We now see that much Atlas #analysis of the 2016 election was wrong or is now seen to be wrong. I am sure that much of what we think about the 2020 election will be proven wrong? Which pieces of current conventional wisdom on this forum do you view as ridiculous and wrong? What do you think will be proven wrong after the 2020 election? Discuss!
There will be plenty of posters predicting a 1932/1980ish repudiation of Trump, who will then be promptly disappointed and disenchanted when both major party candidates receive at least 45% of the popular vote.
A 55-45 win would still be a 1980 scenario.