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Author Topic: Florida 2018 Open Thread  (Read 7286 times)
Confused Democrat
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« Reply #50 on: March 29, 2017, 09:03:54 am »
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NYT did a piece on political outsiders running for office that featured John Morgan. Here's the excerpt:

Quote
Mr. Morgan, whose Morgan & Morgan advertising is ubiquitous across Florida, said Mr. Trump had exposed the power of a populist message and the comparative ineffectiveness of traditional political methods, like television advertising.

A champion of drug decriminalization with a penchant for unfiltered Twitter posts and artful profanity, Mr. Morgan, 60, said he was considering a run for governor in 2018 on a virtually single-issue platform of raising the minimum wage to $14 or $15 per hour, from $8.10. He said he would pledge to serve one term only and then go home.

Unburdened by the typical politician’s sense of restraint, Mr. Morgan, having just returned from a winter sojourn on the Caribbean playground for the rich, St. Barts, offered a rapid-fire preview of his campaign in a series of emails. He said Mr. Trump had done “enlightening” things in his race, described his own public profile as “huge” and repeated the pledge to serve just one term.

“Most politicians are so insincere and phony you can’t watch it,” Mr. Morgan wrote. “And most never made a payroll and don’t really understand.”

...

Party strategists see Mr. Pritzker and Mr. Apodaca as among the most promising contenders in their states, and view Mr. Morgan and Mr. Cloobeck as formidable, albeit more unpredictable, contenders for their party’s nomination.

Mr. Morgan, Mr. Cloobeck and Mr. Apodaca all said they would expect to spend substantial sums of their own money on any campaign, and also to raise a good deal more than that through their extensive personal and business connections.

All signals seem to indicate that Morgan is going to run, and I really really hope he does.

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« Reply #51 on: March 29, 2017, 09:12:04 am »
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NYT did a piece on political outsiders running for office that featured John Morgan. Here's the excerpt:

Quote
Mr. Morgan, whose Morgan & Morgan advertising is ubiquitous across Florida, said Mr. Trump had exposed the power of a populist message and the comparative ineffectiveness of traditional political methods, like television advertising.

A champion of drug decriminalization with a penchant for unfiltered Twitter posts and artful profanity, Mr. Morgan, 60, said he was considering a run for governor in 2018 on a virtually single-issue platform of raising the minimum wage to $14 or $15 per hour, from $8.10. He said he would pledge to serve one term only and then go home.

Unburdened by the typical politician’s sense of restraint, Mr. Morgan, having just returned from a winter sojourn on the Caribbean playground for the rich, St. Barts, offered a rapid-fire preview of his campaign in a series of emails. He said Mr. Trump had done “enlightening” things in his race, described his own public profile as “huge” and repeated the pledge to serve just one term.

“Most politicians are so insincere and phony you can’t watch it,” Mr. Morgan wrote. “And most never made a payroll and don’t really understand.”

...

Party strategists see Mr. Pritzker and Mr. Apodaca as among the most promising contenders in their states, and view Mr. Morgan and Mr. Cloobeck as formidable, albeit more unpredictable, contenders for their party’s nomination.

Mr. Morgan, Mr. Cloobeck and Mr. Apodaca all said they would expect to spend substantial sums of their own money on any campaign, and also to raise a good deal more than that through their extensive personal and business connections.

All signals seem to indicate that Morgan is going to run, and I really really hope he does.



I can't wait for the Morgan DUI attack ads

Morgan can just respond: I know how to have a good time!
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« Reply #52 on: March 29, 2017, 09:19:12 am »
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NYT did a piece on political outsiders running for office that featured John Morgan. Here's the excerpt:

Quote
Mr. Morgan, whose Morgan & Morgan advertising is ubiquitous across Florida, said Mr. Trump had exposed the power of a populist message and the comparative ineffectiveness of traditional political methods, like television advertising.

A champion of drug decriminalization with a penchant for unfiltered Twitter posts and artful profanity, Mr. Morgan, 60, said he was considering a run for governor in 2018 on a virtually single-issue platform of raising the minimum wage to $14 or $15 per hour, from $8.10. He said he would pledge to serve one term only and then go home.

Unburdened by the typical politician’s sense of restraint, Mr. Morgan, having just returned from a winter sojourn on the Caribbean playground for the rich, St. Barts, offered a rapid-fire preview of his campaign in a series of emails. He said Mr. Trump had done “enlightening” things in his race, described his own public profile as “huge” and repeated the pledge to serve just one term.

“Most politicians are so insincere and phony you can’t watch it,” Mr. Morgan wrote. “And most never made a payroll and don’t really understand.”

...

