2016 Census County Estimates

[KingSweden]

They are out, though not the format I've seen in previous years

[KingSweden]

Some WA observations...

King County continues to add, like clockwork, 30-35k new residents annually. With over 200k new residents since 2010, then next round of districting will be heavily skewed to favor Democrats, IMO

Spokane County added 8k people just between 2015 and 2016 after having only added 19k in the previous five. That's a big jump! Almost half of the total of the last five years. It'll be interesting to see how the chips fall there over the next few years

[KingSweden]

Also rather impressive - no counties list pop between 15 and 16

[Frodo]

Fastest-growing counties show growth in Florida, Western US

BY REID WILSON - 03/23/17 12:34 PM EDT

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[KingSweden]

The white hot growth in Brooklyn has slowed down to the extent that Queens and *the Bronx* both added more people between 2015 and 2016. Manhattan isn't growing super fast either, at least not compared to earlier this decade

[Seattle]

Denver "only" added 13k people last year, which means Seattle may continue to hold a tenuous lead in population.

[Gass3268]

Other interesting notes:

- Franklin County,OH (Columbus) passed Cuyahoga County, OH (Cleveland) as Ohio's most populous county
- Clark County, NV (Las Vegas) now 12th most-populous count, up from 14th; passed slower-growing San Bernardino County, CA & King County, WA (Seattle)
- Tarrant County, TX (Fort Worth), the 15th most-populous U.S. county, topped the 2 million mark during the year
- Bexar County, TX (San Antonio) closing in on 2 million; it is 16th most-populous and passed slower-growing Santa Clara, CA (San Jose)
- Prince William County, VA, near DC now 2nd most populous VA jurisdiction, passing Virginia Beach, Fairfax County, VA is still #1.
- Sacramento County, CA passed Suffolk County, NY
- Hillsborough County, FL passed Nassau County, NY
- Hennepin County, MN passed Allegheny County, PA
- Mecklenburg County, NC and Wake County, NC each passed Montgomery County, MD  
- St. Louis County, M), dropped below 1 million for the first time since 2011, largely due to a rise in net domestic out-migration.
- Three counties reached a population milestone of 100,000 or higher: Fairbanks North Star Borough, Alaska; Highlands County, Fla., and Carver County, Minn.
- Pasco County, Fla., reached a population of 500,000,

[KingSweden]

Denver "only" added 13k people last year, which means Seattle may continue to hold a tenuous lead in population.

Interesting in that Denver has more geographic room to grow

[Seattle]

Denver "only" added 13k people last year, which means Seattle may continue to hold a tenuous lead in population.

Interesting in that Denver has more geographic room to grow

My guess is that Denver is running out of room for new single family homes and is, like much of Seattle, capacity restricted with much of the city zoned only for single family homes (also a good chunk of Denver is airport and the scrub land that leads to it), but unlike Seattle, it hasn't seen the upzones of dense areas yet.

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Funny enough, King County stayed in 13th, its Clark and San Bernardino that have changed places.

[Nyvin]

Every Connecticut county lost population in 2016.

[Skye]

Every Connecticut county lost population in 2016.

Malloy?

[KingSweden]

Every Connecticut county lost population in 2016.

Thinking that 5th seat might be at risk by, say, 2030

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

How many new seats does urban Texas get in the 2020s?

[cinyc]

The 10 fastest-growing counties with a 2016 population of 10,000+ from 2015-16:
1) San Juan, Utah (Monticello/Blanding) +7.56% - I have no idea what is fueling growth in SE Utah
2) Kendall, Texas (Boerne) +5.16% (NW San Antonio suburban/exurban sprawl)
3) Hays, Texas (San Marcos) +5.09% (SE Austin suburban/exurban sprawl)
4) Wasatch, Utah (Heber City) +4.67% (Provo/SLC exurban sprawl)
5) Dallas, Iowa (Waukee) +4.63% (W Des Moines suburban/exurban sprawl)
6) Comal, Texas (New Braunfels) +4.40% (NE San Antonio suburban/exurban sprawl)
7) Sumter, Florida (The Villages) +4.30% (Continued retirement home growth in America's Friendliest Hometown TM - or so the ads claim)
8) Crook, Oregon (Prineville) +4.26% (Sprawl from the Redmond/Bend area of Oregon, which has been growing)
9) Juab, Utah (Eureka/Nephi) +4.20% (Provo exurban sprawl)
4.20%
10) Kittitas, Washington (Ellensburg/Cle Elum) +4.20 (Exurban sprawl over the mountains from Seattle, perhaps?)

And the biggest percentage losers of the 10,000+ set:
10) San Juan, New Mexico (Farmington) -3.05% (Probably partly due to oil, but IIRC, it has been losing population despite the oil boom)
9) Telfair, Georgia (McRae)   -3.13% (Rural south Georgia ?)
8) Woodward, Oklahoma (Woodward) -3.14% (Oil?)
7) Ochiltree, Texas (Perryton) -3.66% (Oil?)
6) Uintah, Utah (Vernal) -3.75% (Oil?)
5) Geary, Kansas (Junction City) -3.77% (Cuts at Fort Riley?)
4) Richland, Montana (Sidney) -3.82% (Oil)
3) Charlton, Georgia (Homeland) -3.94% (Alligators moving out of the Okefenokee Swamp?)
2) Beckham, Oklahoma (Sayre/Elk City) -4.69% (Oil?)
1) Chattahoochee, GA (Cusetta)   -4.71% (Cuts at Fort Benning? - This county has been a perennial loser over the past few years, IIRC)

Williams, North Dakota (Williston) just missed the cut at number 11.  It lost -2.97% of its population since 2015.  It's still up 53.30% from the 2010 Census, though.

