AHCA Whip Count
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #50 on: March 22, 2017, 07:48:58 AM »
I will be pleasantly surprised if this bill fails to pass on Thursday.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #51 on: March 22, 2017, 08:27:56 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #52 on: March 22, 2017, 09:16:08 AM »
« Edited: March 22, 2017, 09:41:53 AM by Gass3268 »
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #53 on: March 22, 2017, 09:59:04 AM »
The Hill now lists 23 definite no votes, and 6 lean/likely no votes.
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #54 on: March 22, 2017, 10:05:20 AM »

Even if it miraculously made it through the Senate, it would just die in committee or on the second House floor vote.

I don't see how they can possibly pass this bill.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #55 on: March 22, 2017, 10:22:41 AM »
They will be silly to put this to a vote. Its so doomed to fail.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #56 on: March 22, 2017, 10:49:48 AM »
Politico is reporting that Rand Paul thinks there will be at least 35 republican no votes in the house.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #57 on: March 22, 2017, 10:50:40 AM »
Quote from: Illiniwek on March 22, 2017, 10:22:41 AM
They will be silly to put this to a vote. Its so doomed to fail.

Yes but watching it come up just short is going to be GLORIOUS
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Gass3268
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« Reply #58 on: March 22, 2017, 10:56:17 AM »
Google Spreadsheet of No votes with public statements

Currently only have 17 public no's.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #59 on: March 22, 2017, 11:46:23 AM »
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DrScholl
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« Reply #60 on: March 22, 2017, 11:54:06 AM »
This bill will be pulled. There is no way that Ryan is going to allow a vote on something that is going to fail, unless enough arms can be twisted.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #61 on: March 22, 2017, 12:05:28 PM »
Big news, if true:

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https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/844594031892086784
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DrScholl
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« Reply #62 on: March 22, 2017, 12:11:31 PM »
^I guess is really doesn't matter to Ryan if the votes aren't there, at least as far as pulling the vote from the schedule.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #63 on: March 22, 2017, 12:12:38 PM »
Lou Barletta is now a yes
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #64 on: March 22, 2017, 12:26:36 PM »
Jason Noble‏ @jasonnobleDMR
WHIP COUNT: A spokesman for US Rep. @SteveKingIA tells me he is "Undecided – leaning no" on the AHCA.

Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics
Mark Murray Retweeted Jason Noble
King isn't on NBC's list of 27 opposed/leaning no...which all suggests the hurdle for Trump/Ryan *could* be much, much higher
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Gass3268
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« Reply #65 on: March 22, 2017, 12:45:11 PM »
New healthcare law not looking good in Ryan's home state of Wisconsin:

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #66 on: March 22, 2017, 12:51:36 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 22, 2017, 11:54:06 AM
There is no way that Ryan is going to allow a vote on something that is going to fail, unless enough arms can be twisted.

They might just want to have it fail and say "Well, we tried", and then move on to other things.  It's easier to do that if you actually go through with the vote.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #67 on: March 22, 2017, 12:54:29 PM »

But, the National Right to Life is scoring it asking for a YES vote.  A lot of pro-lifers take great pride in their 100% ratings from the NRLC and don't want to lose them.  This internal fight is both interesting and damaging.  For the record, I don't like the bill as it is right now.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #68 on: March 22, 2017, 12:57:10 PM »
Freedom Caucus spokeswoman says they have more than 25 No votes.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/trump-gop-obamacare-repeal-votes-236349
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #69 on: March 22, 2017, 12:57:37 PM »
It'll pass, they are just holding out to try to get some more stuff that they want.
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #70 on: March 22, 2017, 01:41:39 PM »
Steve King is now a yes:
https://mobile.twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/844614838206763009
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Ronnie
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« Reply #71 on: March 22, 2017, 01:44:22 PM »
It looks like Republicans are beginning to cave.  I think it'll squeak by, perhaps by one or two votes.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #72 on: March 22, 2017, 01:45:20 PM »

He was never on any whip list as a no.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #73 on: March 22, 2017, 01:46:47 PM »

The Hill listed him as a no, actually.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #74 on: March 22, 2017, 01:48:12 PM »

Did they? There have been so many different lists.

I agree with you that this narrowly passes in the House. Senate is an entirely different animal.
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