2017 French Presidential Election

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Didn't someone on this forum have a theory about Erdogan having a brain tumor?

It started as a joke, but then Events turned it into a half-serious suggestion...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

lol

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Mélenchon might not personally be a Commie, but he is the candidate of that tradition in French politics (a tradition that is far more popular and viable than the wretched remnants of the PCF) much as he was last time.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It's obviously highly unlikely, but just hypothetically, who would win in a Macron-Melenchon matchup? I would think Le Pen voters would probably vote Macron, but who knows...

Macron landslide; the political tradition that Mélenchon presently represents is poisonous to a majority of French voters. But a very interesting map, I suspect.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

All this tells us is that British political journalists are stupid and self-obsessed (but we knew that anyway)...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

For Le Pen as well, actually. On the polling figures we've seen lately it would take only a minor polling error for either to miss the cut.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Besides, Mélenchon is probably overpolling a bit at this point.

Far Left candidates typically overpoll by a few points, yes. If usual patterns apply then he would need to be a few points inside the cut in the polls rather than on the cusp or a few below... of course this is a tendency rather than a rule (a critical distinction as we have all learned in recent years).