How competitive will Colorado be in 2020?
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  How competitive will Colorado be in 2020?
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Author Topic: How competitive will Colorado be in 2020?  (Read 2220 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: February 19, 2017, 01:46:36 AM »

Obviously, a lot can happen in three and a half years, and we don't know who Trump's opponent will be. However, it still seems like Colorado will be a tough state for him. He could do marginally better in Denver and the surrounding area, but he might just as easily lose some support in areas like Pueblo, so I have a hard time seeing him win Colorado unless he's having a very good night. At this point, I'd say it'll probably be a second tier battleground at most.
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2017, 04:22:32 AM »

Colorado is the new Oregon.
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2017, 10:24:53 AM »

It probably will become less competitive due to the rising Hispanic Population and Trump will focus more on the New Rustbelt Swing States.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2017, 04:52:18 PM »

In redistricting year 279 blue wall will once again reaffirm itself do to younger voters and Latinos. And Colorado, Nevada, Illinois, California, New Mexico, PA, MI, WI and VA are lost causes for Trump.
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mgop
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2017, 05:01:27 PM »

it will be competitive, even more than virginia, but trump doesn't need either of these states to win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2017, 05:06:20 PM »

He doesn't but he won't repeat the same performance in the Midwest like last time either with Democratic govs in MI and PA either
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mgop
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2017, 05:11:01 PM »

he can lose CO, VA, MI and PA and still win!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2017, 05:15:29 PM »

Yeah and WI and FL were very close as well. 
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The_Doctor
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2017, 05:43:24 PM »

FWIW, Colorado has VBM, which makes it substantially more Democratic.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2017, 07:37:27 PM »

he can lose CO, VA, MI and PA and still win!

But he would also have to win Wisconsin (very shaky if Governor Scott Walker loses in Wisconsin in 2018), Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio as well.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2017, 11:32:25 PM »

likely D.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2017, 11:35:44 PM »

With the direction the GOP is taking, not very.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2017, 05:16:24 AM »

Under a successful President Trump? Possibly quite competitive.

The main problem for Trump is that successes of his agenda do not really appeal to Colorado. So... it is hard to see Colorado on their goals for gains in 2020.

Furthermore, the situation for the Republicans is made worse than before, as the Democrats are looking to harvest a Senate seat from them here in 2020. A lot of efforts from both sides will be put into Colorado because of this, but Gardner will probably be on the defensive, considering his track record in the Senate and relatively weak 2014 win.

To give an brief answer? I would say Colorado Leans Democratic.
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Person Man
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2017, 11:11:41 AM »

He can win Colorado but with Virginia, its like the last state he can win outside of a total meltdown on the other side.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2017, 05:32:24 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2017, 05:34:09 PM by Tartarus Sauce »

Not very, there's plenty of ground from him to still lose in the Denver suburbs.
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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2017, 07:10:30 PM »

If Colorado is competitive in 2020, Trump has had a successful first term and is winning reelection. If he is endangered (not even necessarily losing; just endangered), then Colorado is a mid-to-high-single-digits Democratic advantage already.

The result of the 2020 election will be determined in 2 groups of swing states, along the Atlantic Coast (NC/GA/FL) and in the Midwest (especially MI/WI/PA). Any candidate who can win 4/6 of these states is basically guaranteed the presidency. (You could add AZ, perhaps, as a seventh key state, but it is smaller and less relevant than those six).
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cvparty
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« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2017, 07:34:03 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2017, 07:37:12 PM by cvparty »

if trump is an unpopular president, it won't be competitive
if he's popular, then he could very possibly win (same for NV)

obviously depends on the challenging candidate too
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