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| | |-+  Florida 2018 Open Thread
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Author Topic: Florida 2018 Open Thread  (Read 11582 times)
BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #50 on: March 31, 2017, 12:03:21 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
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« Reply #51 on: March 31, 2017, 12:24:01 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.

It's florida if anything it will help him :p
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« Reply #52 on: March 31, 2017, 12:41:05 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.

So should all of the crap Donald Trump did, but he still won this state.

Also Mike Carpo got a DUI in 2012, and he was re-elected this year. One DUI isn't a deal breaker for most voters as long as the candidate is honest, upfront, and apologetic about it.
« Last Edit: March 31, 2017, 12:43:21 pm by Confused Democrat »Logged



2018 Endorsements:
FL Senate: Bill Nelson
FL-21: Ted Deutch
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« Reply #53 on: April 01, 2017, 01:00:28 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #54 on: April 01, 2017, 04:54:53 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
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« Reply #55 on: April 01, 2017, 10:48:36 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
Though Gaetz wasn't elected until 2016 - Gaetz, unlike Crapo, wasn't an incumbent and had to get through a fairly competitive primary against some legitimate candidates (including a sitting State Senator, Greg Evers) and was still able to win easily despite his DUI.
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ColonelSanchez
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« Reply #56 on: April 02, 2017, 04:44:46 pm »
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Drunk-driving is a pretty bad thing to have in one's record. Could just turn people off of him, without any explanation.
Matt Gaetz has a DUI and he got elected to Congress up in FL-1, so I don't think it's a yuge problem unless it involved a crash.

Gaetz is in a pretty safe district, like Crapo being in Safe R Idaho. It'll be interesting to see if Drunk Driving is a deal breaker in more competitive race.
Though Gaetz wasn't elected until 2016 - Gaetz, unlike Crapo, wasn't an incumbent and had to get through a fairly competitive primary against some legitimate candidates (including a sitting State Senator, Greg Evers) and was still able to win easily despite his DUI.
The Gaetz campaign was the flagship campaign where I interned. Evers made some hay about it during the campaign but nobody seemed to care.
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« Reply #57 on: April 03, 2017, 03:22:45 pm »
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Should technically be under the Congressional thread, but it's relevant here. For those saying Nelson could never win by double digits against Scott, a Republican pollster disagrees.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics1com/status/848980654951976960

Gravis is not a Republican, but simply a junk pollster.

But speaking of Nelson, he is expected to endorse Graham, right? Or has he already?
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2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

Wulfric seems to just LOVE Tester.
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« Reply #58 on: April 14, 2017, 09:18:38 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.
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2018 Endorsements:
FL Senate: Bill Nelson
FL-21: Ted Deutch
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« Reply #59 on: April 15, 2017, 09:40:20 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.

He's already had a good campaign slogan for a number of years now:

"For the People"
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« Reply #60 on: April 19, 2017, 04:51:47 pm »
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The source is dodgy, but:

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Sources Close to John Morgan have told OPO publisher Doug Kaplan that there is a 75% chance John Morgan will run for Governor of Florida.   My sources told me he is confident that he can win and he is working out details with his family and law firm.

I think the percentage is greater than that, but it looks like he's going to run.

He's already had a good campaign slogan for a number of years now:

"For the People"
Hahaha oh damn that's been in the background my entire life, and I've never once thought of it as a good political slogan!
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« Reply #61 on: April 20, 2017, 05:30:37 pm »
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I trying to think more about this:

If the big 3 candidates in the Democratic primary were:

1. John Morgan
2. Gwen Graham
3. Andrew Gillum

it's hard to say who would win.  I feel like it would be between Graham and Morgan, but that is hard to predict.  Graham is a North Florida politician who served in Congress, but Morgan (no doubt) has more name recognition, and people know him for fighting (successfully) for medical marijuana.

What do you guys think?
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NJ-Gov: Kim Guadagno (R)
VA-Gov: Ed Gillespie (R)

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UT-03: Jim Bennett (UU), John Curtis (R)
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« Reply #62 on: April 21, 2017, 01:01:50 pm »
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John Morgan said in a speech today that it's more likely than not that he runs for Governor.
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« Reply #63 on: April 24, 2017, 01:04:00 pm »
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John Morgan said in a speech today that it's more likely than not that he runs for Governor.
I really hope he doesn't. He wouldn't be able to win against the big shots and he would make the race a money pit that would drain the winner and help the GOP (as they have a cash advantage)
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My Endorsements:
2017
Ralph Northam (VA Gov) D
Phil Murphy (NJ Gov) D
TBD (AL Sen) D
Jon Ossoff (GA-6) D
Rob Quist (MT-AL) D
Jimmy Gomez (CA-34)
TBD (FLS-40) D

2017 Int
Emmanuel Macron (FR Pres) EM
Martin Schulz (GR Chanc) SPD
TBD (UK PM)
Moon Jae-in (SK Pres) D

2018
TBD (FL-27) D
Gwen Graham (FL Gov) D
Bill Nelson (FL Sen) D
henster
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« Reply #64 on: April 30, 2017, 05:21:39 pm »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #65 on: May 01, 2017, 03:46:19 am »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.
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« Reply #66 on: May 01, 2017, 06:31:57 am »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.

I don't think he knew she was going to retire.
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Castro
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« Reply #67 on: May 01, 2017, 01:50:49 pm »
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Marc Caputo‏ @MarcACaputo
Former U.S. Rep. @GwenGraham is expected tomorrow to announce she's running for governor, a post held by her dad and former sen. Bob Graham

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/859110888623796224
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« Reply #68 on: May 01, 2017, 01:57:53 pm »
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Thoughts on Phil Levine? Seems to have a pretty good profile.

I can't believe he thinks his odds are better running for Gov than for FL-27.

I don't think he knew she was going to retire.

He knows now, and he's still looking statewide.
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« Reply #69 on: May 01, 2017, 02:08:14 pm »
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Putnam in. https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/859120426794065920
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« Reply #70 on: May 01, 2017, 02:13:04 pm »
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Excellent news.
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2018 "Endorsements":

MT-SEN: Matt Rosendale (R)
MO-SEN: Josh Hawley (R)
WV-SEN: Evan Jenkins (R)
NH-GOV: Stefany Shaheen (D)
NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter (D)
NH-02: Annie Kuster (D)

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« Reply #71 on: May 01, 2017, 02:56:07 pm »
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With both Putnam and Graham in, this election is about to get a whole lot more serious and exciting.

The next big mystery will be whether John Morgan runs or not.
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VA-Gov: Ed Gillespie (R)

AL-Sen: Luther Strange (R)
UT-03: Jim Bennett (UU), John Curtis (R)
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« Reply #72 on: May 01, 2017, 03:17:28 pm »
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I'd be fine if it was a Putnam-Graham race, although I'd prefer a Morgan-Putnam race honestly. I believe Morgan probably has the best chance to win the governorship for the Democrats but wouldn't count Graham out either, despite both of their issues.
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« Reply #73 on: May 01, 2017, 05:32:53 pm »
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I think Morgan has too much baggage he may be 'Trumpy' but Trump was never an alcoholic and not an ambulance chaser.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #74 on: May 01, 2017, 11:14:45 pm »
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Marc Caputo‏ @MarcACaputo
Former U.S. Rep. @GwenGraham is expected tomorrow to announce she's running for governor, a post held by her dad and former sen. Bob Graham

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/859110888623796224

Endorsed
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For England, James?

No. For me.
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