Revisiting "The Mythology of Trump's Working Class Support" (user search)
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  Revisiting "The Mythology of Trump's Working Class Support" (search mode)
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Author Topic: Revisiting "The Mythology of Trump's Working Class Support"  (Read 1280 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« on: March 19, 2017, 07:45:50 PM »

tl; dr Trump did indeed, have (and has) an unusually (although not uniformly - something that we also must be mindful about) strong appeal among working class white voters for a Republican candidate, in spite of the fact that - like all Republican candidates - his voters still skewed toward the white and the affluent.

I'm confused, because I thought that's what the article itself said.  So I'm unclear on where the disagreement is.  It sounds like it's a difference in emphasis--a difference in where you put the "but"....

Silver: Yes, Trump's voters are poorer than the voters for other Republican candidates, *but* they're still wealthier than the average American.

You: Yes, Trump's voters are wealthier than the average American, *but* they're not as wealthy as those of other Republican candidates.

Where's the disagreement between those two propositions?
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2017, 07:58:25 AM »

Although I agree with the premise that income "Trumped education", it's really easy to sit here from a mile high view and gaze down without looking at the yuuge generational gap in the '16 Presidential Election, that in many ways had a stronger correlation than education/income gaps among White voters .

OK, but the generation gap was larger in 2012 than it was in 2016.

From the exit polls...

Obama vs. Romney:
age 18-29: Obama +23
age 65+: Romney +12
college graduates: Obama +2
non-college graduates: Obama +4

Clinton vs. Trump:
age 18-29: Clinton +19
age 65+: Trump +7
college graduates: Clinton +10
non-college graduates: Trump +7

So compared to Romney voters, Trump voters were both younger and less educated.
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