JTC Independent Election Research Association - SOUTH CoD TRACKER, 5/5 PROJECTED
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Author Topic: JTC Independent Election Research Association - SOUTH CoD TRACKER, 5/5 PROJECTED  (Read 4211 times)
JustinTimeCuber
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E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #50 on: April 15, 2017, 02:20:18 PM »
SOUTHERN ELECTION

FOR SENATOR, CLASS II (Final round)
Sjoycefla (LAB) - 19 (54%)
Leinad (FED) (inc.) - 16 (46%)

JIERA RATING
Rating: Tossup
■■■■■■■■
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JustinTimeCuber
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E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #51 on: April 16, 2017, 09:00:10 PM »
SOUTHERN ELECTION

FOR SENATOR, CLASS II (Final round)
Sjoycefla (LAB) - 27 (55%)
Leinad (FED) (inc.) - 22 (45%)

JIERA RATING
Rating: Tilt LAB
■■■■■■■■

The Senate race is shaping up to potentially be an upset like the regional races last month, which could give Labor a solid majority in the Senate, with four Laborites and just one Federalist, and making a coalition with left-leaning independent Siren, the Federalists wouldn't be a in a good position. However, nothing is certain, and Leinad certainly has a chance of coming back. We'll have more updates for you tomorrow.
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #52 on: May 13, 2017, 10:28:27 PM »
Here's a spreadsheet that I will update live as the votes come in for the Southern Chamber of Delegates.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1duo-ZB4jXUm6kJRThPe5ZLFtCOjU5vf-R_KuFIX-ILA/edit?usp=sharing
Although Labor will not win this election as they only have two candidates, many Laborites consider the left-of-center Federalist fhtagn an ally and have voted for her. It looks like the best outcome Labor can get right now is for both of their candidates to win and for fhtagn to also be re-elected. Conservatives are in general looking to re-elect Ben and keep Labor from winning two seats.
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JustinTimeCuber
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #53 on: May 14, 2017, 12:09:25 PM »
PROJECTED WINNER
fhtagn (FED) (inc.)

View full live results at
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1duo-ZB4jXUm6kJRThPe5ZLFtCOjU5vf-R_KuFIX-ILA/edit?usp=sharing
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #54 on: May 14, 2017, 03:15:03 PM »
PROJECTED WINNER
Southern Gothic (LAB) (inc.)

View full live results at
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1duo-ZB4jXUm6kJRThPe5ZLFtCOjU5vf-R_KuFIX-ILA/edit?usp=sharing
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #55 on: May 14, 2017, 06:52:02 PM »
PROJECTED WINNER
JustinTimeCuber (LAB) (inc.)

View full live results at
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1duo-ZB4jXUm6kJRThPe5ZLFtCOjU5vf-R_KuFIX-ILA/edit?usp=sharing
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JustinTimeCuber
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Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #56 on: May 14, 2017, 09:24:16 PM »
Given the unexplained #WriteInTimTurner movement we're downgrading two of our projections to "apparent winners" until we can figure out what the hell is going on.

APPARENT WINNER
fhtagn (FED) (inc.)

APPARENT WINNER
JustinTimeCuber (LAB) (inc.)

View full live results at
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1duo-ZB4jXUm6kJRThPe5ZLFtCOjU5vf-R_KuFIX-ILA/edit?usp=sharing
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #57 on: May 14, 2017, 09:54:24 PM »
(sighs) this is why I can't ever step away from elections, incompetence abound. Well played Labor, good game.
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JustinTimeCuber
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E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #58 on: May 14, 2017, 09:58:53 PM »
Quote from: President dfwlibertylover on May 14, 2017, 09:54:24 PM
(sighs) this is why I can't ever step away from elections, incompetence abound. Well played Labor, good game.
I'm still super confused and guarantee that someone's gonna get really angry after this, probably either me or Ben.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #59 on: May 14, 2017, 10:31:48 PM »
Quote from: Delegate JustinTimeCuber on May 14, 2017, 09:58:53 PM
someone's gonna get really angry after this, probably either me or Ben.
So, like every day in the CoD, then.
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #60 on: May 14, 2017, 10:45:54 PM »
TimTurner will win as a write-in.
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cxs018
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« Reply #61 on: May 14, 2017, 10:54:29 PM »
W E
E

D I D
I
D

I T
T

L A B O R
A
B
O
R
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JustinTimeCuber
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E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #62 on: May 14, 2017, 11:01:44 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2017, 11:04:16 PM by Delegate JustinTimeCuber »
Ben Kenobi is re-elected

Elected Delegates are:
Southern Gothic
JustinTimeCuber
TimTurner
Ben Kenobi
fhtagn

Unless I did the math wrong.
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JustinTimeCuber
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Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #63 on: May 15, 2017, 12:05:00 AM »
Please tell me the threshold isn't 9 and that wasn't all for nothing.
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IceAgeComing
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« Reply #64 on: May 15, 2017, 05:01:47 AM »
48/6=8 - basic maths, dude!
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #65 on: May 15, 2017, 07:17:33 AM »
It's
(Votes/(Seats+1))+1
Rounded down
At least that's what #Labor told me
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #66 on: May 15, 2017, 07:41:57 AM »
I thought it was votes/candidates rounded up (which I suppose would be the same as +1 rounded down in most cases).
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #67 on: May 15, 2017, 07:51:05 AM »
« Edited: May 15, 2017, 08:09:11 AM by Delegate JustinTimeCuber »
We need to pass a law clarifying this

e: Here's the problem with that calculation:
Say there are 36 votes for 6 candidates, split evenly. Under that quota calculation the quota would be 6 for 5 seats. Then you are forced to break the principle that if you make the quota you are elected.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #68 on: May 15, 2017, 11:51:37 AM »
Just to note I'm reviewing and I think Peebs's main error (which I have relayed via pm) is that she put JTC on 6, when he was really on 7.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #69 on: May 15, 2017, 11:53:11 AM »
Quote from: President dfwlibertylover on May 15, 2017, 11:51:37 AM
Just to note I'm reviewing and I think Peebs's main error (which I have relayed via pm) is that she put JTC on 6, when he was really on 7.
Again, I invalidated Talleyrand due to not fulfilling posting requirements which may or may not exist.
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #70 on: May 15, 2017, 12:18:40 PM »
Quote from: Peebs on May 15, 2017, 11:53:11 AM
Quote from: President dfwlibertylover on May 15, 2017, 11:51:37 AM
Just to note I'm reviewing and I think Peebs's main error (which I have relayed via pm) is that she put JTC on 6, when he was really on 7.
Again, I invalidated Talleyrand due to not fulfilling posting requirements which may or may not exist.
ahhhhh, that doesn't exist in the south Tongue
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JustinTimeCuber
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Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.78

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« Reply #71 on: May 15, 2017, 04:07:48 PM »
I'd like to brag that even in this crazy election, we never projected anyone to win who ended up losing!
(JIERA) - (wizardry) = 0
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