New Jersey was (barely) more Republican than Connecticut
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  New Jersey was (barely) more Republican than Connecticut
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Author Topic: New Jersey was (barely) more Republican than Connecticut  (Read 956 times)
King of Kensington
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« on: February 21, 2017, 03:21:07 PM »

Inspired by this thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=174328.0

Looks like a return to the "normal" pattern of New Jersey voting slightly to the right of Connecticut.

Democrat and Republican presidential vote:

CT 2016  54.6%-40.9%
NJ 2016  55%-41%

CT 2012  58.1%-40.7%
NJ 2012  58.4%-40.6%

CT 2008  60.6%-38.2%
NJ 2008  57.3%-41.7%

Interesting that McCain got a higher percentage of the vote than Trump in NJ (changing demographics?)
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2017, 09:14:53 PM »

Inspired by this thread

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=174328.0

Looks like a return to the "normal" pattern of New Jersey voting slightly to the right of Connecticut.

Democrat and Republican presidential vote:

CT 2016  54.6%-40.9%
NJ 2016  55%-41%

CT 2012  58.1%-40.7%
NJ 2012  58.4%-40.6%

CT 2008  60.6%-38.2%
NJ 2008  57.3%-41.7%

Interesting that McCain got a higher percentage of the vote than Trump in NJ (changing demographics?)

Probably that to an extent, plus in 2016 4% of NJ voters went 3rd party vs 1.3% in 2008.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2017, 09:22:52 PM »

Also contrary to the gritty blue collar stereotype, NJ is an affluent state.  Morris County a pretty typical affluent suburban county swung 5 points away from the GOP with Trump on the ballot.
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cvparty
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2017, 10:59:46 AM »

third parties performed particularly better this election
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LLR
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« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2017, 11:29:17 AM »

Also contrary to the gritty blue collar stereotype, NJ is an affluent state.  Morris County a pretty typical affluent suburban county swung 5 points away from the GOP with Trump on the ballot.

Is that a thing? I always assumed the stereotype was that NJ was one giant suburb
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houseonaboat
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2017, 12:54:36 PM »

Mostly a story of increased third party share than a greatly improved Republican share of the vote. For every vote Trump gained in Ocean, Sussex and Warren Counties, he lost one in Morris, Bergen and Hunterdon. Johnson did really well in Bergen County as well as South Jersey and Stein probably did well in Mercer and some other progressive parts of the state.
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Santander
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2017, 03:03:36 PM »

Also contrary to the gritty blue collar stereotype, NJ is an affluent state.  Morris County a pretty typical affluent suburban county swung 5 points away from the GOP with Trump on the ballot.

Is that a thing? I always assumed the stereotype was that NJ was one giant suburb
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2017, 04:29:05 PM »

To be fair, New Jersey did have a solid Republican streak from 1968 to 1992. Doesn't surprise me at all.
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