Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

wow the polls were way off on the democratic side Go Jones hes in the lead in every county except 2

Jones communicated to voters in the final week that Kennedy had no relation to the famous kennedys. A number of voters got an impression there was a relation when they first heard of the name being on the ballot.

[Young Conservative]

Why are people assuming brooks and all the other voters wil switch to Moore in runoff?

People who vote for Brooks and the others would tend to be disgusted with Establishment candidates or more Libertarian leaning, I think they'd rather vote for Moore than someone as corrupt and bland as Strange.

polls have been showing an even split, which benefits Moore. It isn't that they prefer either one, but that Strange is starting with a lower base.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Roy Moore
47,783   41.4%    Will Finish First
Luther Strange*
36,124   31.3   
Mo Brooks
22,048   19.1   
Trip Pittman
6,765   5.9   
Randy Brinson
879   0.8   
Bryan Peeples
583   0.5   
Mary Maxwell
557   0.5   
James Beretta
329   0.3   
Joseph Breault
237   0.2   
Dom Gentile
174   0.2   
32% reporting (808 of 2,522 precincts)

[The Other Castro]

There was a poll showing Kennedy +21. Right now it's Jones +47. Just wow.

[GlobeSoc]

It seems to me that Huntsville doesn't have the votes to get Brooks into 2nd

[MT Treasurer]

Turnout/Total number of votes so far:

R - 115,479 votes
D - 47,924 votes

[DrScholl]

It looks like it's over on the Republican side, one of Brooks only three counties flipped over to Moore. It's a Moore-Strange runoff.

[The Other Castro]

The disproportionately better areas for Brooks have come in already and he's still in a distant third. This going to be Strange vs. Moore.

[Anna Komnene]

wow the polls were way off on the democratic side Go Jones hes in the lead in every county except 2

In hindsight, I think the polls failed to take into account that RFK Jr probably had no organization whatsoever. If you wanna win, you gotta make sure your voters know when the election is and get them to the polls.

[_]

It's Moore v Strange.

Endorsing Moore, Strange would make it Lean R imo, Moore may be disgusting but he can get the base out.

[Young Conservative]

The disproportionately better areas for Brooks have come in already and he's still in a distant third. This going to be Strange vs. Moore.

Probably. I'm interested to see if Pittman breaks 10% once Mobile and Baldwin County come in.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

What did I say about jones earlier today? BOOM! As for the GOP primary, I am shocked, Luther is getting deconstructed by Moore. Probably going to a runoff, and I think I have changed my mind, Moore might actually win it.

[Mike Thick]

There was a poll showing Kennedy +21. Right now it's Jones +47. Just wow.

It makes sense -- people who don't know anything about the race are going to support a guy with a famous name, but those who actually go out to vote in these special elections are going to be somewhat more familiar with the candidates.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: MOORE/STRANGE RUNOFF

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Roy Moore
64,795   41.2%    Will Finish First
Luther Strange*
49,887   31.7   
Mo Brooks
30,130   19.2   
Trip Pittman
8,741   5.6   
Randy Brinson
1,237   0.8   
Bryan Peeples
765   0.5   
Mary Maxwell
759   0.5   
James Beretta
431   0.3   
Joseph Breault
285   0.2   
Dom Gentile
215   0.1   
42% reporting (1,053 of 2,522 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

That wraps up Alabama. Utah polls close in 23 minutes.

[GeorgiaModerate]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: MOORE/STRANGE RUNOFF

We can now state with confidence that no state is more strange than Alabama.

[The Other Castro]

Jonathan Martin @jmartNYT
Strange folks had been nervous, worried Moore could surprise w 50.  

Sigh of relief now

Not cocky about runoff, but at least in game

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/897632355569020928

[The Other Castro]

Also, Brooks has no reason to support McConnell's candidate. Could he endorse Moore? Less than half of his vote percentage would be needed to get Moore over 50%.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Apparently the NY Times is being very cautious with their calls again...

There is a general line of most cautious to least cautious on these election nights:

1. NYT
2. DDHQ
3. Me
4. Rest of Atlas

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AP/NYT finally calls the democratic primary for Jones, who is crushing 61-19 with half the vote in.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

AP/NYT finally calls the democratic primary for Jones, who is crushing 61-19 with half the vote in.

I knew CNN was wrong, and I even said it earlier today!

[The Other Castro]

NYT calls runoff for Moore and Strange.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

And AP/NYT now calls the Moore/Strange Runoff. Moore is leading 41-32-20. I beat them on this call by 23 minutes, and DDHQ beat them by 7 minutes. (Call was made at 9:59 ET)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls have closed in the UT-3 R primary.

[The Other Castro]

Post-primary PredictIt odds going into the GOP runoff: Moore 70% chance of victory over Strange.