Same method and measures as here:
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=262902.0First, the racially
unadjusted results (minor candidates excluded).
https://fusiontables.google.com/embedviz?q=select+col5%3E%3E1+from+1hIvlbuCsTfpuuOUAlq1eJqJi1DZnxB22t70jUUY-&viz=MAP&h=false&lat=34.15549383786426&lng=-88.70753515624999&t=1&z=5&l=col5%3E%3E1&y=2&tmplt=2&hml=KMLTexas's State Senate districts contain just over 850 thousand people each; New Jersey's Delegate Districts contain just under 450 thousand people each.
Second, the racially
adjusted results. I saw no point in adjusting for contest attendance, as that would only be appropriate if all the contests were open primaries, which they were not, and this data wasn't available for Nevada and Maine. Rather, I used only the two-party 2012 Presidential election results to adjust for likelihood to attend a Democratic contest.
https://fusiontables.googleusercontent.com/embedviz?q=select+col5%3E%3E1+from+1-TqPiN_c3L7VAPo0bQrYlweUpqgDwtwHBRTqb7jc&viz=MAP&h=false&lat=30.846159913632235&lng=-95.54103125&t=1&z=6&l=col5%3E%3E1&y=2&tmplt=2&hml=KMLThe racially
adjusted results for fully open primaries only (excluding home states), this time using primary attendance as an independent variable in the model.
https://fusiontables.googleusercontent.com/embedviz?q=select+col5%3E%3E1+from+18GNtWcNPyJlmPqnQzOFsvHApnwO7JyyUxrQEdO3g&viz=MAP&h=false&lat=31.8474692053564&lng=-86.03524447067366&t=1&z=6&l=col5%3E%3E1&y=2&tmplt=2&hml=KMLThis is what the Democratic primary
would have looked like if race was the only factor affecting it:
https://fusiontables.googleusercontent.com/embedviz?q=select+col5%3E%3E1+from+1WLYfmfbkI7DPF-oAuCzWnpRJcez7Fz-SZKX5BmVX&viz=MAP&h=false&lat=39.58921729216991&lng=-76.69947851562502&t=1&z=7&l=col5%3E%3E1&y=2&tmplt=2&hml=KMLIncome definitely seems to have an effect on vote preference in the later stages of the primary; the poorest congressional district in SoCal went for Bernie; the richest, which neighbors it, for Hillary. The racial demographics indicate it should have gone the opposite.