2017 French Presidential Election
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Author Topic: 2017 French Presidential Election  (Read 103796 times)
PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #950 on: April 23, 2017, 07:52:23 AM »


But let's still hope that Macron tops Melenchon. A Le Pen vs. Melenchon runoff would be disgusting.

I like some things about Melenchon (emotional appeal I guess), but two Frexiters versing off for president is kind of a scary concept. Aren't people worried that the end of the EU could lead to a war or at least a more insecure security situation?
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jro660
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« Reply #951 on: April 23, 2017, 07:53:38 AM »

Any indications on turnout in key areas as they affect a certain candidate's chances?
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #952 on: April 23, 2017, 07:56:43 AM »

What times do the polls close with say, East Coast U.S time.  (Three Hours later than Pacific Coast time.)  Sorry if this has been answered already.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #953 on: April 23, 2017, 07:57:23 AM »

Any indications on turnout in key areas as they affect a certain candidate's chances?

I have looked through the 12:00 turnout figures by dept. and they are all over the place.

You cannot draw any conclusions here ...

What times do the polls close with say, East Coast U.S time.  (Three Hours later than Pacific Coast time.)  Sorry if this has been answered already.

2pm East Coast.
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jro660
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« Reply #954 on: April 23, 2017, 07:58:34 AM »

Any good live updates website to read tidbits throughout the day as they come live?

Also, side note. I saw video of Le Pen leaving her vehicle to vote. She seemed to be in a one car motorcade. Is that typical in France? In the US, even more minor candidates would at least have like a black SUV with some security.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #955 on: April 23, 2017, 08:00:17 AM »

Any indications on turnout in key areas as they affect a certain candidate's chances?

I have looked through the 12:00 turnout figures by dept. and they are all over the place.

You cannot draw any conclusions here ...

What times do the polls close with say, East Coast U.S time.  (Three Hours later than Pacific Coast time.)  Sorry if this has been answered already.

2pm East Coast.

Thanks, that's earlier than I expected. 

Odd, elections here end around 8 P.M, yet the French end voting by 2 P.M.  Cheesy (Sorry, just a really stupid joke.)

Then there is this "joke":  I don't know why anybody lives in Greenwich.  All you get there is a mean time!
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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« Reply #956 on: April 23, 2017, 08:03:50 AM »
« Edited: April 23, 2017, 08:21:06 AM by Parrotguy »


But let's still hope that Macron tops Melenchon. A Le Pen vs. Melenchon runoff would be disgusting.

I like some things about Melenchon (emotional appeal I guess), but two Frexiters versing off for president is kind of a scary concept. Aren't people worried that the end of the EU could lead to a war or at least a more insecure security situation?
They got too used to the peace and harmony in the formerly war-torn continent of Europe.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #957 on: April 23, 2017, 08:06:13 AM »
« Edited: April 23, 2017, 08:08:00 AM by kyc0705 »

Any good live updates website to read tidbits throughout the day as they come live?

Also, side note. I saw video of Le Pen leaving her vehicle to vote. She seemed to be in a one car motorcade. Is that typical in France? In the US, even more minor candidates would at least have like a black SUV with some security.

Isn't a one-car motorcade just a car?

But to your question, you must ask yourself: when was the last time a French president or presidential candidate has been assassinated? I'm guessing it's not that frequent.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #958 on: April 23, 2017, 08:20:32 AM »

Any good live updates website to read tidbits throughout the day as they come live?

Also, side note. I saw video of Le Pen leaving her vehicle to vote. She seemed to be in a one car motorcade. Is that typical in France? In the US, even more minor candidates would at least have like a black SUV with some security.

Isn't a one-car motorcade just a car?

But to your question, you must ask yourself: when was the last time a French president or presidential candidate has been assassinated? I'm guessing it's not that frequent.

I don't know if I like this discussion or not, but there were assassination attempts against De Gaulle.
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windjammer
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« Reply #959 on: April 23, 2017, 08:21:43 AM »

Any good live updates website to read tidbits throughout the day as they come live?

Also, side note. I saw video of Le Pen leaving her vehicle to vote. She seemed to be in a one car motorcade. Is that typical in France? In the US, even more minor candidates would at least have like a black SUV with some security.

Isn't a one-car motorcade just a car?

But to your question, you must ask yourself: when was the last time a French president or presidential candidate has been assassinated? I'm guessing it's not that frequent.
The last one assassinate was in the 1920's/1930's
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CrabCake
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« Reply #960 on: April 23, 2017, 08:26:30 AM »

Of course, Mitterrand once faked an assassination attempt on himself for publicity reasons before he became president.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #961 on: April 23, 2017, 08:31:27 AM »

As a pupil, I was in France (my home town has a "partner town" in France) for an exchange. It was in an area where the Left usually overperforms (Royal won there in 2007 e.g.), nevertheless I chatted with my guest family these days and they told me that they know a huge amount of people voting FN for the first time ever. Very good sign, compared to the LaLibre poll, I hold my fingers crossed for LePen-Fillon and a massive NO towards mass immigration, Islamization and other neoliberal/Leftist ideologies.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #962 on: April 23, 2017, 08:40:28 AM »

Radio Londres:
https://twitter.com/RadioLondres_fr/status/856140298216460289

"Mehr
En Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet. Je répète, en Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet #RadioLondres"

Marine Le Pen won North America?
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windjammer
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« Reply #963 on: April 23, 2017, 08:50:21 AM »

Radio Londres:
https://twitter.com/RadioLondres_fr/status/856140298216460289

"Mehr
En Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet. Je répète, en Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet #RadioLondres"

Marine Le Pen won North America?
Macron I think
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jaichind
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« Reply #964 on: April 23, 2017, 08:51:41 AM »

If the first estimate coming out at 8PM Paris time excludes urban centers then if that shows Macron doing well then would not that mean Macron doing well ?  If it shows Macron not doing well then it does not mean much yet ?
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Hydera
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« Reply #965 on: April 23, 2017, 08:51:52 AM »

Radio Londres:
https://twitter.com/RadioLondres_fr/status/856140298216460289

"Mehr
En Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet. Je répète, en Amérique du Nord, c'est leur projet #RadioLondres"

Marine Le Pen won North America?


French from North America (except Montréal): Macron (45,35%) — Fillon (25,33%) — Mélenchon (14,05%) — Le Pen (6,29%)


https://www.rtbf.be/info/monde/detail_presidentielle-francaise-macron-et-melenchon-arrivent-en-tete-en-outremer?id=9587638
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #966 on: April 23, 2017, 08:53:06 AM »

Le Pen has reached about 36% chance to win the presidency on predictit

That is....not in line with what any of the "real" betting markets are saying.  On Betfair, or example, it's:

Macron 62.1
Le Pen 22.2
Fillon 15.4
Melenchon 8.3
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #967 on: April 23, 2017, 08:58:27 AM »

There has been a long line to reach the voting place in Montreal all day. Voters have said they waited 2 hours. At the close there was still a long line and those people will still be able to vote.

57000 people are registered to vote in Montreal (vs 44000 in 2012).
The news story mentions people wanting to vote against the extremist candidates.

Video of the line during the day:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SblCuZVOk8s

that video said the lineup was 3 hours! In that time, they could've driven to the embassy in Ottawa (2 hour drive), and waited in the much shorter 1 hour line up.
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