GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[DrScholl]

He sure can.

[DrScholl]

The trends in the area were fairly strong last year, so strong that the Republican legislature is redrawing a few state house districts, two of which lie within GA-6. That sort of action isn't taken without real concern.

[DrScholl]

Republicans don't necessarily have much cause for enthusiasm right now, which is a big turnout factor. The reverse is true for Democrats, who have a lot of motivation to turnout and seem to be doing just that.

[DrScholl]

When one side is putting most of their energy toward just one candidate and turning out people for just one candidate, that increases the odds of hitting 50% just based on turnout. The district swung heavily Democratic without Georgia even being a targeted state, so there is no telling what the dynamics will look like with an actual turnout operation and campaign. It's all about turnout and enthusiasm.

[DrScholl]

Look at this tweet and tell me why Pelosi should remain minority leader, she was also a factor in losing FL-13 with Sink.

https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/848909731414585345

I agree with the sentiment, but I don't really think this tweet is evidence of that. That person would make the same jump with any Democratic House Leader.

Before I clicked, though, I thought it was going to be a quote from Pelosi saying something along the lines of "Ossoff is a true liberal, and a close personal friend. I am proud to endorse him and hope to see him in Congress next to me!"

No because most voters would not care who Tim Ryan or Joe Crowley is they'd have low name ID. Look at Schumer/McConnell's numbers most Americans don't know who they are.

You are assuming that those people would not have name recognition if they were minority leader, which is inaccurate. Regardless of who the minority leader was, Republicans wouldn't like them. Collin Peterson would be considered a communist by these sort of people.

[DrScholl]

Look at this tweet and tell me why Pelosi should remain minority leader, she was also a factor in losing FL-13 with Sink.

https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/848909731414585345

I agree with the sentiment, but I don't really think this tweet is evidence of that. That person would make the same jump with any Democratic House Leader.

Before I clicked, though, I thought it was going to be a quote from Pelosi saying something along the lines of "Ossoff is a true liberal, and a close personal friend. I am proud to endorse him and hope to see him in Congress next to me!"

No because most voters would not care who Tim Ryan or Joe Crowley is they'd have low name ID. Look at Schumer/McConnell's numbers most Americans don't know who they are.

You are assuming that those people would not have name recognition if they were minority leader, which is inaccurate. Regardless of who the minority leader was, Republicans wouldn't like them. Collin Peterson would be considered a communist by these sort of people.

For whatever reason, there is a good 10-20% of the population that vaguely knows of Pelosi as "the Obamacare (or cap and trade) lady" but doesn't know any of the other congressional leaders from Adam and Eve.  It isn't helpful to deny this anymore and it could conceivably swing a few House seats.  I see a ray of hope that Pelosi will be pressured to retire if Ossoff and others lose their specials after this type of advertising.

I think you are missing that point that Republicans are going to create a negative image of whoever the minority leader is and run on that everywhere. Pelosi could die right now and it wouldn't help Ossoff or any other candidate that much.

[DrScholl]

When the "Godless" type ads come out, you know who is in trouble. From what I've heard about the latest ad, it's really desperate.

[DrScholl]

Democrats had an advantage in early voting for 11 days, which suggests that most of their voters have already voted by now. There is also the fact that not every Republican showing up is voting for a Republican.

[DrScholl]

A lot of Democrats have already turned out and most of the Democratic early votes are probably banked. There are only a couple of days of early voting left, so I think Democrats have done a good job in turning out for the early vote.

[DrScholl]

RRH is a very conservative site and I would be skeptical of any poll the released. The polled LA-Gov and had Vitter down only 6 and he lost by more.

[DrScholl]

From Republican state senator Fran Millar at a GOP breakfast:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/04/15/warring-republicans-try-to-unite-against-ossoff-in-georgias-sixth/

Scarlett O'Hara needs to calm down (and yes, I do know that Millar's a man, but he still sounds extra dramatic like Scarlett).

[DrScholl]

How come Handel is so unpopular in a district like this?

Perhaps people are sick of seeing her name on the ballot. She's been on the statewide primary ballot twice in four years. Seems like she's running to just receive a title and prestige.

[DrScholl]

Trump makes a robo call:

https://mobile.twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/854110507560783873/photo/1

Has someone told him he is not that liked in this district?

He doesn't care and just does what he wants. No one could have stopped him from doing this.

[DrScholl]

How is Ossoff going to raise taxes and bring in illegal immigrants don't Rs control Congress? I don't get this line of messaging from Rs.

Same way Cory Gardner was going to ban birth control

Mitch McConnell is his boss and controls the Senate, so that's a different situation.

[DrScholl]

How is Ossoff going to raise taxes and bring in illegal immigrants don't Rs control Congress? I don't get this line of messaging from Rs.

Same way Cory Gardner was going to ban birth control

Mitch McConnell is his boss and controls the Senate, so that's a different situation.

Fake news!

When those charges were thrown at Mr. Gardner back in 2014, Harry Reid was the Senate Majority Leader.

Republicans took control of the Senate in that election. Mitch McConnell would have been his boss regardless since he is the Republican leader. You really need to stop with all this drama saying "Fake News", it's not amusing.

[DrScholl]

Clinton lost the Cobb portion 55-40 and carried the DeKalb portion 57-38, while narrowly losing Fulton 49-46. Ossoff's benchmarks to win outright tonight are 40-62-51 respectively in each of those counties (in alphabetical order).

[DrScholl]

Feel my wrath. I am MARTY from MONTANA and like a tree standing by the waterside, I shall not be moved by mondale's cretin behavior.

This is bizarre.

[DrScholl]

Hope he loses just to see Dems sh*t themselves.

I hope he wins just so Republicans lose their minds.

[DrScholl]

Hope he loses just to see Dems sh*t themselves.

I hope he wins just so Republicans lose their minds.

We can just take it back in 2018 easily.

Oh, how ominous.

[DrScholl]

Let's not call the race yet, people. Ossoff is still performing quite well, so let's at least wait for more votes to report before declaring that flop Karen Handel the next Representative.

[DrScholl]

However the vote shakes out in Fulton will track closely to the overall district-wide vote, because Fulton is of course the bulk of the district. If Ossoff can stay over 50% there, he can close out tonight, but we will see what happens.

[DrScholl]

The most conservative part of Cobb County is in GA-6, so it was always going to lean heavily GOP in this races.

[DrScholl]

There is zero guarantee that a Republican will win a runoff. This race shouldn't have even been competitive for a Democrat to even make the runoff, yet it is. The runoff is very winnable for Ossoff.

[DrScholl]

So much for the #resistance.

This is a buffoonish post. Much like is the KS-4th, Dems should not be doing this well. Yes, Clinton did well, but Price won in a landslide.

The ignore button is a good idea for that poster, as well as krazen.

[DrScholl]

Ossoff winning outright was definitely the preferred outcome, but it definitely wasn't expected and even the Ossoff campaign was prepping it's volunteers for that. As the numbers stand right, he is in a great position for the runoff.