outright, correcT?

[Progressive]

As a Democrat and a Mets fan I am used to heart break. All I can think about tonight is a continued tale of woe. Hope the streak breaks because this year has been very sad to watch.

[Progressive]

As a Democrat and a Mets fan I am used to heart break. All I can think about tonight is a continued tale of woe. Hope the streak breaks because this year has been very sad to watch.

Don't let perfect be the enemy of good. Tonight will be a win for Ossof if he gets 47 or above.

I agree but there are two groups I am concerned about.

1. Trump and Trump supporters who will think that a runoff validates the incredible amount of incompetence and "bad presidenting" coming from the White House

2. Disenchanted Dems who will see not an outright win and think "Forget it, the DNC is done, I'm going back to not voting."

[Progressive]

From the Atlanta Journal Constitution live blog

Updated at 6:15 p.m. Reading the tea leaves

Political analysts are getting wound up about a pair of Sandy Springs districts that could signal a stronger-than-expected Democratic turnout.

The first is a precinct that Democrat Michelle Nunn won with 78 percent of the vote in 2014, meaning that it’s a trove of potential votes for Democrat Jon Ossoff. Turnout in that precinct has nearly doubled on Tuesday, an astounding fete for a special election.

The second is a precinct in a more conservative stretch of Sandy Springs where Nunn only got about a third of the votes. Turnout there is only about half of what it was in 2014.

“That ain’t good,” texted one GOP operative.

[Progressive]

Anyone with some links to good results pages tonight?

[Progressive]

Anyone with some links to good results pages tonight?

Honestly, updating this thread is probably a top notch source for vote updates

True. I usually do that anyway but really like to see the raw data.

[Progressive]

Any idea when first results are expected? Will they wait to post ANY results until the two Fulton Co. precincts being kept open are done voting?

[Progressive]

Good thing for Ossoff is that most of the GOP strongholds are still bottleneck. 400 is a nightmare between 4 to 7.

What do you mean?

[Progressive]

Ah I see, gotcha. Never been to ATL but I'd like to at some point.

[Progressive]

Still predicting that Ossoff hits the 50% benchmark.

I'm heartened by the fact that both Handel and Gray have some potentially fatal flaws in a runoff, that being said, I also think the Ossoff campaign ran a very effective campaign for the preliminary round and I'm thinking 50.0%+

[Progressive]

UGH GIMME RESULTSSSS

[Progressive]

UGH GIMME RESULTSSSS

IT'S BEEN THREE WHOLE MINUTES I NEED MY FIX

yaaaas it's true

[Progressive]

First results coming in now.

link??

[Progressive]

First results coming in now.

link??

DDHQ says they are about to post them.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/georgia-6th-congressional-district-ga06-special-election-primary/

Do they have a live podcast or something you're listening to?

Also--anyone getting weird Adware looking things on DDHQ?

[Progressive]

Imagine if Ossoff got 49.98%.

It's possible

[Progressive]

What were the benchmarks of what Ossoff needs to win?

[Progressive]

Can anyone explain the reason for the seriously slow counting?

[Progressive]

Ossoff back up to 51%

[Progressive]

I mean....maybe there's hope. With th most conservative parts in, Ossoff is at 50.1%?

[Progressive]

So much for the #resistance.

I'm confused. If Nita Lowey's seat in NY was vacated and the Republican came close to 50% would that not be considered a big disappointment for Dems?

[Progressive]

FWIW, Ossoff back up to 51%

[Progressive]

It keeps swinging between like 49 and 51% I'm gonna vom

[Progressive]

and ? the goal is not to beat trump, the goal is to get 50%+

A goal is to get 50%+. That would have been amazing, and few people projected it here.

If he's scoring at 48 or 49%, that's a very good position to be in heading into the runoff. Better than the low 40s showing in the polls where he'd never make up the gap to 50.

you are right but 2 hours ago, expectations were that ossoff would win without runoff. And 2 months are an eternity in politics...

That's patently false. The "expectations" were not he'd win OUTRIGHT. The expectations were a big shoulder shrug and the HOPE was he'd win.