Which piece Atlas #Analysis was proven right by the 2016 election, aside from NH being marginally more Democratic than expected?
Trouble is, Atlas provides endless streams of analysis and it constantly ebbs and flows with dominant fashion. That said, the narrative of a Midwest sweep for the GOP, in tandem with a concurrent surge in the sunbelt and Rockies for the Democrats, was not an uncommon one amongst certain people, sometimes even becoming a dominant theory. Of course, most people misdiagnosed the candidate needed to create this swing (this was the heyday of the "soothing Midwestern Governor" notion, which would become a meme on these boards almost as soon as it was said).
I mean, I can't talk: I called the primary correctly quite early, but the only major call I got right in the general was that Johnson was way less vulnerable than Kirk ever was.