How old will the next Demcoratic President be when they assume office?
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  How old will the next Demcoratic President be when they assume office?
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Poll
Question: How old?
#1
63+
 
#2
52-62
 
#3
Under 52
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: How old will the next Demcoratic President be when they assume office?  (Read 956 times)
Technocracy Timmy
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« on: March 29, 2017, 06:37:15 PM »

I'm going bold and saying 63+ for two reasons.

1. I think the next Democratic President will be a realigning president and realigning presidents tend to be older and more schooled in politics and in managing newly formed coalitions.

2. Franken, Warren, and Sherrod Brown will all be 63+ in 2020. I think they're all far more likely to be elected than folks like Booker or Gabbard. For whatever reason a lot of progressive leaders (including Wyden and Sanders) happen to be older.
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AGA
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2017, 06:39:03 PM »

Democrats historically have done better with younger nominees. I said 52-62 because that is not too old that Democrats are not excited, but old enough so that the nominee has ample experience.
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The_Doctor
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2017, 07:03:19 PM »

60s+ figure because the realigning Democratic President will need substantial experience in politics to steer the country. Given that there's been two Democratic extinction events (1994, 2010) that president should be on the older side.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2017, 07:27:12 PM »

If we were only considering scenarios for 2020, then I’d go with 63+, given the likely 2020 field, and the fact that there’s a reasonably strong chance that the nominee is Warren or Sanders or someone else in the oldest bracket.  However, since it’s also possible that our next Democratic president isn’t elected until 2024 or later, then that tips the balance towards the 52-62 range, since many of the current septuagenarians will most likely no longer be in the mix, and there’ll be a larger share of contenders in the 52-62 bracket.
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Figueira
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2017, 07:28:30 PM »

Under 52
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #5 on: March 30, 2017, 10:21:36 PM »

I'm going bold and saying 63+ for two reasons.

1. I think the next Democratic President will be a realigning president and realigning presidents tend to be older and more schooled in politics and in managing newly formed coalitions.


FWIW FDR was 51 when he assumed the presidency, and Lincoln was 52. Not that I disagree with your point, but I don't think experience has to correspond to age.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2017, 08:24:42 AM »

The next Democratic President will be from Generation X.  In fact, the President who succeeds Trump, regardless of party, will be from X.

So, assuming Trump is ousted in 2020 by a Dem...he/she will be in their late 50s or younger.  Assuming a Dem succeeds Trump in 2024...61 or younger on Election Day.  If a Dem wins in 2028, 65 or younger.
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ShadowRocket
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2017, 05:17:25 PM »

The 52-62 range seems likely, give or take a year or two.

Though I think a case could be made for the younger candidate. If we're looking at 2024, I could see Jason Kander being a major candidate if he's elected MO governor in 2020.
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