FL- Chamber of Commerce: Nelson leads Scott by 6

[ajc0918]

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http://saintpetersblog.com/poll-bill-nelson-leads-rick-scott-48-42-hypothetical-2018-match/

[windjammer]

Scott would have probably won with HRC president. With Trump, this is doubtful: lean dem.

[peterthlee]

Gut feeling: likely D at this moment, safe D by election day.

[Gass3268]

Don't underestimate Rick Scott. He has the ability to pull off a win in the state, albeit probably a narrow win.

Both in very favorable cycles, not in a Trumpterm.

[Figueira]

This could get close, but Nelson is the one to bet on here.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Don't underestimate Rick Scott. He has the ability to pull off a win in the state, albeit probably a narrow win.

Both in very favorable cycles, not in a Trumpterm.

I will concede that point to you. However, I still don't think we can count Scott out yet. Him being tested statewide, especially in 2014, was a big win for him.

Agreed, but still, lean Nelson.

[sg0508]

Nelson is always a target for Republicans and they lose every time.  If you remember, Mack IV had a summer lead over him last round and then just totally went away in that race, losing by 13-15 points. 

[UWS]

Nelson is always a target for Republicans and they lose every time.  If you remember, Mack IV had a summer lead over him last round and then just totally went away in that race, losing by 13-15 points. 

And even Jeb Bush was considered as a possible candidate to run against Nelson in 2012 but declined. I think Jeb would have had a very decent chance if he ran that year.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Florida,_2012

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Sounds right.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is swinging left this year; unlike 2016.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

FL is swinging left this year; unlike 2016.

2020: Florida is going to swing left this year! We'll gain house seats! Sure, Governor Putnam is around, but this is the year!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump won FL, which was Clinton's only because of Marco Rubio.  Clinton and Patrick Murphy would have won the state without Rubio on the ballot.  Nelson will bring home the Dems even with Putnam, with the Governor seat at stake.  And it is a tossup.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Trump won FL, which was Clinton's only because of Marco Rubio.  Clinton and Patrick Murphy would have won the state without Rubio on the ballot.  Nelson will bring home the Dems even with Putnam, with the Governor seat at stake.  And it is a tossup.

Clinton lost Florida because Trump ran the table in places like Polk County and the panhandle.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Trump won FL, which was Clinton's only because of Marco Rubio.  Clinton and Patrick Murphy would have won the state without Rubio on the ballot.  Nelson will bring home the Dems even with Putnam, with the Governor seat at stake.  And it is a tossup.

Clinton lost Florida because Trump ran the table in places like Polk County and the panhandle.

Yeah, she did well in D strongholds, actually even a little better than Obama, but unlike Obama, she was unable to wrestle down the R's leads in their strongholds to manageable sizes, and the R racked up leads that were out of control (well, except in Duval county, but that was not enough) for the big cities to be able to overpower them.

[Xing]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

[Person Man]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

Republicans could keep winning by 1% at the top and keep getting like a 5-10% benefit of the doubt on top of that  on the bottom.

[Heisenberg]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

Nelson has been to space. No astronaut has lost an election in the US.

Scott will lose.

Wrong.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_1982

[Person Man]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

Republicans could keep winning by 1% at the top and keep getting like a 5-10% benefit of the doubt on top of that  on the bottom.

What does this even mean

Scott always wins by 1% though those below him by double digits.

[Badger]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

Nelson has been to space. No astronaut has lost an election in the US.

Scott will lose.

Wrong.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_1982

I must admit...this is a game changer.

Nobody is safe in 2018

Pretty sure he didn't say that and rather just responded to your false claim. So no need for these #edgy comments and strawmen.

Oh come on man. You really need to take a joke better. Has some New Hampshire woman triggered you this weekend?

[Rjjr77]

I mean, Scott obviously has a chance, but beating an incumbent in decent position in a Republican midterm isn't going to be as easy as winning as open race/a race as the incumbent in a Democratic midterm.

Nelson has been to space. No astronaut has lost an election in the US.

Scott will lose.

Wrong.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Mexico,_1982

John Glenn lost in 1970 too, and he was John freakin Glenn