Party strategists see Mr. Pritzker and Mr. Apodaca as among the most promising contenders in their states, and view Mr. Morgan and Mr. Cloobeck as formidable, albeit more unpredictable, contenders for their party’s nomination.

Mr. Morgan, Mr. Cloobeck and Mr. Apodaca all said they would expect to spend substantial sums of their own money on any campaign, and also to raise a good deal more than that through their extensive personal and business connections.

All signals seem to indicate that Morgan is going to run, and I really really hope he does.



I can't wait for the Morgan DUI attack ads

Morgan can just respond: I know how to have a good time!

The DUI thing is such a transparent attempt at character assassination. Most voters are going to see right through it.
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« Reply #53 on: March 29, 2017, 09:38:38 am »
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NYT did a piece on political outsiders running for office that featured John Morgan. Here's the excerpt:

Quote
Mr. Morgan, whose Morgan & Morgan advertising is ubiquitous across Florida, said Mr. Trump had exposed the power of a populist message and the comparative ineffectiveness of traditional political methods, like television advertising.

A champion of drug decriminalization with a penchant for unfiltered Twitter posts and artful profanity, Mr. Morgan, 60, said he was considering a run for governor in 2018 on a virtually single-issue platform of raising the minimum wage to $14 or $15 per hour, from $8.10. He said he would pledge to serve one term only and then go home.

Unburdened by the typical politician’s sense of restraint, Mr. Morgan, having just returned from a winter sojourn on the Caribbean playground for the rich, St. Barts, offered a rapid-fire preview of his campaign in a series of emails. He said Mr. Trump had done “enlightening” things in his race, described his own public profile as “huge” and repeated the pledge to serve just one term.

“Most politicians are so insincere and phony you can’t watch it,” Mr. Morgan wrote. “And most never made a payroll and don’t really understand.”

...

Party strategists see Mr. Pritzker and Mr. Apodaca as among the most promising contenders in their states, and view Mr. Morgan and Mr. Cloobeck as formidable, albeit more unpredictable, contenders for their party’s nomination.

Mr. Morgan, Mr. Cloobeck and Mr. Apodaca all said they would expect to spend substantial sums of their own money on any campaign, and also to raise a good deal more than that through their extensive personal and business connections.

All signals seem to indicate that Morgan is going to run, and I really really hope he does.



I can't wait for the Morgan DUI attack ads

Morgan can just respond: I know how to have a good time!

The DUI thing is such a transparent attempt at character assassination. Most voters are going to see right through it.

From what I know...Morgan never stopped drinking and has a private driver to chauffer him around because he's banned from having a lisence.

A couple of years ago when I lived in St. Petersburg, a co-workers boyfriend who was a paralegal in a law firm that did alot of business with Morgan said Morgan is still a giant party animal alcoholic. Don't know how true that is but I found it amusing
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« Reply #54 on: March 29, 2017, 09:46:27 am »
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NYT did a piece on political outsiders running for office that featured John Morgan. Here's the excerpt:

Quote
Mr. Morgan, whose Morgan & Morgan advertising is ubiquitous across Florida, said Mr. Trump had exposed the power of a populist message and the comparative ineffectiveness of traditional political methods, like television advertising.

A champion of drug decriminalization with a penchant for unfiltered Twitter posts and artful profanity, Mr. Morgan, 60, said he was considering a run for governor in 2018 on a virtually single-issue platform of raising the minimum wage to $14 or $15 per hour, from $8.10. He said he would pledge to serve one term only and then go home.

Unburdened by the typical politician’s sense of restraint, Mr. Morgan, having just returned from a winter sojourn on the Caribbean playground for the rich, St. Barts, offered a rapid-fire preview of his campaign in a series of emails. He said Mr. Trump had done “enlightening” things in his race, described his own public profile as “huge” and repeated the pledge to serve just one term.

“Most politicians are so insincere and phony you can’t watch it,” Mr. Morgan wrote. “And most never made a payroll and don’t really understand.”

...

Party strategists see Mr. Pritzker and Mr. Apodaca as among the most promising contenders in their states, and view Mr. Morgan and Mr. Cloobeck as formidable, albeit more unpredictable, contenders for their party’s nomination.

Mr. Morgan, Mr. Cloobeck and Mr. Apodaca all said they would expect to spend substantial sums of their own money on any campaign, and also to raise a good deal more than that through their extensive personal and business connections.

All signals seem to indicate that Morgan is going to run, and I really really hope he does.



I can't wait for the Morgan DUI attack ads

Morgan can just respond: I know how to have a good time!

The DUI thing is such a transparent attempt at character assassination. Most voters are going to see right through it.