The fastest-growing county without regard to overall population was Hudspeth, Texas, just east of El Paso County.  It grew by 18.34% from 2015-16.  Granted, the gain was just 628 residents out of its new 4,053 population.  But it may be a county to watch in the future, as El Paso's growth sprawls down I-10 and/or US-62/180.

[LLR]

The white hot growth in Brooklyn has slowed down to the extent that Queens and *the Bronx* both added more people between 2015 and 2016. Manhattan isn't growing super fast either, at least not compared to earlier this decade

Besides the new buildings in Hudson Yards, there isn't really anywhere to add more people here, lol. I wouldn't be surprised if NY County starts losing pop at some point soon, since residential space is going to have to be taken over by office space, and there's only so many more skyscrapers we can build.

[KingSweden]

The white hot growth in Brooklyn has slowed down to the extent that Queens and *the Bronx* both added more people between 2015 and 2016. Manhattan isn't growing super fast either, at least not compared to earlier this decade

Besides the new buildings in Hudson Yards, there isn't really anywhere to add more people here, lol. I wouldn't be surprised if NY County starts losing pop at some point soon, since residential space is going to have to be taken over by office space, and there's only so many more skyscrapers we can build.

Upzone, baby! Lol.

Any insight how Hipsterland fell behind the Bronx of all places?

[LLR]

The white hot growth in Brooklyn has slowed down to the extent that Queens and *the Bronx* both added more people between 2015 and 2016. Manhattan isn't growing super fast either, at least not compared to earlier this decade

Besides the new buildings in Hudson Yards, there isn't really anywhere to add more people here, lol. I wouldn't be surprised if NY County starts losing pop at some point soon, since residential space is going to have to be taken over by office space, and there's only so many more skyscrapers we can build.

Upzone, baby! Lol.

Any insight how Hipsterland fell behind the Bronx of all places?

I think the major developments in Williamsburg may be done, and the ones in Brooklyn Heights aren't yet completed, although that's just a guess. Also possible that birth rate was low because of the demographic makeup of Brooklyn, but I honestly have no idea. Not as familiar with the other boroughs as I am with my own, naturally.

[Tintrlvr]

The white hot growth in Brooklyn has slowed down to the extent that Queens and *the Bronx* both added more people between 2015 and 2016. Manhattan isn't growing super fast either, at least not compared to earlier this decade

Besides the new buildings in Hudson Yards, there isn't really anywhere to add more people here, lol. I wouldn't be surprised if NY County starts losing pop at some point soon, since residential space is going to have to be taken over by office space, and there's only so many more skyscrapers we can build.

Upzone, baby! Lol.

Any insight how Hipsterland fell behind the Bronx of all places?

The Bronx is experiencing growth everywhere. Lots of buildings were abandoned in the 70s through the 90s that can be refurbished or replaced, and it's only relatively recently that rents increased enough for it to be economically viable to do so. Tons of construction happening there, too, mainly of city- and state-subsidized low- and middle-income housing. The surge of Puerto Rican migration has resulted in a new infusion in a lot of the Bronx, and generally the Bronx is a major, major destination for lower-income immigrants moving to New York.

Brooklyn has a couple of hot spots of growth in Downtown Brooklyn (not Brooklyn Heights) and Williamsburg/Greenpoint but for the most part is totally built out, and doesn't have the abandoned buildings to refurbish that the Bronx does. Also, other than new buildings, gentrification often reduces population as there are 1-3 childless people (single, couples, roommates) living in apartments instead of families of 3-5 people and as multi-family brownstones are converted back to single-family homes.

Brooklyn also has a lot of white-flight type areas in southern Brooklyn, and those areas are mostly losing population (though gaining in some areas, particularly where Chinese-American families are moving in en masse, such as Bensonhurst). Those places don't exist much in the Bronx these days.

The most blighted parts of Brooklyn in the eastern/southeastern parts of the borough are too far from Manhattan for serious gentrification and continue to lose population. These areas (Brownsville, East New York) tend to be worse than anywhere in the Bronx, which overall has a stronger community even in its poorest neighborhoods, mainly due to lots of recent immigrants. The Caribbean, Latino and Chinese immigrants in Brooklyn have by contrast mostly avoided those worst areas of Brooklyn.

[KingSweden]

Man, Bensonhurst becoming Chinese. Times have changed

[BuckeyeNut]

As mentioned earlier, Franklin County (Columbus) overtook Cuyahoga (Cleveland) for the first time ever. That'll have interesting implications going forward, as the state's population center shifts further south and west. Article with some depth, here.

[Nyvin]

Is there any particular reason the greater Nashville TN area is such a high growth hub?   It seems a little out of place,  at least compared to Arkansas, Mississippi, Kentucky, and Alabama,  not to mention most of the rest of Tennessee.  

[Ban my account ffs!]

Is there any particular reason the greater Nashville TN area is such a high growth hub?   It seems a little out of place,  at least compared to Arkansas, Mississippi, Kentucky, and Alabama,  not to mention most of the rest of Tennessee.   

That's probably where the people from the not-growing areas you mentioned move to.  It's a regional hub that way.

[Ebsy]

Something I whipped up.

[libertpaulian]

Something I whipped up.

The decline of the Midwest in a nutshell.  It's kinda sad.

[muon2]

Something I whipped up.

The decline of the Midwest in a nutshell.  It's kinda sad.

Actually it highlights areas in the Midwest that are thriving with both central and surrounding county growth: Twin Cities, Des Moines, Indy, Columbus, Grand Rapids. IL is declining in population overall and lacks any of those strong growth centers.