Impact of AHCA on 2018 midterms?

[BuckeyeNut]

Maybe a Trumpist backlash to Republican incumbents in primaries opening up otherwise uncompetitive races. Think Indiana Senate, 2012.

[Pandaguineapig]

Likely nothing now

[Xing]

This issue will probably hurt Republicans somewhat either way. Some voters will see them as weak if they just leave Obamacare the way it is after all the talk of "repeal and replace", but clearly, trying to rush a replacement through is going to be even worse for them.

[Skill and Chance]

This issue will probably hurt Republicans somewhat either way. Some voters will see them as weak if they just leave Obamacare the way it is after all the talk of "repeal and replace", but clearly, trying to rush a replacement through is going to be even worse for them.

Basically this.  They are out of the reverse 2010 woods for now, but Trump can't afford 2 or 3 of these fiascos in a row.  He needs a quick legislative win before the Carter comparisons start to stick. 

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Unsure, but this certainly doesn't look good in the short term:

http://screengrabber.deadspin.com/basketball-fans-treated-to-ads-congratulating-republica-1793629526?utm_campaign=socialflow_deadspin_twitter&utm_source=deadspin_twitter&utm_medium=socialflow

[Torie]

Perhaps better off that if the Pubs had succeeded in repealing it. I get this feeling that much of what the Pubs proposed was smoke and mirrors, and left an inadequate social safety net for those who have no financial resources to pay for adequate medical care. And, as it should be, at the end of the day, that's politically toxic. So the game of who will really pay for all these medical subsidies will continue (which is what much of this is all about).

[Skill and Chance]

Perhaps better off that if the Pubs had succeeded in repealing it. I get this feeling that much of what the Pubs proposed was smoke and mirrors, and left an inadequate social safety net for those who have no financial resources to pay for adequate medical care. And, as it should be, at the end of the day, that's politically toxic. So the game of who will really pay for all these medical subsidies will continue (which is what much of this is all about).

Not acting on this is a net loss for congressional Republicans in 2018 (risk of low conservative turnout) but a net win for Trump's chances in 2020 IMO.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It will have a positive effect on the House and Gubernatorial elections, too early yet on Senate races.

[Maxwell]

just like Hillarycare meant nothing for Republicans in the 1994 midterms...

oh wait

[Skill and Chance]

just like Hillarycare meant nothing for Republicans in the 1994 midterms...

oh wait

It's a significant tailwind for House Dems, but let's wait and see if it gets overshadowed by something else.  Tax cuts are almost always popular on net as long as they impact people making <$200K.

[Hindsight was 2020]

just like Hillarycare meant nothing for Republicans in the 1994 midterms...

oh wait

It's a significant tailwind for House Dems, but let's wait and see if it gets overshadowed by something else.  Tax cuts are almost always popular on net as long as they impact people making <$200K.

But the problem there is Trump's base comes from poor rural whites so a big tax cut for the rich isn't that good for 2018 an gives the dems a talking point

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It is too early to say, but the election isn't in 2017, but in 2018. If the Dems sweep the two governor elections VA & NJ, it will be a positive sign

[Hindsight was 2020]

It is too early to say, but the election isn't in 2017, but in 2018. If the Dems sweep the two governor elections VA & NJ, it will be a positive sign

Winning in VA & NJ is expected what happens in GA-6 an MT-AL is way more important

[ShamDam]

I think at the very least it makes the list of failures the Dems repeat in their talking points. Along with the unconstitutional travel ban and whatever else he fails to accomplish over the next 20 months

[TheSaint250]

I think at the very least it makes the list of failures the Dems repeat in their talking points. Along with the unconstitutional travel ban and whatever else he fails to accomplish over the next 20 months

It's not unconstitutional.

[Nyvin]

I think at the very least it makes the list of failures the Dems repeat in their talking points. Along with the unconstitutional travel ban and whatever else he fails to accomplish over the next 20 months

It's not unconstitutional.

A religious test is unconstitutional.   As said by the circuit court.