NV-PPP (D): Heller on track to get Blanched apparently

[heatcharger]

Link.

Democrat 53%
Heller 36%

The catch? This was for a liberal interest group (Save My Care), and more importantly, they asked this question at the end of their survey, so it was pretty much a push poll. A grain of salt indeed.

[GlobeSoc]

high undecideds lol

[The Other Castro]

Another catch is that there isn't really an obvious, interested Democratic challenger to Heller.

[Blackacre]

Another catch is that there isn't really an obvious, interested Democratic challenger to Heller.

A poll like that should get somebody interested that wouldn't be otherwise.

[Maxwell]

oh wow i did not expect this. beautiful!

Also, there are quite a few possibilities here - frontrunners in mind are Rich Guy Steve Cloobeck (gross) or Beautiful Ruben Kihuen (the ideal choice), if we dig a bit deeper Dina Titus, Aaron Ford, or Ross Miller would do just fine.

[OneJ]

I misread this as VA. But this is even better!

[Skye]

Well, this is a partisan poll alright. Still, it doesn't take a genius to see Heller is in big trouble if Trump's numbers don't improve.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Makes sense.  Hispanics are no longer content with the current government.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Push polls go to the trash. Don't know why this is even being posted.

[Holmes]

Makes sense.  Hispanics are no longer content with the current government.

To be honest, who in Nevada is, aside from people living in the rural areas?aw

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Makes sense.  Hispanics are no longer content with the current government.

To be honest, who in Nevada is, aside from people living in the rural areas?aw

Bundy-ite Las Vegas cowboys or something, maybe?  But alas, the Bundy Clan is no match for Enraged NV Hispanics.

[heatcharger]

Push polls go to the trash. Don't know why this is even being posted.

lol I said it was a push poll. I just posted it so people can see it.

[Xing]

Any poll this early out should be taken with several truckloads of salt, but Republicans should definitely be worried about this seat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dina Titus for Senate D+1

[Zioneer]

Why doesn't someone like Mo Denis run?

[jamestroll]

Heller could well lose but I doubt he will be blanched.  Nevada was one of those states in which I felt third parties could have messed things up.

I have it as a tilt to the Democrats as of now but it could easily change.

[peterthlee]

Heller could well lose but I doubt he will be blanched.  Nevada was one of those states in which I felt third parties could have messed things up.

I have it as a tilt to the Democrats as of now but it could easily change.

Wow. Never anticipated, but IndyRep is right that it is a push poll.
Move the seat to lean D rating with a margin akin to that of CCM versus Heck.

[Jeppe]

I hope Dina Titus wins and "Kirks" Heller.

[Bojack Horseman]

I don't think Heller will get blanched, but I do see him losing by a few thousand votes out of however many cast.

On a side note, the last time an incumbent Senator from Nevada was tossed out of office was in 1988, when Republican Chic Hecht lost his seat to Democrat Richard Bryan.

[Maxwell]

yes, Chic Hecht was considered pretty much DOA most of the time he was running, the fact he lost by 4 was considered relatively impressive as Richard Bryan had very considerable popularity.

So yes, tough to dislodge an incumbent in Nevada. But Heller has surprised me lately with some bone-headed moves - voting for Mnuchin being the biggest example. That would've been an easy show of independence in a state that was dramatically affected by the housing crisis. Instead he made a show and voted for him anyway.

[Free Bird]

Give or take like 2 or 3 in either direction in a state that just reestablished itself as competitive, or be Blanched by 17?

Toss it

[krazen1211]

Junk poll!

[Comrade Funk]

Makes sense.  Hispanics are no longer content with the current government.

To be honest, who in Nevada is, aside from people living in the rural areas?aw

Bundy-ite Las Vegas cowboys or something, maybe?  But alas, the Bundy Clan is no match for Enraged NV Hispanics.

Bundy-ite Las Vegas cowboys and Rick Harrison-ite Las Vegas pawnbrokers

[Blackacre]

The poll may be questionable, but it is the best data we have for now, for an election a year and a half away.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Junk poll!

Not necessarily, Nevada has gone Democratic and Colorado and New Mexico as Iowa and Ohio are trending Republican.  But WI, MI and PA are trending steady Democratic. As long as our Democratic nominee holds blue wall, including VA, which has Mark Warner running for reelection in 2020, we will be okay in 2018 and 2020.