From what I know...Morgan never stopped drinking and has a private driver to chauffer him around because he's banned from having a lisence.

A couple of years ago when I lived in St. Petersburg, a co-workers boyfriend who was a paralegal in a law firm that did alot of business with Morgan said Morgan is still a giant party animal alcoholic. Don't know how true that is but I found it amusing

I just don't believe personal attacks are effective. Trump vs Clinton should be a testament to that.

Anyways, looking at the potential Democratic field so far, Morgan is the only one who passes the gut check for me.
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« Reply #55 on: March 31, 2017, 02:05:47 am »
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Morgan might be making his decision on April 21st.

http://tigerbayclub.com/for-the-people-will-the-man-who-legalized-medical-marijuana-be-your-next-governor/

Run Morgan run!
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« Reply #56 on: March 31, 2017, 12:03:21 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
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« Reply #57 on: March 31, 2017, 12:24:01 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.

It's florida if anything it will help him :p
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« Reply #58 on: March 31, 2017, 12:41:05 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.

So should all of the crap Donald Trump did, but he still won this state.

Also Mike Carpo got a DUI in 2012, and he was re-elected this year. One DUI isn't a deal breaker for most voters as long as the candidate is honest, upfront, and apologetic about it.
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« Reply #59 on: April 01, 2017, 01:00:28 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.
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« Reply #60 on: April 01, 2017, 04:54:53 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
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« Reply #61 on: April 01, 2017, 10:48:36 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
Though Gaetz wasn't elected until 2016 - Gaetz, unlike Crapo, wasn't an incumbent and had to get through a fairly competitive primary against some legitimate candidates (including a sitting State Senator, Greg Evers) and was still able to win easily despite his DUI.
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« Reply #62 on: April 02, 2017, 04:44:46 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
Though Gaetz wasn't elected until 2016 - Gaetz, unlike Crapo, wasn't an incumbent and had to get through a fairly competitive primary against some legitimate candidates (including a sitting State Senator, Greg Evers) and was still able to win easily despite his DUI.
The Gaetz campaign was the flagship campaign where I interned. Evers made some hay about it during the campaign but nobody seemed to care.
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« Reply #63 on: April 03, 2017, 03:22:45 pm »
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Should technically be under the Congressional thread, but it's relevant here. For those saying Nelson could never win by double digits against Scott, a Republican pollster disagrees.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics1com/status/848980654951976960

Gravis is not a Republican, but simply a junk pollster.

But speaking of Nelson, he is expected to endorse Graham, right? Or has he already?
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« Reply #64 on: April 14, 2017, 09:18:38 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.
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« Reply #65 on: April 15, 2017, 09:40:20 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.

He's already had a good campaign slogan for a number of years now:

"For the People"
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« Reply #66 on: April 19, 2017, 04:51:47 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.

He's already had a good campaign slogan for a number of years now:

"For the People"
Hahaha oh damn that's been in the background my entire life, and I've never once thought of it as a good political slogan!
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« Reply #67 on: April 20, 2017, 05:30:37 pm »
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I trying to think more about this:

If the big 3 candidates in the Democratic primary were:

1. John Morgan
2. Gwen Graham
3. Andrew Gillum

it's hard to say who would win.  I feel like it would be between Graham and Morgan, but that is hard to predict.  Graham is a North Florida politician who served in Congress, but Morgan (no doubt) has more name recognition, and people know him for fighting (successfully) for medical marijuana.

What do you guys think?
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« Reply #68 on: April 21, 2017, 01:01:50 pm »
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John Morgan said in a speech today that it's more likely than not that he runs for Governor.
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« Reply #69 on: April 24, 2017, 01:04:00 pm »
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John Morgan said in a speech today that it's more likely than not that he runs for Governor.
I really hope he doesn't. He wouldn't be able to win against the big shots and he would make the race a money pit that would drain the winner and help the GOP (as they have a cash advantage)
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TBD (AL Sen) D
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« Reply #70 on: April 30, 2017, 05:21:39 pm »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.
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« Reply #71 on: May 01, 2017, 03:46:19 am »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.
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« Reply #72 on: May 01, 2017, 06:31:57 am »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.

I don't think he knew she was going to retire.
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« Reply #73 on: May 01, 2017, 01:50:49 pm »
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Marc Caputo‏ @MarcACaputo
Former U.S. Rep. @GwenGraham is expected tomorrow to announce she's running for governor, a post held by her dad and former sen. Bob Graham

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/859110888623796224
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« Reply #74 on: May 01, 2017, 01:57:53 pm »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.

I don't think he knew she was going to retire.

He knows now, and he's still looking statewide.
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