Iowa is Rubio Country (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Iowa is Rubio Country (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa is Rubio Country  (Read 204146 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,542
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« on: March 19, 2017, 02:47:30 PM »
You should show the running popular vote count in the GOP.  If the Trump popular vote ends up being ahead of Rubio but in a brokered convention Rubio is nominated then that would give Trump the main excuse to run as a third party candidate.

But all things equal this scenario is pretty much the scenario I was hoping for as a Rubio partisan the night before IA caucus. 
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,542
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39
« Reply #1 on: March 22, 2017, 08:11:38 AM »
I sort of feel that if Rubio is the front runner he will not poll as well against Clinton since there will be more Dem efforts to go after him.  Likewise I think Trump and Cruz would poll better than in real life since the anti-GOP energy would now be focused on Rubio and not them.
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