AHCA Whip Count

[The Other Castro]

According to NBC: 26 House Republicans are "opposed/leaning strongly" against AHCA:

[The Other Castro]

Robert Costa @costareports
At least 20-25 hard no votes in House is the view of one plugged-in member of Freedom Caucus as of 4pm today

[The Other Castro]

From a Republican Congressman already on the NO list:

Thomas Massie‏ @RepThomasMassie  56m56 minutes ago
275 oppose vs 4 support #ObamaCareLite.  Phone calls to my office from constituents over last two weeks.  Why are we voting on this?


This is why you should always contact your Congressman and Senators. Sometimes it really does have an impact.

[The Other Castro]

Jason Noble‏ @jasonnobleDMR
WHIP COUNT: A spokesman for US Rep. @SteveKingIA tells me he is "Undecided – leaning no" on the AHCA.

Mark Murray @mmurraypolitics
Mark Murray Retweeted Jason Noble
King isn't on NBC's list of 27 opposed/leaning no...which all suggests the hurdle for Trump/Ryan *could* be much, much higher

[The Other Castro]

Freedom Caucus spokeswoman says they have more than 25 No votes.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/03/trump-gop-obamacare-repeal-votes-236349

[The Other Castro]

Paul Ryan seems to leave the door open for a possible vote postponement.

Chad Pergram‏ @ChadPergram  2h2 hours ago
Ryan on Fox on if he'd postpone health care vote: I'm not going to get into hypotheticals..we're adding votes by the way.

[The Other Castro]

I heard that there is a new CBO score coming tonight. Can anybody confirm that?

Yes: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/new-cbo-score-on-changes-to-gop-healthcare-bill-expected-wednesday-night/article/2618078

Fairly soon actually.

[The Other Castro]

GOP Rep. Thomas Massie (KY-4) updates his vote from "No" to "Hell No". Seems like a solid bet how he will vote.

https://twitter.com/RepThomasMassie/status/844646398092029952/photo/1


Also, BIG news here: Donovan is a NO

Sahil Kapur‏ @sahilkapur
Rep. Dan Donovan, Staten Island Republican, says in an op-ed he’ll vote against the House GOP health care bill.
http://www.silive.com/opinion/columns/index.ssf/2017/03/donovan_why_i_will_vote_no_on.html

Dan Donovan had said that calls to his office on the AHCA were 1,000 to 1 against.

[The Other Castro]

For the first time, over 23 Republican Congressmen have publicly come out against the current version of the AHCA. 23 defections are needed for this bill to fail. Still, nothing's final until they actually vote.

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/844659334164484097

[The Other Castro]

John Harwood‏ @JohnJHarwood
House Freedom Caucus source says odds of AHCA passing have improved after GOP leaders offered to eliminate "essential health benefits"

[The Other Castro]

Seriously I looked it up this new offer is pre-existing converge gone and insurance companies can cover as little as they want

How though? Wouldn't that take 60 votes?

Maybe that's the plan. Pass a bill in the House that the Senate can't possibly pass, blame Democrats for filibustering, and move on to tax reform.

[The Other Castro]

Sounds like the vote is going to get pulled, at least for today.

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Seems all those people saying they had the votes to pass were wrong, surprise surprise.

[The Other Castro]

If it is delayed, this is probably why:

Ben Kamisar‏ @bkamisar  21m21 minutes ago
Freedom Caucus members streaming out of WH now. All say no deal made, no "firm" changes agreed to.


If they vote today, it will fail.

[The Other Castro]

FWIW:

Edward-Isaac Dovere‏ @IsaacDovere  21m21 minutes ago
Sean Spicer, on the possibility of canceling the Obamacare repeal vote: "nothing leads me to believe that that's the case"

Mark Murray‏ @mmurraypolitics  5m5 minutes ago
"It's going to pass. So that's it" -- Spicer on what happens if House bill doesn't pass tonight.

[The Other Castro]

TBT to literally two hours ago:

"Nothing leads me to believe that that's the case."
-Sean Spicer, on whether the vote will be postponed

[The Other Castro]

By the way, Bobby Rush will most likely be back next week if they do vote on Monday, so that means the number of votes the GOP could afford to lose has gone back down to 21.

[The Other Castro]

Jake Sherman @JakeSherman  4m4 minutes ago
NEWS: MULVANEY: TRUMP is done negotiating and wants a vote on the AHCA tomorrow, per a source in the room.

Jake Sherman @JakeSherman  2m2 minutes ago
MULVANEY: if the AHCA vote fails, nation is stuck w Obamacare. In other words, trump is done. Negotiations are over.

[The Other Castro]

Timing of the actual voting itself should be around 4-5 PM as of right now.

[The Other Castro]

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FULL STEAM AHEAD

But Mr. President there's an iceberg up ahead!

I DON'T CARE

[The Other Castro]

Obamacare is finally bipartisan.

[The Other Castro]

Report: Ryan pleaded on one knee for ObamaCare repeal vote
http://thehill.com/homenews/house/325865-report-ryan-pleaded-on-one-knee-for-obamacare-repeal-vote

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This is beautiful.

Ryan should probably step down. How can Republicans in Congress be expected to respect and follow a man that does something like that?